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Poll: Red majority in Denmark

Regicollis

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Poll shows Social Democratic PM on cards with Social Liberal support unnecessary.

For a long time the polls has shown low support for the current liberal-conservative Danish government. It is most likely that the Social Democrats and the Socialist Peoples' Party will win the next election and form a new government.

The new government is dependent of support from other parties. Until now support from the Red-Green Party and the Social Liberal Party has been necessary to form a new government. But a new poll taken after the introduction of new austerity measures by the government backed by the Social Liberal Party for the first time in decades gives the possibility of a purely red majority, without the support of the Social Liberal Party.

The poll shows that the Social Democrats, The Socialist Peoples' Party and the Red-Green Party can muster 92 of the 90 seats in parliament needed for a majority. However the Social Democrats and the Socialist Peoples' Party still stick to their ambition of forming a government with the support of the centre-right Social Liberal Party.

Nevertheless a majority as the one suggested by the poll will gain the left-wing a momentum against the Social Liberal Party to introduce new reforms. Things are starting to look brighter :)
 

Camlon

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The reason the right wing parties won in Denmark was due to out of control asylum immigration in the 90s. The right wing parties have toughen up the asylum policies in Denmark and the reason people are voting for the redgreens, is because they are not afraid that they will impose the policies in Sweden. If they do, then they will get voted out of office in the next election. Hence, even if they win, you won't see your paradise any time soon.
 

Regicollis

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Anti-immigrant policies have certainly been a key factor in the success of the current government. However things have been toughened up so much that there is little more to do and the voters have become tired of having to discuss immigration and integration, especially now when real problems like unemployment and cuts in welfare are becoming more and more pressing. Pulling the Muslim card is not nearly as effective as it used to be.

The chance of a new government rolling back the anti-immigration laws is small. The Social Democrats don't dare to do it and has adopted most of the anti-immigrant policies from the current government. The Socialist Peoples' Party is also agreeing to many of these policies. The only parties who wants significant changes to happen are the Social Liberal Party and the Red-Greens but both parties are small and even though it is likely that the Social Liberals will be part of a new government, everyone knows the potential danger in changing these policies so it is very unlikely to happen.

The current austerity measures, combined with a series of unpleasant cases like the foreign minister and head of the Conservative Party skipping an important meeting about the Arctic region in order to go on vacation, has made the government more and more unpopular. The liberal-conservative government has been dependent upon a good economic climate in order to pursue its policies of tax cuts without significant cuts in welfare. Now the economic climate has changed and the government has been forced to choose between welfare and tax cuts. By trying to balance the budget by welfare cuts instead of rolling back previous tax cuts the government has become unpopular with many voters.
 

PeteEU

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Reason for this is a decade in power by the liberal-conservative coalition and a melt down in the Conservative party that has not only hurt the Conservative party but the nation as a whole. Conservative ministers not doing their jobs or/and infighting over new leaders and so on. Plus the present Liberal Party leader and current Prime Minister is a "competent" Gordon Brown figure.. no way has the same charisma as the former PM, now NATO General Secretary.

And it is hardly a done deal. The Social Democrats are still in-fighting, still dont have a competent leader like they use too and the economy is very good compared to under any previous left wing government, since unemployment is falling again, and is relatively speaking (compared to when the Social Democrats were in power) at historic lows, with a growing economy (last I looked). Not much to fight on, unless they start promoting the inefficiencies in the public sector and healthcare.

Now the dark horse is of course the Peoples Party, aka the racist xenophobic far right party, who has been been the coalitions sole supporter all these years. They are promoting (or so it seems) some of the very racist policies that they have kept quite about for a decade, using the US economic melt down as an excuse and to gain traction. To them, it is all the Muslims fault, and the non danes. Which is why they are promoting cutting back on anything that remotely helps refugees and/or foreigners. They are finally showing their true colors when they sense that the next election might be hard on them.

But all this is still got one big thing against the sitting government.. a decade in power. It is time for a switch to the other side so to say if we look at the historical records.
 
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