ralfy
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Reminds me of that anecdote from one of the Curtis' documentaries that talked about game theory. I can't remember the details, but I think it's about a thief who steals diamonds but can't sell them, and another thief offering to buy them for a million dollars. The first doesn't trust the other (i.e., the second might shoot him and run away with the diamonds), so proposes that instead of meeting and making the exchange they each bury what they will trade in fields far from each other, then meet to give each other the exact location of what they buried. After doing so, the first thief starts to change his mind again, and considers the possibility that the other will not bury the money. So, should he bury the diamonds?
I don't remember why the anecdote was raised, but it resembles a variant of Pascal's wage. That is, the four possibilities are both thieves bury what they trade and get what they want, only the first doesn't bury what to trade and gets away with it, only the second does that, or neither buries what they're supposed to trade.
Given that, the answer is not to bury the diamonds, as one as a 50-pct chance of getting what one wants or nothing in contrast to getting a 50-pct chance of getting nothing or losing the diamonds.
I don't remember why the anecdote was raised, but it resembles a variant of Pascal's wage. That is, the four possibilities are both thieves bury what they trade and get what they want, only the first doesn't bury what to trade and gets away with it, only the second does that, or neither buries what they're supposed to trade.
Given that, the answer is not to bury the diamonds, as one as a 50-pct chance of getting what one wants or nothing in contrast to getting a 50-pct chance of getting nothing or losing the diamonds.