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Omicron < Half a flu season

Rickeroo

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18,000 dead max. I've adjusted Omicron downward since yesterday, initially putting it at a standard flu season at 36,000 dead. It's very likely I'll be adjusting it down again.
 
Everybody panic! We're all going to die!
 
Rickeroo said:
18,000 dead max. I've adjusted Omicron downward since yesterday, initially putting it at a standard flu season at 36,000 dead. It's very likely I'll be adjusting it down again.
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How long is flu season?
 
Oh look another prophet telling us our futures

Lets see if this one is as accurate as the others
 
Rickeroo said:
About 5 months I'm guessing. It's death toll is 36,000 on average.
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In the us. How many deaths world wide?

And omicron has been in the us for a couple.of weeks.
 
Rickeroo said:
18,000 dead max. I've adjusted Omicron downward since yesterday, initially putting it at a standard flu season at 36,000 dead. It's very likely I'll be adjusting it down again.
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Death isn't the only measure of the impact of a covid infection.
 
Rickeroo said:
18,000 dead max.
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How did your previous covid predictions hold up? Let's see...

Here is a sample from May 7, 2020: projection of ~120,000 deaths from covid:

Rickeroo said:
The 2017/2018 flu killed 60,000, Covid 19 will end up being about twice that.
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Looks like by May 19, 2020 you increased it to ~150,000:

Rickeroo said:
Now that we know US deaths from Covid will top out at about 0.046% of the population
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I see you still like making predictions though...
 
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