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Is the gold bull market over?

Is the gold bull market over?

  • Yes

    Votes: 27 55.1%
  • No

    Votes: 14 28.6%
  • Don't know

    Votes: 8 16.3%

  • Total voters
    49

See, I told you that you were a financial genius. That makes a heck of a lot better sense to me than these investing gurus who always recommend a particular investment AFTER it has significantly gone up. I've never understood why so many investment advisors recommend buying high, instead of buying low.
 

If he was 'cherry picking' - then why would we choose 1999? Gold did not start moving until 2001/2002. In fact, gold was actually lower in early 2001 then it was in 1999.



Gold Price History

http://www.nma.org/pdf/gold/his_gold_prices.pdf


As for why he chose 1999 - you will have to ask him.

But I suspect because that was just before the western governments began to abandon fiscal responsibility, embrace artificially low interest rates and the manipulation of the housing market (through these and other means) soon began which led to the monetary instability/inflationary concerns which helped start the gold bull run.

Additionally, this was an excerpt from (what I assume) was an interview. We do not know to what question he was answering or what context he was speaking in.
 
As for why he chose 1999 - you will have to ask him.

But I suspect because that was just before the western governments began to abandon fiscal responsibility...

No, that happened in 1973.

Plenty of good comments deserving answers. Hope to have time for some this evening.
 

Seriously? If you don't know why he picked 99, you understand nothing of what he is saying.

99 was the market peak. When you want to pretend an asset is good, you just look for the peak of the comparator and count from there.
 
Well, my prediction is that gold is worth $800 to $1000 now, and anything over that range will eventually drop.

I will not justify my methodology, but I will let the future's history be my judge.

Take that $800 to $1000 and adjust for inflation is more than a year or two passes.
 
Ah yes the Gold rush is over, the Banksters have run out of real, physical gold, but they still can play the naked short paper gold racket!
The gold rush is over for western Governments, Banksters and ETFs, since they underhandedly sold all their gold to suppress prices, a crime perpetrated for the last four decades, since the London Gold Pool collapsed in 1968! ETFs are being shorted by the Banksters and the gold is being looted to meet physical demand!
Banksters have criminally rehypothecated 200x over the same oz of gold in customers’ pooled accounts and looted (stolen) every allocated gold account of their customers, just to meet the demand for real money!
In fact, demand for Real Money is so overwhelming that it lead to such a crisis in the bullion banksters’ fractional bullion racket, where they were close to default because of their criminal, fraudulent racket, that a white house meeting of the top 14 banksters was called.
And the following day on April 12th yet another massive smash started with 400 tons of (naked shorts) gold being dumped to destroy the price; in all over a thousand tons of naked papers shorts, over a year’s production, was dumped over Friday/Monday to get a destruction of $220 in the price of gold.
But of course Banksters, the Government, Fed and BIS are all at the suppression game 24/7 and have been so since 1968 with naked paper shorts.
ABN Amro was the first to admit that they are cleaned out of gold and will not honour their commitment and contractual obligations to its customers!

Successful and prosperous countries all purchase gold by the truckloads, and the ailing, terminally ill countries of the west are idiotically selling their family jewels at artificially suppressed and destroyed prices to the new economic powers of the east.
No more cogent proof of the failed and scurrilous policies of western decision makers than the shift of power to the east with the sale of gold, which is, has and always will be the real choice of money for humanity, bar the Keynesian dunces now calling the shots.
In light of the parlous and desperate situation the US economy finds itself in it is edifying to note that Roubini was an economic advisor to the Government!
Yes Keynesianism is all there is left now in the cupboard of economic wizardry of the ‘intelligentsia’ running the show.
This Keynesianism is akin to taking a dollar from a kid then giving him four quarters back and telling him that he now has more wealth since he’s now in possession of four pieces!
Yep, cutting the pie into ever smaller pieces by printing more and more confetti dollars to chase the same goods is making us all wealthier; we can print ourselves to prosperity, Mr. Keynes!

Roubini deserves the Nobel Prize for Economics for fathoming that the gold bubble has burst, as much as warmongering, drone massacre Obama, and the country destroying EU deserved the Peace Prize!

Being a professor and instilling innocent minds with such wisdoms leaves us no hope for the future, in fact the system is totally rigged in favour of TPTB who are all in the same boat of the Fiat Currency racket based on Fractional Reserve Banking owned by the Bankster/DC cartel, and its ensuing Keynesianism to oblivion.
But the day of reckoning will come and it won’t be pretty; the economy is NOT improving Mr Roubini; all the stats are now completely meaningless, since they’re so perverted and falsified, often by a factor of four or more, that only a complete dunce, or a conniving colluder would proffer them as gospel and make pronunciations based on them!

