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Polar Bears Are Thriving

Jack Hays said:
I have the data record. You have only a model. And it's a model made by the same people whose previous model was debunked by observations and data.
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No you don't.
 
Good times for the bears.

Polar bear habitat update for late November
Posted on November 25, 2020 | Comments Offon Polar bear habitat update for late November
Sea ice formation is ahead of usual in some regions and behind in others but overall, sea ice habitat is abundant enough for this time of year for virtually all polar bears across the Arctic to be back out on the sea ice hunting seals.

Overall, there was more sea ice at 24 November 2020 than there was on the same date in 2016, which was the last year that a number of polar bear subpopulations were surveyed, including Western and Southern Hudson Bay, Southern Beaufort, Chukchi Sea (Crockford 2019, 2020), see graph below from NSIDC Masie:

Northern Hemisphere sea ice at 24 November, 2016-2020.
UPDATE 27 November 2020: Problem bear report published today (for week 13, Nov. 16-22) has been added below.
Continue reading
 
Jack Hays said:
Good times for the bears.

Polar bear habitat update for late November
Posted on November 25, 2020 | Comments Offon Polar bear habitat update for late November
Sea ice formation is ahead of usual in some regions and behind in others but overall, sea ice habitat is abundant enough for this time of year for virtually all polar bears across the Arctic to be back out on the sea ice hunting seals.

Overall, there was more sea ice at 24 November 2020 than there was on the same date in 2016, which was the last year that a number of polar bear subpopulations were surveyed, including Western and Southern Hudson Bay, Southern Beaufort, Chukchi Sea (Crockford 2019, 2020), see graph below from NSIDC Masie:

Northern Hemisphere sea ice at 24 November, 2016-2020.
UPDATE 27 November 2020: Problem bear report published today (for week 13, Nov. 16-22) has been added below.
Continue reading
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Crockford is a hack that has only seen polar bears in a zoo.
 
The conundrum of Hudson Bay bears that left shore late in 1983 with video from CBC archives
Posted on December 17, 2020 | Comments Offon The conundrum of Hudson Bay bears that left shore late in 1983 with video from CBC archives
In 1983, it was claimed that freeze-up of Hudson Bay was so late that polar bears didn’t leave the shore until the 4th of December – several weeks later than had been usual at that time. However, the fact that sea ice charts show significant ice offshore weeks before that time suggests something else was probably going on.

About three weeks ago, CBC News republished an article (with video) from their 1983 archives for 1 December, about the plight of the people of Churchill who had already suffered one death and one serious mauling by polar bears. That was thirty-seven years ago, long before lack of sea ice was blamed for everything bad that happened to Western Hudson Bay polar bears. In fact, rather than a really late freeze-up, it appears the problem had more to do with the fact the bears had had an especially tough spring that year and arrived onshore in only ‘OK’ condition – and as a consequence, the town dump became such a strong attractant for many bears that they were reluctant to leave when the sea ice formed offshore.
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Polar bears again attracted to Russian town by dead walrus Attenborough blames on no sea ice
Posted on December 20, 2020 | Comments Offon Polar bears again attracted to Russian town by dead walrus Attenborough blames on no sea ice
In the news again: Cape Schmidt (on the Chukchi Sea) made famous by Sir David Attenborough’s false claim that walrus fell to their deaths because of lack of sea ice due to climate change when a clever polar bear hunting strategy was actually to blame.
Ryrkaypiy overrun by polar bears WWF photo
Ryrkaypiy overrun by polar bears Dec 2019 WWF photo
Last year in December (above), some bears were feeding at Ryrkaypiy’s garbage dump and wandering around town after being displaced from feeding on walrus carcasses by bigger, stronger bears on the nearby point.
This year, the town has managed to keep the bears out of town, so while the residents are having no real problems, more than 30 bears have been spotted near town, almost certainly feeding on natural-death carcasses of walrus along the shore (see photo below from 2017 where Ryrkaypiy can be seen in the background).

Continue reading
 
Jack Hays said:
Polar bears again attracted to Russian town by dead walrus Attenborough blames on no sea ice
Posted on December 20, 2020 | Comments Offon Polar bears again attracted to Russian town by dead walrus Attenborough blames on no sea ice
In the news again: Cape Schmidt (on the Chukchi Sea) made famous by Sir David Attenborough’s false claim that walrus fell to their deaths because of lack of sea ice due to climate change when a clever polar bear hunting strategy was actually to blame.
Ryrkaypiy overrun by polar bears WWF photo
Ryrkaypiy overrun by polar bears Dec 2019 WWF photo
Last year in December (above), some bears were feeding at Ryrkaypiy’s garbage dump and wandering around town after being displaced from feeding on walrus carcasses by bigger, stronger bears on the nearby point.
This year, the town has managed to keep the bears out of town, so while the residents are having no real problems, more than 30 bears have been spotted near town, almost certainly feeding on natural-death carcasses of walrus along the shore (see photo below from 2017 where Ryrkaypiy can be seen in the background).

