- Joined
- Nov 14, 2009
- Messages
- 23,889
- Reaction score
- 19,558
- Location
- Rocky Mtn. High
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Progressive
One poll only 2 weeks before the 2006 election, polls are way off as a rule.
No need for you to 'erect a cathedral' around any polls- snapshots in time
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* 10/8 - 10/9 447 LV 4.6 46 35 9 Clinton +11
Associated Press-GfK* 10/20 - 10/24 1212 LV -- 51 37 6 Clinton +14
And as for Trump being gone by this time next year, have a look at a top sports book odds I play at for the 2020 election:
75201 DONALD TRUMP +250
75202 MIKE PENCE +800
75203 ELIZABETH WARREN +1000
75204 MICHELLE OBAMA +2000
75205 CORY BOOKER +2500
75206 JOE BIDEN +2200
75207 BERNIE SANDERS +2000
75208 HILLARY CLINTON +5000
75209 PAUL RYAN +3750
75210 MARK ZUCKERBERG +2500
75211 ANDREW CUOMO +6000
75212 TIM KAINE +5000
75213 AMY KLOBOCHAR +6500
75214 KAMALA HARRIS +2000
75215 SHERROD BROWN +4000
Trump's the big favorite
Since you fail to understand the difference between an election poll and an opinion poll, there is no foundation discussion. Every point you are trying to make is because you fail to get the distinction, which leads to a failure in your argument.
But, the final composite Real Clear Politics poll had Clinton by 2.1%, which was her margin of victory in the general election....spot on.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
I