Major Rasmussen shift against Trump

[haymarket]

As most careful observers of public polls realize, Rasmussen has been far more favorable to Donald Trump than many other polling organizations. Generally, Trumps positive numbers have held in the mid forties there while in many other polls they are a good five points or more lower.

Check this out

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

Rasmussen is showing a serious erosion of public feeling about Trump and it appears to be as a result of the government shutdown.

Back on December 18 - before the shutdown - 36% of respondents said they STRONGLY SUPPORT Trump. Those who said they STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of Trump were given a 39%. That is a negative difference for Trump of three points.

In the survey dated Jan. 11, the numbers are 33% STRONGLY SUPORT while the STRONGLY DISAPPROVE have increased up to 46%. That means the number for Trump is now at negative 13 points.

Keep in mind this comes from Rasmussen.

Could this be the crack in Trump support that many have been waiting for?

And please keep in mind this latest survey was done before the two bombshell stories from this past weekend that provided even more serious bad information about Trump and Russia. We have yet to see how polls will be impeached by those developments.

And let us not forget the date of February 7th.

 

[tres borrachos]

As most careful observers of public polls realize, Rasmussen has been far more favorable to Donald Trump than many other polling organizations. Generally, Trumps positive numbers have held in the mid forties there while in many other polls they are a good five points or more lower.

Check this out

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

Rasmussen is showing a serious erosion of public feeling about Trump and it appears to be as a result of the government shutdown.

Back on December 18 - before the shutdown - 36% of respondents said they STRONGLY SUPPORT Trump. Those who said they STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of Trump were given a 39%. That is a negative difference for Trump of three points.

In the survey dated Jan. 11, the numbers are 33% STRONGLY SUPORT while the STRONGLY DISAPPROVE have increased up to 46%. That means the number for Trump is now at negative 13 points.

Keep in mind this comes from Rasmussen.

Could this be the crack in Trump support that many have been waiting for?

And please keep in mind this latest survey was done before the two bombshell stories from this past weekend that provided even more serious bad information about Trump and Russia. We have yet to see how polls will be impeached by those developments.

And let us not forget the date of February 7th.

Anyone whose brain works knows this is a really, really bad sign for Trump. When Rasmussen results go against you as a "Republican", you are toast.

Glad to see the collective IQ of the country raising itself with more and more people turning against Trump.

 

[ttwtt78640]

How can anyone who strongly supports a completely immoral policy only have added 5 points to their (still minority) STRONGLY DISAPPROVE poll rating?

 

[Captain Adverse]

Well...

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

So there may be some decline in approval over the shutdown, but apparently not much overall change in his support ratings. :shrug:

IMO, I think Trump should let McConnell put the CR up for a vote in the Senate, veto it if it passes, and let them override him.

He can then simply blame Congress for his failure to "build a wall."

Then, hopefully, he can negotiate with Congress for actual Immigration Reforms along the lines of some of my recent poll options:

https://www.debatepolitics.com/polls/342724-my-proposals-immigration-reform-counter-wall.html

He could even get some funds to improve current border fencing where it already exists via negotiations for the actual Federal appropriations bill Congress should be working on.

 

[ttwtt78640]

Anyone whose brain works knows this is a really, really bad sign for Trump. When Rasmussen results go against you as a "Republican", you are toast.

Glad to see the collective IQ of the country raising itself with more and more people turning against Trump.

Yep, lots of Trump disapproval, but that is not exactly rare for congressional leaders either.

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- As the 116th U.S. Congress convenes today, its top leaders face a public that, on balance, holds them in low esteem. Nancy Pelosi, who is expected to be elected speaker of the House for the second time following the Democratic gains in the November midterm elections, is viewed favorably by 38% of Americans and unfavorably by 48%. Her resulting -10 net image rating compares with Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell's -18 and Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer's -8 net ratings.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/245747/congressional-leaders-unpopular-balance.aspx

 

[washunut]

As most careful observers of public polls realize, Rasmussen has been far more favorable to Donald Trump than many other polling organizations. Generally, Trumps positive numbers have held in the mid forties there while in many other polls they are a good five points or more lower.

Check this out

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

Rasmussen is showing a serious erosion of public feeling about Trump and it appears to be as a result of the government shutdown.

Back on December 18 - before the shutdown - 36% of respondents said they STRONGLY SUPPORT Trump. Those who said they STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of Trump were given a 39%. That is a negative difference for Trump of three points.

In the survey dated Jan. 11, the numbers are 33% STRONGLY SUPORT while the STRONGLY DISAPPROVE have increased up to 46%. That means the number for Trump is now at negative 13 points.

Keep in mind this comes from Rasmussen.

Could this be the crack in Trump support that many have been waiting for?

And please keep in mind this latest survey was done before the two bombshell stories from this past weekend that provided even more serious bad information about Trump and Russia. We have yet to see how polls will be impeached by those developments.

And let us not forget the date of February 7th.

Actually surprised that the strongly support number is as high as it is. Will embolden more to primary against Trump. His Republican opponents should learn from 2015/2016 and not run 10-15 challengers. Pick the most electable and have him/her beat Trump in primary. Probably won't happen as too many have egos that tell them he/she is the best choice and will not step aside. Exactly what happened in the 2016 cycle. Democrats understood this (except for Sanders) but picked the wrong horse from the start.

