4.27.22
On Monday, U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said that the U.S. wanted to see Russia so "weakened" that it won't be able to support another war like the one it initiated in Ukraine. Now, analysts suggest Moscow might have already reached that point. In an article published on Wednesday, analysts told The Times they believe Russia already burned through so much of its military strength in the past two months of war that it could be "years" before the Kremlin is able to order another such invasion of a neighboring country. Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at Washington think-tank Center for Strategic and International Studies, told the British newspaper that, according to estimates, Russia might have already lost the equivalent of two years of tank production, one year's supply of aircraft and likely several year's worth of missile production since the beginning of the invasion on February 24. According to the investigative website Bellingcat, Russia is estimated to have lost 70 percent of the precision missiles in its inventory - costly, highly valuable military equipment. Ukrainian authorities claim even bigger losses among the Russian army, saying that the Russian military has lost a total of 939 tanks, 185 planes, 155 helicopters, 421 artillery units and eight ships since the beginning of the war, according to the latest estimates.
Oryx, a website that has been documenting equipment losses, has collected photo and video evidence of 3,222 vehicles and pieces of military equipment lost by Vladimir Putin's forces in Ukraine in the last two months. Such losses forced Russia to draw its troops back from the area surrounding Kyiv last month and redirect offensive to the Donbas region, which is now the declared target of the Russian campaign in Ukraine. The military setbacks suffered by Russia in the past almost nine weeks of war are matched by unexpectedly high troop losses among the ranks of Moscow's soldiers in Ukraine. Last month, NATO estimated that Russia might have lost between 7,000 and 15,000 soldiers. British defense secretary Ben Wallace said on Monday that the U.K. estimates the number of Russian troops killed in Ukraine since the beginning of the war to be about 15,000. Russia admitted to huge losses among its troops, though it's believed that the real number of total deaths has not been shared with the public in Russia. Between military equipment and troop losses, it's unlikely that Russia would be able to restore its original inventory as quickly as Ukraine, which is being resupplied by its Western allies, The Times points out. At the same time, Western sanctions are likely slowing down production of new military equipment, impeding Russia from having access to necessary components.