Continue reading
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Did polar bears do something horrible to your family? What's the deal with this obsession on polar bears?
 
istodolez said:
Did polar bears do something horrible to your family? What's the deal with this obsession on polar bears?
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The bears were adopted by alarmists as symbols of the consequences of climate change. But the "starving bear" footage turned out to be misrepresentation.
Then Susan Crockford embarrassed the polar bear boys club by showing their predictions of doom were baloney. Their response has been to attack her personally, but they don't refute her data because they can't.
This thread is a good deed.
 
Jack Hays said:
The bears were adopted by alarmists as symbols of the consequences of climate change. But the "starving bear" footage turned out to be misrepresentation.
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So you keep saying. Then you point to polar bears living off human garbage as some sort of "success story". Which is a pretty f'd up view of nature.
 
istodolez said:
So you keep saying. Then you point to polar bears living off human garbage as some sort of "success story". Which is a pretty f'd up view of nature.
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Actually it's not. Those are what is known as "habituated bears" who have learned to include human sites in their scavenging. They can be quite dangerous. Crockford's blog has several posts on this in some detail.
 
Jack Hays said:
Actually it's not. Those are what is known as "habituated bears" who have learned to include human sites in their scavenging. They can be quite dangerous. Crockford's blog has several posts on this in some detail.
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Crockford.


HAHAHAHAHA
 
Late fall polar bear habitat 2020 compared to some previous years
Posted on December 22, 2020 | Comments Offon Late fall polar bear habitat 2020 compared to some previous years
It’s time to look at sea ice habitat at 15 December (Julian Day 350), now that virtually all bears except pregnant females throughout the Arctic are either out on the sea ice attempting to hunt for seals or hunkered down against the darkness.

As is usual at this time of year, the Canadian Archipelago, the Beaufort, East Siberian and Laptev Seas are well covered in ice (see regions on map below). As for the rest, despite what one polar bear specialist has implied there is no evidence that a slower-than-usual fall freeze-up in the other peripheral seas of the Arctic negatively affects polar bear health or survival.

In fact, because of the attractiveness of the ice edge for seals in the fall, as I discussed last month, it’s possible that the longer the ice edge persists in fall, the more successful polar bears will be in hunting seals – except those above the Arctic Circle where lack of daylight from early November may cause polar bears to hunker down and rest rather than try to hunt through the darkness. But we’ll never know for sure, because bears have never been studied at this time of year – experts simply make assumptions about what happens (e.g. Stirling and Oritsland 1995).
Sea ice thickness also varies year to year throughout the season but does not matter much to polar bears, who hunt most successfully in first year ice less than 2m in thickness, which comprises all of the regions currently purple in the ice thickness chart below. . . .
 
Jack Hays said:
Heartfelt wishes for a Merry Christmas and a Fearless New Year

Comments Off
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How sweet to offer holiday greetings at the same time she’s pushing for a polar bear genocide with fake science.

here’s what actual trustworthy news sources say.

www.nytimes.com

Global Warming Is Driving Polar Bears Toward Extinction, Researchers Say (Published 2020)

By century’s end, polar bears worldwide could become nearly extinct as a result of shrinking sea ice in the Arctic if climate change continues unabated, scientists said.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
 
Threegoofs said:
How sweet to offer holiday greetings at the same time she’s pushing for a polar bear genocide with fake science.

here’s what actual trustworthy news sources say.

www.nytimes.com

Global Warming Is Driving Polar Bears Toward Extinction, Researchers Say (Published 2020)

By century’s end, polar bears worldwide could become nearly extinct as a result of shrinking sea ice in the Arctic if climate change continues unabated, scientists said.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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We celebrate a robustly thriving (probably growing) polar bear population.
 
Jack Hays said:
We celebrate a robustly thriving (probably growing) polar bear population.
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And we bless the polar bears with our GARBAGE DUMPS to help them thrive!

Truly mankind is the gift that keeps giving.
 
Threegoofs said:
The research published on her shitblog?

Fascinating.
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REFERENCES
Amstrup, S.C., Marcot, B.G. & Douglas, D.C. 2007. Forecasting the rangewide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. US Geological Survey. Reston, VA. Pdf here

Crockford, S.J. 2017. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). PeerJ Preprints 2 March 2017. Doi: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2737v3 Open access. https://peerj.com/preprints/2737/

Crockford, S.J. 2019. The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. Global Warming Policy Foundation, London. Available in paperback and ebook formats.

Regehr, E.V., Laidre, K.L, Akçakaya, H.R., Amstrup, S.C., Atwood, T.C., Lunn, N.J., Obbard, M., Stern, H., Thiemann, G.W., & Wiig, Ø. 2016. Conservation status of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) in relation to projected sea-ice declines. Biology Letters 12: 20160556. http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556

Wiig, Ø., Born, E.W., and Garner, G.W. (eds.) 1995. Polar Bears: Proceedings of the 11th working meeting of the IUCN/SSC Polar Bear Specialists Group, 25-27 January, 1993, Copenhagen, Denmark. Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge UK, IUCN. http://pbsg.npolar.no/en/meetings/

Wiig, Ø., Amstrup, S., Atwood, T., Laidre, K., Lunn, N., Obbard, M., et al. 2015. Ursus maritimus. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2015: e.T22823A14871490. Available from http://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0 [accessed Nov. 28, 2015]. See the supplement for population figures.
 
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