 

[Praxas]

Yep, lots of Trump disapproval, but that is not exactly rare for congressional leaders either.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/245747/congressional-leaders-unpopular-balance.aspx

The difference of course is that someone who lives in Nebraska doesn’t vote for Pelosi. Not the same with the president. And yes we know about the electoral college so spare us that lame excuse to how the people don’t elect the president. The point being is in Nebraska the president is on the ballot, Pelosi is not.

 

[ttwtt78640]

The difference of course is that someone who lives in Nebraska doesn’t vote for Pelosi. Not the same with the president. And yes we know about the electoral college so spare us that lame excuse to how the people don’t elect the president. The point being is in Nebraska the president is on the ballot, Pelosi is not.

I disagree with much of what Trump says and also disagreed with much of what Obama said yet never questioned his sanity, patriotism or fitness for public office. The politicians who most frustrate me are those in congress from states/districts in which I have no ability to vote them out of office. The worst part about congress (and thus ever expanding federal power and expense) is that 532 out of those 535 congress critters are folks that you can't vote for or against.

 

[tres borrachos]

Yep, lots of Trump disapproval, but that is not exactly rare for congressional leaders either.



https://news.gallup.com/poll/245747/congressional-leaders-unpopular-balance.aspx

Um, okay? Nancy Pelosi's re-election is fascinating, but we're talking about Trump. It is not good when POTUS is unpopular.

And since the GOP has a lot of Senate members coming up for re-election in 2020, that poll doesn't bode well for them, either.

The GOP is toast for a generation if it doesn't get its act together and start to distance itself from Trump.

 

[TheGoverness]

Anyone whose brain works knows this is a really, really bad sign for Trump. When Rasmussen results go against you as a "Republican", you are toast.

Glad to see the collective IQ of the country raising itself with more and more people turning against Trump.

Morning, Tres! eace

Yeah, I've been putting stock in Rasmussen ever since they correctly polled that Trump had the most likely chance of winning in the 2016 election.

 

[ttwtt78640]

Um, okay? Nancy Pelosi's re-election is fascinating, but we're talking about Trump. It is not good when POTUS is unpopular.

And since the GOP has a lot of Senate members coming up for re-election in 2020, that poll doesn't bode well for them, either.

The GOP is toast for a generation if it doesn't get its act together and start to distance itself from Trump.

Much the same was said about the demorats after PPACA was passed but that was a mighty short generation.

 

[haymarket]

Actually surprised that the strongly support number is as high as it is. Will embolden more to primary against Trump. His Republican opponents should learn from 2015/2016 and not run 10-15 challengers. Pick the most electable and have him/her beat Trump in primary. Probably won't happen as too many have egos that tell them he/she is the best choice and will not step aside. Exactly what happened in the 2016 cycle. Democrats understood this (except for Sanders) but picked the wrong horse from the start.

After two years of this, what these polls clearly demonstrate is that the DEPLORABLE factor will continue to maintain a certain floor for Trumps numbers.

Reasonable people can debate what the percentage of Deplorables are. I would say that at least a full half of Republican voters fall into that category which means Trumps approval numbers will most likely never go below the Thirties in the more accepted polls and below Forty in Rasmussen.

As long as the Deplorables feel Trump is one of them - they will stick with him like white on rice.

 

[tres borrachos]

Much the same was said about the demorats after PPACA was passed but that was a mighty short generation.

The passing of the PPACA hurt the Democrats. The elections went against them, except for Obama. The Trump fans talk constantly about Obama losing 1000 seats and so on.

And Obama, I don't think, was ever as controversial as Trump is.

 

[bubbabgone]

That very same pollster in the very same link had Trump's disapproval dancing in the 40's all last year. Sometimes higher and sometimes lower.

 

[Airyaman]

This too shall pass. Looks like he had a good stint in the higher disapprovals last year and this appears to be a start of another one. IOW, not unusual and not a good indicator of actual resolve. Once the shutdown is over, he'll likely return to more typical polling. No matter the outcome. If he caves on the wall, he can spin it to be about caring for all of the people who were going without a paycheck.

 

[haymarket]

This too shall pass. Looks like he had a good stint in the higher disapprovals last year and this appears to be a start of another one. IOW, not unusual and not a good indicator of actual resolve. Once the shutdown is over, he'll likely return to more typical polling. No matter the outcome. If he caves on the wall, he can spin it to be about caring for all of the people who were going without a paycheck.

Today the news from Rasmussen is even worse. Trumps approval numbers are lower and now the negative number is minus 14.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

It is now the headline on DRUDGE REPORT.

As to Trump touring the number around - I kind of doubt it since we have the blockbuster testimony before Congress of Michael Cohen on February 7th and then a series of House hearings after that. There is going to be lots and lots of bad Trump news for a long time to come and that is not even knowing when the Mueller Report will hit - possibly with the force of an atomic bomb in Trump world.

 

[Plasmaball]

It needs to dip below 35 before I'm gonna say anything. Trump tends to go back and forth between 43% and 38%. Which given historical context isnt that bad for a reelection.

If this was 2020 and I was trump I'd be thinking about packing up my bags maybe.. th is shutdown is just bad..