My theory is that he is, indeed, in the mountains of Pakistan...
here's the issue...
That area is home to tribal groups that live as if they are not
under Pakistani rule...They are Fundamental Radicals when it
comes to Islam. If they could, they would overthrow Mushareef
in an Islamabad minute...
If he were to go into that region with force, the locals would
consider it an invasion, which would result in a civil war and
a possible overthrow(which, by the way, would mean access to nukes).
Mushareef is avoiding this because of the long term interests
of the US(the nukes), but alot MORE for his own interests(survival).
He knows that giving up Bin Laden to the US might mean giving
HIMSELF up to his local enemies. Keeping him "contained" is what
is keeping himself alive...barely...[/I]
http://www.debatepolitics.com/showpost.php?p=69484&postcount=30
In early 1994, the population of Pakistan was estimated to be 126 million, making it the ninth most populous country in the world
http://countrystudies.us/pakistan/29.htm
Iraq's population is less than 25 million...and is quite the opposite of what Pakistan represents...
Pakistan is a country with a governmental ally of the US with rogue factions against...Iraq is a country where the rogue faction was the government itself...
Also, Pakistan's government has been legitimately cracking down on the radicals in their country...Yes, it would be nice if it was done faster, but it is being done nonetheless...Pakistan does not have the resources America does to complete this task in a fashion that would best serve American interests, but it is well known that the country is not trying to harbor them...President Musharraf is not the best option America would like to have as an ally, but it seems he is clearly the best America could hope for...anything else would be a turn for the worse...
That is why we are not in Pakistan right now...will we be in the future?...Tough call...If Musharraf was assaniated and an Islamic radical regime took over, it would not surprise me if America's focus changes...