Originally posted by Voidwar:
I'd be glad to get back on topic if you like
For Rudy, its his own little "perfect storm" of occurances and timing.
This is Hillary's year. Hillary's allies in the DNC power structure are throwing everything behind Hillary, and this is their big push. They control enough of the DNC to win in the primaries despite a respectable showing from Obama. So, part of the perfect storm, is that Hillary is the Democrat Nominee for sure. This creates part of the 2008 playing field. As it is obvious that Hillary will be the Dem Nominee, and have a very strong national apparatus and chance of winning, the republicans will sense a real threat here. This will beg the question of the Republicans, "who do you have that can beat Hillary ?". During the primary, it will become apparent that only Rudy can defeat Hillary, made ever more obvious by the fact that he is the only primary contender that can take New York in the general. Republicans in America did not like losing the midterms, and they will be serious about winning in 08, rather than idealistic about adherance to party platform. Winning with Rudy will be more attractive than losing with any pro-lifer . The GoP will circle the wagons and nominate Rudy, holding their peace on the bible thumper issues for the time being. Once nominated, Rudy easily wins the general, since he takes New York, and the Democrats count on NY in every victory scenario they have.