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Seven takeaways from primaries in Florida, New York and Oklahoma runoffs

Cameron

Cameron

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www.cnn.com

Seven takeaways from primaries in Florida, New York and Oklahoma runoffs

Some of the final pieces of the midterm puzzle came into focus as Tuesday primaries in New York, Florida and Oklahoma locked in key parts of the November election slate.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com

In three important elections in NY yesterday, moderate democrats beat Republicans or progressive challengers, arguably evidencing the broader appeal of moderates even in a liberal state.

Sean Patrick Maloney bested progressive challenger Alexandra Biaggi in NY-17
Dan Goldman looks likely to beat a ream of progressive challengers in NY-10
Pat Ryan surprisingly beat Molinaro, a moderate-ish republican in the special election for NY-19

Now if only the GOP could exert some control over the far more radical elements of its base.
 
If the GOP don't take back Congress in November, it will be due to election fraud.
I accept Biden won in 2020, but there is no evidence on the street or in polling that people like the country's direction under him or the democrats.
 
NatMorton said:
Republicans losing in NY is not that noteworthy. Progressives losing in NY is.

Encouraging news for November.
Click to expand...
Actually this is note worthy .
Trump won this district in 2016 and Biden won it in 2020 by a point or two.

It shows the dems aren't as weak as it looks.
Does that mean they are a shoe in? No.
 
Cameron said:
www.cnn.com

Seven takeaways from primaries in Florida, New York and Oklahoma runoffs

Some of the final pieces of the midterm puzzle came into focus as Tuesday primaries in New York, Florida and Oklahoma locked in key parts of the November election slate.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com

In three important elections in NY yesterday, moderate democrats beat Republicans or progressive challengers, arguably evidencing the broader appeal of moderates even in a liberal state.

Sean Patrick Maloney bested progressive challenger Alexandra Biaggi in NY-17
Dan Goldman looks likely to beat a ream of progressive challengers in NY-10
Pat Ryan surprisingly beat Molinaro, a moderate-ish republican in the special election for NY-19

Now if only the GOP could exert some control over the far more radical elements of its base.
Click to expand...

The Pat Ryan win was an upset.
 
Channe79 said:
If the GOP don't take back Congress in November, it will be due to election fraud.
I accept Biden won in 2020, but there is no evidence on the street or in polling that people like the country's direction under him or the democrats.
Click to expand...
You've misinterpreted the polling data. Unlike Trump, who who only gets hammered from the left, Biden gets hammered from both sides of the political spectrum. The fact that the polling data reflects on Biden unfavorably is not an indication that Trump, or anyone to Biden's right, has a better chance of winning their seat come election day.
 
Taylor said:
Doesn't sound all that "Republican"
Click to expand...

Its referred to as a bellwether because it is so evenly divided. With the the party that lost the presidential election considered to have a leg up in the next election, this isn't good news for Republicans.
 
Much of NY is purple. Same with NJ. Same with CA.

People assume the entire states are dark blue...but they aren't. The large population centers are deep blue and that will carry the state in POTUS elections - but all 3 of those states have areas that are dark red and other areas that flip back and forth.
 
NatMorton said:
Republicans losing in NY is not that noteworthy. Progressives losing in NY is.

Encouraging news for November.
Click to expand...

This post makes no sense. This was not a statewide race, but a bellwether Congressional seat with a near perfect record of predicting Presidential races.

Would the logic in this post prevail if dependable solid GOP NYS CD were flipping? That's what it would seem to imply.
 
Channe79 said:
If the GOP don't take back Congress in November, it will be due to election fraud.
I accept Biden won in 2020, but there is no evidence on the street or in polling that people like the country's direction under him or the democrats.
Click to expand...

The polling data on Trump is not exactly stellar, either.

This post is nonsense.
 
Channe79 said:
If the GOP don't take back Congress in November, it will be due to election fraud.
I accept Biden won in 2020, but there is no evidence on the street or in polling that people like the country's direction under him or the democrats.
Click to expand...
Starting early with this bullshit, eh?
You can foresee election fraud, based on what exactly? Your feelings on the matter?
I am old enough to remember when the motto from the right was "**** your feelings".
 
j brown's body said:
Its referred to as a bellwether because it is so evenly divided. With the the party that lost the presidential election considered to have a leg up in the next election, this isn't good news for Republicans.
Click to expand...
Democrat replaces Democrat. Details at 11:00.
 
Taylor said:
And therefore it's silly to call this a "Republican district."
Click to expand...

Ah, I didn't catch the other poster called it a "Republican District".

My error, withdraw my comment, carry-on!
 
MamboDervish said:
You've misinterpreted the polling data. Unlike Trump, who who only gets hammered from the left, Biden gets hammered from both sides of the political spectrum. The fact that the polling data reflects on Biden unfavorably is not an indication that Trump, or anyone to Biden's right, has a better chance of winning their seat come election day.
Click to expand...

Underrated point. Biden's approval ratings are lagging because his base wants him to do more.

Notice how those ratings have crept up now that the Senate has passed some meaningful legislation again?
 
Channe79 said:
If the GOP don't take back Congress in November, it will be due to election fraud.
I accept Biden won in 2020, but there is no evidence on the street or in polling that people like the country's direction under him or the democrats.
Click to expand...

They like Biden a hell of a lot more than a moron like Trump.
 
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