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Modelling economic policy on historical data.

Moderate71

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What if we look at the history of the Stock Market and see what worked and what doesn't. You look at periods of time when the Stock Market went up and model USA policy on the behavior of the time.

For example, let's look at two periods of time where the Stock Market went absolutely crazy.

8/1/1924 = 89.9
8/1/1929 = 380.33 = 100,00 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

5/1/1942 = 100.88
5/1/1946 = 212.28 = 60,000 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

Whatever fiscal policy we were engaging in from mid 1924 to mid 1929 must have been very good for the economy. Another time was mid 1942 to mid 1946.

From what I can see, things were good from the late 1910s until mid 1929 when we changed our policy. Then, the early 1940s through 1950s were good as well.

Another thing I can see is that FDR was president most of the time between the two time periods of 1929 and 1942. This might be a coincidence, except it looks suspicious.
 

Xelor

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What if we look at the history of the Stock Market and see what worked and what doesn't. You look at periods of time when the Stock Market went up and model USA policy on the behavior of the time.

For example, let's look at two periods of time where the Stock Market went absolutely crazy.

8/1/1924 = 89.9
8/1/1929 = 380.33 = 100,00 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

5/1/1942 = 100.88
5/1/1946 = 212.28 = 60,000 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

Whatever fiscal policy we were engaging in from mid 1924 to mid 1929 must have been very good for the economy. Another time was mid 1942 to mid 1946.

From what I can see, things were good from the late 1910s until mid 1929 when we changed our policy. Then, the early 1940s through 1950s were good as well.

Another thing I can see is that FDR was president most of the time between the two time periods of 1929 and 1942. This might be a coincidence, except it looks suspicious.


What? Could you explain, please, what exactly it is you're proposing policy makers and/or economists do? An outline of the process, it's specific key inputs and outputs and how they're used will do.
 

Moderate71

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What? Could you explain, please, what exactly it is you're proposing policy makers and/or economists do? An outline of the process, it's specific key inputs and outputs and how they're used will do.

I'm saying study the major economic and political activities the USA was engaged in during mid 1924 to mid 1929 and between mid 1942 and mid 1946 and engage in whatever activity we were engaging in then. Take a look at the market conditions of the 1920s. The Republicans introduced massive tax cuts and implemented a policy of lending like crazy. It worked wonders. I've read that Trump would like to slash interest rates to 0%, slash taxes across the board, and implement a policy of lending, lending, lending. This looks like it would be a good idea. Some people are saying it can create a boom to the economy. 1942 to 1946 is also a time period we need to look at and see what we can do to see if we can engage in whatever policies may have helped our economy boom.

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jnug

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What if we look at the history of the Stock Market and see what worked and what doesn't. You look at periods of time when the Stock Market went up and model USA policy on the behavior of the time.

For example, let's look at two periods of time where the Stock Market went absolutely crazy.

8/1/1924 = 89.9
8/1/1929 = 380.33 = 100,00 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

5/1/1942 = 100.88
5/1/1946 = 212.28 = 60,000 in 5 years if we can duplicate it.

Whatever fiscal policy we were engaging in from mid 1924 to mid 1929 must have been very good for the economy. Another time was mid 1942 to mid 1946.

From what I can see, things were good from the late 1910s until mid 1929 when we changed our policy. Then, the early 1940s through 1950s were good as well.

Another thing I can see is that FDR was president most of the time between the two time periods of 1929 and 1942. This might be a coincidence, except it looks suspicious.

Do yourself a favor...not being cute with this either. Crack a few history books.
 

Cordelier

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Whatever fiscal policy we were engaging in from mid 1924 to mid 1929 must have been very good for the economy.

Sure... everything was peachy, right up until we went over the cliff. "But aside from that Mrs. Lincoln, how'd you enjoy the play?"

Another time was mid 1942 to mid 1946.

Nobody ever said war wasn't profitable.

Just goes to show... every silver lining has a dark cloud.
 

Xelor

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I'm saying study the major economic and political activities the USA was engaged in during mid 1924 to mid 1929 and between mid 1942 and mid 1946 and engage in whatever activity we were engaging in then. Take a look at the market conditions of the 1920s. The Republicans introduced massive tax cuts and implemented a policy of lending like crazy. It worked wonders. I've read that Trump would like to slash interest rates to 0%, slash taxes across the board, and implement a policy of lending, lending, lending. This looks like it would be a good idea. Some people are saying it can create a boom to the economy. 1942 to 1946 is also a time period we need to look at and see what we can do to see if we can engage in whatever policies may have helped our economy boom.

View attachment 67246817

View attachment 67246816

Well, TY for the clarification. I now understand what you're suggesting....
 
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