Mexican elections (1 Viewer)

[Red_Dave]

Anyone else been following this? Any predictions on what the outcome will be and how this will effect mexican politics over the next few years?

 

[Jay R]

I only saw a little bit on this mornings news, they think it might swing towards the Socialist candidate right? That would certainly follow the trend for Latin America right now. What will it do? Sour relations with the US for one, not just for Mexico but the whole region, there's little chance of American intervention in the region at the moment due to the Middle East but I wouldn't be suprised if it subconciously swings the US even more towards tighter border control. It could undermine the US's trade group in the region (sorry, forgotten the name and the abbreviation. :roll: ) and boost Castro and Chavez's rival one, will it increase prosperity? No idea, but they're competing with China for American outsourcing work.

 

[Kelzie]

I only saw a little bit on this mornings news, they think it might swing towards the Socialist candidate right? That would certainly follow the trend for Latin America right now. What will it do? Sour relations with the US for one, not just for Mexico but the whole region, there's little chance of American intervention in the region at the moment due to the Middle East but I wouldn't be suprised if it subconciously swings the US even more towards tighter border control. It could undermine the US's trade group in the region (sorry, forgotten the name and the abbreviation. :roll: ) and boost Castro and Chavez's rival one, will it increase prosperity? No idea, but they're competing with China for American outsourcing work.

Just because he's socialist doesn't mean he will ally with Chavez. There was a recent election (can't remember which) where a socialist was elected but said in no uncertain terms he wasn't friends with Chavez. Mexico depends very heavily on the US for trade. I doubt any president would jeopardize that, regardless of his political affiliation.

 

[Patrickt]

The two close candidates are the leftist and the relatively conservative. Most say it's too close to call. I don't think we would see any significant social change either way. I don't think we would see any significant change in relationships with the U.S. The changes will be in the economy of Mexico.

 

[Jay R]

Just because he's socialist doesn't mean he will ally with Chavez. There was a recent election (can't remember which) where a socialist was elected but said in no uncertain terms he wasn't friends with Chavez. Mexico depends very heavily on the US for trade. I doubt any president would jeopardize that, regardless of his political affiliation.

As I said, I've only just seen a small piece about Mexico's elections, it's not something we get coverage of here, I totally made that opinion up as I went along.:smile: I doubt even a Socialist lead Mexico is going to jump straight into bed with Hugo and Fidel with the same kind of anti-US rhetoric but I'd imagine they would be talking to them and possibly cooperating on some things. By all means educate me as to the subtleties of Mexican politics. What's known of their attitudes and policies?

 

[Kelzie]

As I said, I've only just seen a small piece about Mexico's elections, it's not something we get coverage of here, I totally made that opinion up as I went along.:smile: I doubt even a Socialist lead Mexico is going to jump straight into bed with Hugo and Fidel with the same kind of anti-US rhetoric but I'd imagine they would be talking to them and possibly cooperating on some things. By all means educate me as to the subtleties of Mexican politics. What's known of their attitudes and policies?

You want it in essay form? :nahnah:

I can't educate you. I know Calderon (from Fox's party) is running on being the same. Obrador is running on helping the poor. Calderon is accusing Obrador of wanting to finance social programs at the expense of national debt. But both groups have said they'll remain close with the US (while opposing our border patrols).

And now they've both declared victory. Hope it doesn't get ugly.

 

[Patrickt]

Since Lopez has already started threatning riots if he isn't declared the winner, there's at least a 50/50 chance it will get ugly. It would have been nice if he'd waited until the votes were counted but that doesn't seem to be the way it's done, here or in the U.S.

The one bright spot, in my opinion, was the miserable showing of the PRI candidate.

You know, when President Bush was elected friends said, "That's it. Abortion will be illegal within four years. He will totally dismantle the federal government. It will be mandatory to be Christian in the U.S." Of course, none of those things happened. I think much of the rhetoric about Lopez is similar. If he is elected, in my opinion, he will be much richer in six years, the poor will be just as poor, and the economy might well take a hit. And, Mexico will survive.

 

[Doremus Jessup]

They won't start the official count until Wednesday. That way Bush's 2000 Florida team can have the 4th off. :lol:
If everything is legit, I think the leftist will win. If his platform is to help the poor, there are quite a few poor people. It would also depend on Fox's popularity as Calderon (sp) is his guy.