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I do tend to think that Trump is going to get crushed in the EVs. But there's a lot of time between now and November, so we'll see how it comes out.
Romney and McCain could not turn the tide and they had the full support of the republican party. They did not have to contend with a steady stream of republican leaders and politicians saying they would not vote for them and some even saying that they are going to vote against them.
Trump has that problem. He has a problem that his love declaration for the "blue collar" voters has chased non-blue collar whites away from Trump in droves. Especially women.
Last night (I assume that it is correct but I will have to find that out) it was said that where Romney won more educated white women by 6 points, Trump is trailing Hillary among that same demographic by 30 points. And women voters do make up a lot of the electorate.
Let us be honest, Trump is in trouble with the black vote, the latino vote, the asian vote and the women with higher education vote. That is a huge deficit and will most likely be the reason that Hillary is at 353 EV's in the prediction poll.
Now if he had been a regular republican, with the support of his party (full support) and not the habit of going totally off script and saying hugely big gaffs and blunders, that candidate might have had the makings of a potential big resurrection in the polls. But we are talking about the Donald. A man who should have his tweeting thumbs tied, who should be given strict instruction to only read off the teleprompter and not ad lib, a man who is being seriously challenged within his own party and who (unlike his claims) does not have the best temperament (at least not according to the polls).
Monmouth has had a poll, in which the favorable ratings where asked of both Hillary and the Donald, Hillary scored a pathetic 37% favorable rating and a 49% unfavorable rating (with 14% having no opinion) but that is markedly better than the Donald who has a paltry 26% favorable rating, a 61% unfavorable rating (with 14% having no opinion). That is not working in Trumps favor.
When asked of people, regardless of who they plan to vote for, 27% said the Donald had the right temperament, 67% say he does not have the right temperament compared to 61% of people saying that Hillary has the right temperament and 34% saying she does not.
People overwhelming believe that Hillary lied over the emails (a whopping 64% say she was not honest about the emails) which could be good news for the Trump campaign BUT the next question was whether voters are you tired of hearing about Clinton's emails or if they think this is something the media should continue to cover?
63% said that they were tired of hearing about the emails and only 34% believe the media should continue to cover the email issue.
Campaign 2016
All in all not a lot of upsides for the Donald.