Is it possible Hillary Clinton will win in a landslide in November?
Quinnipiac had a very interesting question concerning candidates one would not vote for. Rasmussen followed up with a poll of their one about the number of Republicans who would vote for someone else or not vote at all if Trump were not their nominee.
17% of Republicans state they would not vote for Trump if he is their nominee, 9% of that 17% state they would vote for Hillary Clinton, 2% will vote third party and 6% will not vote at all. 54% of independent said the same, they would never vote for Trump. Being Trump as the GOP nominee would need to win 55% of the independent vote to overcome the larger Democratic base vote, having 54% of them stating they wouldn’t vote for him period, I would say leaves him as a loser. Romney in 2012 won the independent vote 51-48 and still lost the election 51-47.
But what about Hillary Clinton, where does she stand? Only 6% of Democrats say they would never vote for her. 5% of that 6% state they will vote for Trump. 46% of independents have said they would never vote for Clinton. Now that leaves her with 54% that would, she only needs around 45-46% of their vote to win in November if that since 17% of Republicans will not be supporting their own nominee if Trump.
So if Trump is a losing proposition, what about the Republicans nominating someone else. This is where Rasmussen comes in. According to him 25% of Republicans have stated if Trump is not their nominee they either will not vote or vote for someone else. This 25% includes 12% who are more likely to opt for another candidate and 13% who are inclined to stay at home. In this case 8% of Republicans would vote for Hillary Clinton whereas Quinnipiac had that figure at 9%. Close enough.
Things do not look good for the Republicans for November. If Trump is their nominee 17% of Republicans stay home or vote for Hillary. If Trump isn’t their nominee 25% of them will not vote or vote for someone else which includes 8 or 9% of Republicans voting for Clinton.
This seems at the moment of dang if you do or dang if you don’t for the Republicans. In an election where the Republicans should win easily due to all of Clinton’s baggage, the American people as a whole distrusting her and not liking her much. It seems the GOP has become so fractured and divided no matter what they do it may be a landslide for the Democrats. I do not think there is any candidate available that can now unite the Republican Party for November. Trump has divided them, fractured them beyond repair. Trump has replaced President Obama and Hillary Clinton as the villain in the anti-Trump faction and the so called Republican establishment has replaced Clinton and Obama in the pro-Trump faction. Who would have thought?
No Trump, No Show for 33% of GOP Voters - Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us03232016_Umk53pw.pdf
Quinnipiac had a very interesting question concerning candidates one would not vote for. Rasmussen followed up with a poll of their one about the number of Republicans who would vote for someone else or not vote at all if Trump were not their nominee.
17% of Republicans state they would not vote for Trump if he is their nominee, 9% of that 17% state they would vote for Hillary Clinton, 2% will vote third party and 6% will not vote at all. 54% of independent said the same, they would never vote for Trump. Being Trump as the GOP nominee would need to win 55% of the independent vote to overcome the larger Democratic base vote, having 54% of them stating they wouldn’t vote for him period, I would say leaves him as a loser. Romney in 2012 won the independent vote 51-48 and still lost the election 51-47.
But what about Hillary Clinton, where does she stand? Only 6% of Democrats say they would never vote for her. 5% of that 6% state they will vote for Trump. 46% of independents have said they would never vote for Clinton. Now that leaves her with 54% that would, she only needs around 45-46% of their vote to win in November if that since 17% of Republicans will not be supporting their own nominee if Trump.
So if Trump is a losing proposition, what about the Republicans nominating someone else. This is where Rasmussen comes in. According to him 25% of Republicans have stated if Trump is not their nominee they either will not vote or vote for someone else. This 25% includes 12% who are more likely to opt for another candidate and 13% who are inclined to stay at home. In this case 8% of Republicans would vote for Hillary Clinton whereas Quinnipiac had that figure at 9%. Close enough.
Things do not look good for the Republicans for November. If Trump is their nominee 17% of Republicans stay home or vote for Hillary. If Trump isn’t their nominee 25% of them will not vote or vote for someone else which includes 8 or 9% of Republicans voting for Clinton.
This seems at the moment of dang if you do or dang if you don’t for the Republicans. In an election where the Republicans should win easily due to all of Clinton’s baggage, the American people as a whole distrusting her and not liking her much. It seems the GOP has become so fractured and divided no matter what they do it may be a landslide for the Democrats. I do not think there is any candidate available that can now unite the Republican Party for November. Trump has divided them, fractured them beyond repair. Trump has replaced President Obama and Hillary Clinton as the villain in the anti-Trump faction and the so called Republican establishment has replaced Clinton and Obama in the pro-Trump faction. Who would have thought?
No Trump, No Show for 33% of GOP Voters - Rasmussen Reportsâ„¢
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us03232016_Umk53pw.pdf
