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The Wall Street Journal released this article on their website:
The Obama Stimulus Impact? Zero
John F. Cogan and John B. Taylor: The Obama Stimulus Impact? Zero - WSJ.com
Please read it before replying.
Cogan and Taylor are indeed correct in their argument that states reduced their borrowing and spending and replaced them with Federal dollars, resulting in a total aggregate demand not materially exceeding prior periods. However, in their exceedingly biased view, they choose to present this as proof that the stimulus has zero effect.
This argument to those who aren't 100% totally retarded is functionally the height of dishonesty. First, states cannot for the most part outside of creative accounting deficit spend like the Federal government does. Therefore, the states would have cut their own state and local spending dollars and borrowing independent of federal transfers. If the stimulus had not taken place, there would have not been substitute dollars to replace the reduction in total aggregate demand. Therefore, the net aggregate demand would have dropped by total reductions in state and local spending. And as any educated person knows, as demand declines overall, GDP declines as well.
What the stimulus did, as as Cogan and Taylor point out, was to allow states to functionally keep their spending at the same level, cutting back state and local borrowing/spending and replacing them with Federal borrowing and spending to immaterially increase net aggregate demand. States basically took out buckets of state money (they often didn't even have in the first place) and replaced them with buckets of real federal money.
The stimulus basically kept aggregate demand at the same level abet with a slight immaterial increase in total demand. But Cogen and Taylor have the dishonest gall to say that the stimulus therefore had zero impact when it prevented aggregate demand from significantly falling. That's is definitely not zero impact.
The Obama Stimulus Impact? Zero
John F. Cogan and John B. Taylor: The Obama Stimulus Impact? Zero - WSJ.com
Please read it before replying.
Cogan and Taylor are indeed correct in their argument that states reduced their borrowing and spending and replaced them with Federal dollars, resulting in a total aggregate demand not materially exceeding prior periods. However, in their exceedingly biased view, they choose to present this as proof that the stimulus has zero effect.
This argument to those who aren't 100% totally retarded is functionally the height of dishonesty. First, states cannot for the most part outside of creative accounting deficit spend like the Federal government does. Therefore, the states would have cut their own state and local spending dollars and borrowing independent of federal transfers. If the stimulus had not taken place, there would have not been substitute dollars to replace the reduction in total aggregate demand. Therefore, the net aggregate demand would have dropped by total reductions in state and local spending. And as any educated person knows, as demand declines overall, GDP declines as well.
What the stimulus did, as as Cogan and Taylor point out, was to allow states to functionally keep their spending at the same level, cutting back state and local borrowing/spending and replacing them with Federal borrowing and spending to immaterially increase net aggregate demand. States basically took out buckets of state money (they often didn't even have in the first place) and replaced them with buckets of real federal money.
The stimulus basically kept aggregate demand at the same level abet with a slight immaterial increase in total demand. But Cogen and Taylor have the dishonest gall to say that the stimulus therefore had zero impact when it prevented aggregate demand from significantly falling. That's is definitely not zero impact.