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Will Likely Add 100,000 Jobs to Economy
The rule is expected to impact roughly 4.2 million workers in the United States. The rule adjusts the minimum salary at which employers are exempt from paying overtime from the current rate of 23,660/year to 47,476/year.
There are four ways employers may respond to this rule change:
- Simply making the overtime payments.
- Reducing employees' base pay, in an effort to leave their total compensation unchanged after the new overtime payments — though this can be complicated, especially because the employers don't always know in advance how much overtime each employee will work.
- Increasing employees' base pay to exceed the new threshold so they remain exempt from overtime payments. Goldman thinks this is most likely for employees who already earn a salary very close to $47,476.
- Employing more workers and have them work fewer hours, so they do not run afoul of the 40-hour limit.
And yet, Paul Ryan has vowed to fight this rule change despite campaigning just a few months earlier on trying to improve the financial situation of workers just like the ones that this rule is designed to help.
The rule is expected to impact roughly 4.2 million workers in the United States. The rule adjusts the minimum salary at which employers are exempt from paying overtime from the current rate of 23,660/year to 47,476/year.
There are four ways employers may respond to this rule change:
- Simply making the overtime payments.
- Reducing employees' base pay, in an effort to leave their total compensation unchanged after the new overtime payments — though this can be complicated, especially because the employers don't always know in advance how much overtime each employee will work.
- Increasing employees' base pay to exceed the new threshold so they remain exempt from overtime payments. Goldman thinks this is most likely for employees who already earn a salary very close to $47,476.
- Employing more workers and have them work fewer hours, so they do not run afoul of the 40-hour limit.
By examining employer behavior from the last time the overtime threshold was changed, in 2004, Goldman economist Alec Phillips developed a "central" estimate that 100,000 additional jobs will be created in 2017 as employers choose the third option — not a huge amount in an economy creating between 2 and 3 million jobs a year, but not trivial either.
And yet, Paul Ryan has vowed to fight this rule change despite campaigning just a few months earlier on trying to improve the financial situation of workers just like the ones that this rule is designed to help.