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We need to pursue one of two strategies for the coronavirus. Straddling the fence serves no purpose.
1. Avoidance
A. We shut down the border. No foreigners in, any returning citizens have to be quarantined. America is closed until further notice, and
B. Internal disease control mechanisms should also be rigorous. Every non-essential industry involving in-person contact should be shut down, and anyone potentially exposed to the virus should be forcibly quarantined.
A would last until a vaccine existed, B would last until a vaccine existed or until the disease was internally eradicated.
2. Curve Flattening / Herd Immunity
In this plan, the goal is to let the virus pass through a sizable chunk of the US population while minimizing the harm done. This is our current putative strategy. But if we're going to do this, we should have the elderly and immuno-compromised bunker down in their homes, while the rest of us should get the virus as quickly as possible. Once most of the healthy population had been infected and recovered, the American population would have herd immunity (think of this as a crude vaccination program).
The version of this we're currently implementing, where *everyone* is supposed to practice "social distancing", will slow the spread of the virus, but won't ultimately reduce the number of at-risk people who get infected.
1. Avoidance
A. We shut down the border. No foreigners in, any returning citizens have to be quarantined. America is closed until further notice, and
B. Internal disease control mechanisms should also be rigorous. Every non-essential industry involving in-person contact should be shut down, and anyone potentially exposed to the virus should be forcibly quarantined.
A would last until a vaccine existed, B would last until a vaccine existed or until the disease was internally eradicated.
2. Curve Flattening / Herd Immunity
In this plan, the goal is to let the virus pass through a sizable chunk of the US population while minimizing the harm done. This is our current putative strategy. But if we're going to do this, we should have the elderly and immuno-compromised bunker down in their homes, while the rest of us should get the virus as quickly as possible. Once most of the healthy population had been infected and recovered, the American population would have herd immunity (think of this as a crude vaccination program).
The version of this we're currently implementing, where *everyone* is supposed to practice "social distancing", will slow the spread of the virus, but won't ultimately reduce the number of at-risk people who get infected.
