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O'Donnell in Delaware. You Make the Call

* O'Donnell in Delaware. You Make the Call

  • Wins by less than 1%

    Votes: 1 3.0%
  • Wins by 1-2%

    Votes: 2 6.1%
  • Wins by 2-3%

    Votes: 1 3.0%
  • Wins by 4 or more %

    Votes: 5 15.2%
  • Loses by less than 1%

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Loses by 1-2%

    Votes: 1 3.0%
  • Loses by 2-3%

    Votes: 1 3.0%
  • Loses by 4 or more %

    Votes: 22 66.7%

  • Total voters
    33
  • Poll closed .

zimmer

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End result?
Win - Lose.
By how many?
You make the call.

This is as much about tracking the race as predicting the outcome. :)

Dems... Nervous?

ROTFLOL...
Here is the killer...
Sixty-three percent (63%) of Delaware voters are at least somewhat angry with the policies of the federal government, which is in line with results found nationally.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ctions/delaware/election_2010_delaware_senate
Now, do they send another Marxist to DC, or someone hell bent on undoing the damage done?

.
 
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Redress

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Coons should win by double digits, but should is not will. I would go with a more like 5 % win, with even closer possible.
 

tacomancer

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The bottom and fourth option are the same.
 

Your Star

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I'm guessing the bottom option was supposed to loses by more than 4%. I'm guessing it will be that. You don't wanna piss off masturbators.
 

Wiseone

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Now, do they send another Marxist to DC, or someone hell bent on undoing the damage done?
Here's your problem, you view all democrats as the same. And even worse you think other people do as well.
 

The Uncola

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End result?
Win - Lose.
By how many?
You make the call.

This is as much about tracking the race as predicting the outcome. :)

Dems... Nervous?

ROTFLOL...


Here is the killer...


Now, do they send another Marxist to DC, or someone hell bent on undoing the damage done?

.
I don't care much for stinkbait, but tnx 4 d offa.
 

zimmer

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Election 2010: Delaware Senate
Delaware Senate: Coons (D) 53%, O’Donnell (R) 42%
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Election 2010: Delaware Senate - Rasmussen Reports™
Here's your problem, you view all democrats as the same. And even worse you think other people do as well.
Psssssssssst... check their voting records.
Look what they did to Lieberman... the ONE that strayed.
Blue Dawgs? Where I ask? Check the ObiKare vote.

Show me the conservative wing of the Democrat party. There ain't one.

I don't care much for stinkbait, but tnx 4 d offa.
Stink bait?

I'm curious to see what people think.
You seem nervous... BTW the poll is secret, so nobody will know how wrong you might be.

O'Donnell by 2%.

.
 
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The Mark

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I decided to vote for the 4th option, because that's what I WANT to happen.

Partially, because she's not an incumbent. Partially, because if my info is correct, neither party seemed too thrilled with her nomination - thus, she's probably the best possible option...

I'm feeling contrary today. :mrgreen:
 

Barbbtx

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I chose the one closest to " She's going to clobber him."
 

roughdraft274

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Show me the conservative wing of the Democrat party. There ain't one.
Uh-huh. Which is why when they had 60 votes in the senate, all of them full fledged communists and socialists, they passed a rabidly partisan healthcare bill based around a single payer system... er... public option... er.... a watered down rework of what republicans proposed in the 90's...

That's right, a congress full of socialists and the best they could do is pass a rehashed version of a republican proposal.

You're argument is more of a convoluted rant then anything else.
 

Ikari

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I think she'll lose by over 4%. She's kinda crazy, and not in the entertaining way like Ross Perot. The scary "Holy ****, do people still believe crap like that in the modern era" type crazy.
 

Dav

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These options are way too narrow... there's like an 80% chance of the bottom one, and a 20% chance of all the rest of them combined.
 

Redress

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Do I get to choose your avatar for you if I win?
I would actually pull for O'Donnell if you guys do make this bet, just so you can get even with her.
 

Redress

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These options are way too narrow... there's like an 80% chance of the bottom one, and a 20% chance of all the rest of them combined.
Shhh...I was hoping to look smart in my pick...
 

Ikari

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These options are way too narrow... there's like an 80% chance of the bottom one, and a 20% chance of all the rest of them combined.
Then write it as a superposition of states.
 

Ikari

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Huh? Write what as a superposition of what?
It's like freshman quantum mechanics. Simply put, you've reduced the system to two probabilities. 80% bottom, 20% the rest. So you can represent that in simple Dirac notation where in |1> can represent the bottom state and |0> is then the entangled state representing the other options. This |0> and |1> are eigen vectors (states) of the system and you can represent the various probabilities for each eigen vector through a superposition of states with appropriate weight factors. Such as:

A=sqrt(1/5)|0> + sqrt(4/5)|1>

assuming standard ortho-normal conditions to the eigen set. Thus A is your answer and carries with it all the information you had earlier claimed; but represented as a superposition of states.

Jeez, it's like some of you people didn't even take quantum

:p
 

The Uncola

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Psssssssssst... check their voting records.
Look what they did to Lieberman... the ONE that strayed.
Blue Dawgs? Where I ask? Check the ObiKare vote.

Show me the conservative wing of the Democrat party. There ain't one.


Stink bait?

I'm curious to see what people think.
You seem nervous... BTW the poll is secret, so nobody will know how wrong you might be.

O'Donnell by 2%.

.
That's correct,Stink bait.

The idiotic Marxist crack makes the entire thread reek.
 

Captain America

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Methinks she just had her 15 mintes of fame. By this time next week, more than likely, we'll hardly hear of her again.

We'll see.
 

soccerboy22

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She isn't going to win, but I think it might be closer than most of us think.
 

cpwill

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:shrug: she was also guaranteed to lose the primary.

there was no way Scott Brown was going to win in Mass.

Mark Rubio is a fool for thinking he could take on a sitting governor in a primary.

Rand Paul is way too far right to ever be elected.....

and so on and so forth.

ANYONE claiming sureity in the failure of anti-incumbent / anti-establishment style candidates this year is either a fool, or whistling in the dark.
 

Dav

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:shrug: she was also guaranteed to lose the primary.

there was no way Scott Brown was going to win in Mass.

Mark Rubio is a fool for thinking he could take on a sitting governor in a primary.

Rand Paul is way too far right to ever be elected.....

and so on and so forth.

ANYONE claiming sureity in the failure of anti-incumbent / anti-establishment style candidates this year is either a fool, or whistling in the dark.
Not full sureity, but 94% sureity.
After Delaware, G.O.P. Senate Takeover Appears Much Less Likely - NYTimes.com

Primaries are also a lot more volatile and unpredictable than general elections.
 
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