Iranian impasse could be resolved by putting the country on probation[chngd] (1 Viewer)

[jujuman13]

http://www.lacitybeat.com/article.php?id=3914&IssueNum=158

PLease take the time to read the article at the above link.
Could the Bush administration be intelligent enough to actually adopt this in spite of his administration not being the author of the solution being suggested?

The job of a Politician is to compromise on any issue, so that the solution is accepted by the majority of the electorate.

 

[Trajan Octavian Titus]

Re: An excellent solution to the Iran nuclear problem!

http://www.lacitybeat.com/article.php?id=3914&IssueNum=158

PLease take the time to read the article at the above link.

no.............

 

[Simon W. Moon]

Re: An excellent solution to the Iran nuclear problem!

Guidelines & Rules - Please read *before* posting here.

2. The title of every post must be identical to the title of the news story headline. This is important as it helps to avoid multiple topics about an issue, while starting discussions out on a more neutral basis.
​

title changed

 

[Kandahar]

This proposal would not work.

First of all, why SHOULD anyone "take them at their word" that they only want peaceful nuclear development? There are literally NO international observers that believe that.

Second of all, if Iran is willing to risk sanctions NOW to keep their nuclear program, what makes you think they'd be deterred by the possibility of sanctions in the distant future if there nuclear activities were uncovered? Besides, sanctions almost never accomplish their intended goal.

Third of all, what makes you think that Iran wouldn't continue to work under the noses of inspectors, as North Korea did, and not announce their secret program until they had a nuclear weapon?

Fourth of all, why would Iran agree to this proposal?

 

[jujuman13]

quote:Fourth of all, why would Iran agree to this proposal?

Read the article again.

 

[oldreliable67]

On the surface, thats a pretty good approach, IMO. The keys to success would be the presence of IAEA inspectors and their ability to perform their tasks unfettered and with unlimited access. While the Iranians have offered some forms of access, their history suggests that expecting unlimited and unfettered access may not be realistic. Their history suggests concealment and resolute determination to obtain nuclear weapons.

While the automatic triggering and escalation of sanctions according to some agreed-upon schedule has some intuitive appeal, the value of those disappears on the day the Iranians announce, "Hey, we got nukes now. All you IAEA inspectors? Get out!"

 

[jujuman13]

Professor, I agree with your points.
Either we and Iran arrive at some form of mutual and verifiable agreement or ???

Israel will certainly not allow Iran to produce a nuclear weapon.

Long before that happens Israel will take steps against Iran.

Israel will always protect it's interests regardless of whatever USA says.

 

[Kandahar]

Professor, I agree with your points.
Either we and Iran arrive at some form of mutual and verifiable agreement or ???

I agree that we should keep working for an agreement, for the time being (and I'm not ruling out future military action). I just don't think this is the appropriate agreement, for the reasons listed above.

Israel will certainly not allow Iran to produce a nuclear weapon.

Long before that happens Israel will take steps against Iran.

Israel will always protect it's interests regardless of whatever USA says.

This is true...But I question Israel's ability to launch a full-scale war on a country with ten times its population and 80 times its land area, especially one as far away as Iran. Israel's military is good but it isn't *that* good. If any effective military action is to be taken, the United States has to be the principal player.