- Joined
- Mar 21, 2005
- Messages
- 25,893
- Reaction score
- 12,484
- Location
- New York, NY
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Slightly Conservative
The odds are strongly against the Dems taking over either chamber, although they may make small gains.
In the Senate, there are only ten competitive races, 5 currently held by R's, 4 currently held by D's, and one I.
For the Dems to take control of the Senate, they have to GAIN six seats, so that's looking mathematically improbable.
For the house, the vast majority of members are safe, and there are only roughly 30 contested seats, with a 2:1 split being held by Reps, placing them in a vulnerable position. Assuming the dems win half, that results in a 5 seat gain, still giving the Reps a 226-207 majority in the house. Dems would need a FIFTEEN seat gain to win the house back, which isnt looking probable.
In the Senate, there are only ten competitive races, 5 currently held by R's, 4 currently held by D's, and one I.
For the Dems to take control of the Senate, they have to GAIN six seats, so that's looking mathematically improbable.
For the house, the vast majority of members are safe, and there are only roughly 30 contested seats, with a 2:1 split being held by Reps, placing them in a vulnerable position. Assuming the dems win half, that results in a 5 seat gain, still giving the Reps a 226-207 majority in the house. Dems would need a FIFTEEN seat gain to win the house back, which isnt looking probable.