Humanity must be wrong for choosing gold as their tried and trusted choice as a store of their wealth, and Roubini must be right in deriding humanities’ choice and advocating cutting the same piece of pie into ever smaller pieces and telling the sheeples that they now are wealthier!

Well the jury is in; the terminal decline of western economies desperately and underhandedly suppressing, deriding and selling their gold, and the unrelenting rise of the East and its wholesale buying of the only tried and proven store of wealth over five millennia is a cogent judgment on who’s got the right policies, and who’s reduced to resort to nefarious, obtuse and criminal means in a desperate attempt to keep a dying, iniquitous system afloat!

We’ll send our kids to study in Austria!
 

Gold is a nearly useless commodity of value only for adornment mostly. Gold as money is even more useless.
 
Seriously? If you don't know why he picked 99, you understand nothing of what he is saying.
Making childish, nonsensical statements like this is why I generally ignore what you type...I don't pay attention to trolls. I ESPECIALLY don't pay attention to angry, close-minded, ignorant trolls.

Anytime someone says ridiculous absolutes like this - you know they are grasping and are just trying to insult.

99 was the market peak. When you want to pretend an asset is good, you just look for the peak of the comparator and count from there.

Hello, Mr. Troll?

The market peak (a close of 11,723) was in early 2000 - NOT 1999.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Stock Price History | Historical DJI Company Stock Prices | Breaking Business News, Headlines, Stories and Video - CBS News

I knew there was a good reason you were on my ignore list...I have got to learn to pay attention to my Ignore list.


Have a nice day.
 
Gold is a nearly useless commodity of value only for adornment mostly. Gold as money is even more useless.

Well, what a scholarly and penetrating rebuttal of gold, you’ve even outdone Roubini in incisiveness and clarity of thought, are you a Professor of Economics?

Sure, gold is the least understood and most derided Money, mostly by bankster shills, whose only game is the Fiat Currency racket where they can rape the populace at will out of quadrillions and buy all the MSM, shills and the entire political/judicial/educational machinery to perpetuate the crime against humanity, and have the sheeples even cheering on their own rape, fleecing and enslavement!

So one shouldn’t pay any heed to the paid naysayers who can’t even come up with anything resembling coherent thoughts as this derisory, embarrassing diatribe of Professor Roubini.
 
When you want to pretend an asset is good...

Btw.

You don't like Marc Faber's time frame?

Okay...let's use round numbers.

Let's say over the last 5 years and 10 years.

5 years ago:

DOW - 12,503. Today - 15,115. A rise of 20.8%.

Gold - about 900. Today - 1,392.60. A rise of 56.96%


10 years ago:

DOW - 8897. Today - 15,115. A rise of 69.8%

Gold - about $350. Today - $1,392.60 A rise of 281.8%


So gold has almost tripled the DOW over the last 5 years and more then quadrupled the DOW over the last 10 years.

(This despite the FED pouring trillions indirectly into the DOW to artificially prop it up AND gold presently being down 30% from it's peak thanks to ignorant investors actually believing the economy fundamentals are improving)

And you say, in essence, that gold is only pretending to be a good asset over those time frames?

Noted.

http://measuringworth.com/DJA/result.php

http://goldprice.org/gold-price-history.html#5_year_gold_price


Have a nice day.
 

Here are some of Warren Buffets comment about gold ...... I know you think he is another incoherent embarrassment too.


http://www.gurufocus.com/news/220058/seven-quotes-from-warren-buffett-on-gold
 


Just to prove that Nouriel Roubini does not understand gold:

From FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2009

'On Gold:

He does not believe in gold. He says there are two reasons gold can go up:

1. Inflation, not the case now as are are in deflation (capacity glut, weak demand, big unemployment).
2. Armageddon, or another depression. He thinks this has been avoided will all the massive printing.

"So all the gold bugs who say gold is going to go to $1,500, $2,000, they’re just speaking nonsense. Without inflation, or without a depression, there’s nowhere for gold to go".'


Shocked Investor: Roubini: Oil To Drop $50, Gold Has Nowhere To Go, Huge Bubble Being Created Will Crash In An Ugly Way


Gold was about $1050 when he said that.

Within 2 years it was up to almost $1900.

Gold Price History


Just shows how SO many intelligent economists (and I agree with him on other things) simply do not understand gold fundamentals.
 
Just to prove that Nouriel Roubini does not understand gold:

when your resume includes work at the IMF and the Federal Reserve, I don't believe a word you say in the public sphere about monetary policy.

some sock puppets remain anonymous. some are pretty obvious. he is one of the obvious ones.
 
Ah yes the Gold rush is over, the Banksters have run out of real, physical gold....
2500 metric tons of gold is mined every year. That's five times more than what was mined in 1900.

With the possible exception of a few small banks, no one has "run out of gold." Prices have been high because speculators, investors, economic cowards and (to a much lesser extent) affluent Indians have pushed up the demand for gold.


