Yes, I expect the Russian economy to collapse over the next year. Putin has painted himself into a corner. I don't think he can survive this blunder in the next 5 years.
Stephen Collinson writes,
Millions of lives could be destroyed to slake Vladimir Putin’s Cold War obsession.
Less than three weeks into Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – a historic outrage 30 years in the making – the world is looking on in horror at the barbarity, human tragedy, appalling destruction and worldwide reverberations sparked by one man’s orders.
Ukraine’s fate starkly underlines that even 20 years into the 21st century and despite the world’s vows to learn from history, a lone autocrat who has ruthlessly fashioned a political system to eliminate dissent and reality itself has the power to cause unfathomable human loss and misery.
Putin, Hitler-like, is bent on obliterating Ukraine, its cities, its infrastructure, its power supplies, and it’s people. Odessa is a Russian vacation spot for Russian leaders, leaders like Vladimir Putin. Putin is about to launch an amphibious assault on the hotels, restaurants, and spas.
The Russian people are a friendly lot. Only the oldest Bolsheviks believe the nonsense, the propaganda, spewing from the state owned media, theoretically the only source of news in Russia.
But it’s not. Despite Putin’s attempts to keep the truth from the Russian people, they are finding out what he is doing.
It is extremely doubtful they will approve. Will the military approve of the harm Putin is doing to Mother Russia, the Rodina? Some are confused as to why they are attacking and killing Ukrainian brethren. Some in the military have parents living in Ukraine
... or did. Several oligarchs have already rebelled against Putin’s war.
Putin is attacking Russian speaking peoples.
“I believe that Russians and Ukrainians are one people ... one nation, in fact. When these lands that are now the core of Ukraine joined Russia ... nobody thought of themselves as anything but Russians.” Putin
Russians believe that statement.