Another bogus Yahoo/YouGov poll.
I have shown before how these people manipulate their polls by over and under sampling by party affiliation. This poll is no different.
This poll:
Dems - 32%
Reps - 27%
Inds - 26%
POLL REJECTED!!!
As a disclaimer, this post assumes that you -@Mycroft- believe that you rejected the poll for valid methodological reasons, and not becuase you don't like the results. If this assumption is incorrect, you can stop reading now.
I assume this is the poll you're talking about, the Economist/Yougov poll from Sept. 24-27.
Results, interactive data, and methodology on Americans' attitudes on QAnon from the latest Economist/YouGov survey.
today.yougov.com
It's the only one I could find on their site. If it isn't, doesn't really matter because the results are very similar.
Question 98: Party Affiliation
Strong Democrat ....................................................................... 22%
Not very strong Democrat ...............................................................11%
Lean Democrat ..........................................................................8%
Independent ............................................................................18%
Lean Republican .........................................................................8%
Not very strong Republican .............................................................10%
Strong Republican ......................................................................19%
Not sure .................................................................................4%
41% Dem, 18% Independent, 37% Rep
I guess you have never taken a statistics class or studied how polling is done. One aspect of a random sample is that you cannot guarantee a perfectly "balanced" distribution of demographic characteristics. Therefore, pollsters use this concept called "math" to weight the results. This poll weighted, "according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and Presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status" (see the poll's Methodology link). Dismissing the poll for the reason you cite is nonsensical and unscientific.
Questions 67 & 68 concern Trump:
67. Do you want President Biden to run for president again in 2024?
Yes .....................................................................................21%
No ......................................................................................55%
Not sure ................................................................................24%
68. Do you want Donald Trump to run for president again in 2024?
Yes .....................................................................................29%
No ......................................................................................53%
Not sure ................................................................................18%
Even if the 3% margin of error all went his way, the results remain quite unfavorable for Mr. Trump.
I know that for some mysterious reason you don't care what 538 says, or that they've given yougov a B+ rating, but it actually matters. 538 looks at a number of factors, but the most important is the pollster's performance in predicting outcomes. 538 analyzed 455 yougov polls that correctly predicted 89% of races. That's a pretty decent grade.
FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodology of each firm’s polls.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com