In fact, demand for Real Money is so overwhelming that it lead to such a crisis in the bullion banksters’ fractional bullion racket....
No major economy is using gold as currency right now.


..or, gold has been in a bubble, and as is often the case, the proximate cause (fear that Cyprus would sell off gold reserves) masks the underlying cause (the prices were no longer sustainable).


Roubini deserves the Nobel Prize for Economics for fathoming that the gold bubble has burst....
I wouldn't say that, he's a Perma-Bear and is frequently wrong. But I would say that his Guardian article this week is largely correct.


Humanity must be wrong for choosing gold as their tried and trusted choice as a store of their wealth
Yep, now you're getting it.

Hard currency sucks, and sucks it hard. It's inflexible, it's susceptible to speculators and supply fluctuations, it's not portable. It can't stop inflation, it can't stop deflations, and it can't prevent governments or banks or citizens from misbehaving.

The attachment to gold is not rational. It's emotional, and economically worthless.
 

I read that article yesterday.

I was referring to the article I quoted from 2009, which shows that (imo) Roubini clearly does not understand the fundamentals of gold/silver.

He said 'So all the gold bugs who say gold is going to go to $1,500, $2,000, they’re just speaking nonsense.'

And then gold proceeded to go to from just over $1000 when he said that to almost $1900 within 2 years...which clearly shows he does not understand the gold/silver market/fundamentals as he totally missed the price spike.


As for the article you link to.

in my opinion, it shows he still does not get it.

Gold goes up primarily for two reasons - monetary instability (which I do not believe he even mentioned in his article) and inflationary concerns.

Yes, there are other reasons, some of which he mentioned.

But it is clear that he still thinks gold is primarily driven by inflationary extremes or doomsday scenarios.

Yet gold went from about $350 to $1000 between 2003 and 2008 - and neither was in play at that time.

Gold Price History


It is clear to me from his total miss call of gold in 2009 and from his latest article that he - like MANY economists - simply does not understand the fundamentals of gold.


But we will see, though I do not doubt gold could drop as low as $1000 - maybe even lower - over the short/medium term.

But the fundamentals of gold - imo - are much stronger now then they were even two years ago when it reached it's record high...but this artificially propped up economy is masking them.

As soon as this central bank money 'printing'/massive government deficit spending (which is fueling, imo, unsubstantiated enthusiasm) runs out of steam, the economy will fall drastically and then I believe we will see people run to anything that they think will hold value - including gold/silver (and probably other commodities and maybe bitcoins).
 
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I would like to take the opportunity at this time to thank all the suckers who bought gold in 2010 and 2011, because the gold ETF I bought in 08 basically doubled my money when I sold in 2010-11.

I would especially like to thank Glenn Beck and all the other paranoid right wing nutjobs for helping to spike the price because they were scared a black man was in the White House.

I couldnt have bought that boat without you saps. And I appreciate it.
 

I love posts such as the above. Good for a giggle. Sort of like everyone who comes home from Vegas won big, wonder how the hotels stay in business. Or all the investment gurus on the internet who never made a bad investment and their stock picking recors is better than Buffett's.
 
Marc Faber: In Asia, we see a huge demand for Physical GOLD. Personally, I do not sell my GOLD.

'The Shareholder: Mr. Faber, the gold bubble has finally burst?

Marc Faber: This is of course the question posed at present all investors. Technically speaking, there has been a massive decline. And for all technical means investors this price drop well that the bull market is over. But one must not forget that the fundamental environment speaks for gold remains. The money supply is increased considerably worldwide, the debt increases and shrinks the confidence in the banks. And do not forget: In Asia, we see a huge demand for physical gold. Personally, I do not sell my gold.'

Marc Faber: In Asia, we see a huge demand for Physical GOLD. Personally, I do not sell my GOLD. | MARC FABER BLOG
 

Still perseverating on gold, I see. It's a characteristic of gold buggery.
 
Jim Rogers bought gold on June 18.

“I bought more today [June 18, as a matter of fact. I bought a little bit, not much, over the last few days in case this was the bottom. I would not be surprised if there’s another chance to buy lower later on, but I’m buying and I own it. I haven’t sold any.”

Jim Rogers Blog: Gold: I Would Not Be Surprised If There's Another Chance To Buy Lower Later


Those of you that follow him know that he is a) big on gold, b) called for this correction before it happened and c) has been waiting for the price to drop enough before he would buy again.

I guess that time has arrived for him.

Interesting.
 
I'm long gold probably over the next couple of years as large selloffs occur and people unwind their hedged positions.
 
I'm long gold probably over the next couple of years as large selloffs occur and people unwind their hedged positions.

An anarcho-socialist going long on a capitalist relic? That's just too funny. Thanks, man, I needed a good chuckle. :lol:
 
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