I'm optimistic!

[Helix]

close the schools. this is madness.

 

[Gimmesometruth]

For the first time since this pandemic started I am feeling quite optimistic...

You have been overly optimistic since way back here:

This is like a horrible docuseries where you know how it ends. We are in the spike right now. Yes there will be many deaths. We knew that. It's far less than expected. It will end up right around 67k as predicted by me. Notice I don't post every single day about nonsense like this.

 

[Mongidig]

You have been overly optimistic since way back here:

We know a lot more about C19 these days. I think my prediction could have been pretty close to correct if everybody did the right thing back then.

It's nice to hear from my fanboys!

 

[Gimmesometruth]

We know a lot more about C19 these days. I think my prediction could have been pretty close to correct if everybody did the right thing back then.

That is pure fantasy, monday morning quarterbacking. The point remains, stop your "predicting", you are REALLY ****ty at it.

It's nice to hear from my fanboys!

A person responds to your idiocy, you think they like you. That smells of desperation.

 

[Mongidig]

Now I have a stalker!

 

[justabubba]

close the schools. this is madness.

While I agree with you for the most part there are segments of the country with very low Trump – virus incidents

My grandkids go to school in Montana, which experiences low rates of the virus. In their instance, physically attending school is not a high risk proposition

 

[Helix]

While I agree with you for the most part there are segments of the country with very low Trump – virus incidents

My grandkids go to school in Montana, which experiences low rates of the virus. In their instance, physically attending school is not a high risk proposition

Until it is.

 

[lwf]

i believe 2-3 million is the amount of death required for herd immunity to become effective

Overwhelmed medical facilities would make that number much higher. The Spanish Flu killed upwards of 50 million.

 

[Chomsky]

I’m not at all worried about the media scaring people. In fact I believe that part of the reason the states like Arizona are improving is that people finally got scared enough to take this seriously. Governments in this country don’t seem to act to shut things down or mandate masks unless those in charge get scared either.

There is no question that the virus can be controlled. Most other developed countries are doing it and some US states are as well. However, if the message is “don’t worry” people don’t seem to take things seriously.


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To the bolded: Absolutely!

 

[Chomsky]

While I agree with you for the most part there are segments of the country with very low Trump – virus incidents

My grandkids go to school in Montana, which experiences low rates of the virus. In their instance, physically attending school is not a high risk proposition

As long as their adequately tested. Otherwise, you probably won't know they're infected until Grandma & Grandpa end-up in the hospital!

 

[Chomsky]

With me, it all depends on 864511320

I had to look that up. Nice! Might put it in my sig.

 

[Mongidig]

I’m not at all worried about the media scaring people. In fact I believe that part of the reason the states like Arizona are improving is that people finally got scared enough to take this seriously. Governments in this country don’t seem to act to shut things down or mandate masks unless those in charge get scared either.

There is no question that the virus can be controlled. Most other developed countries are doing it and some US states are as well. However, if the message is “don’t worry” people don’t seem to take things seriously.


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The reason AZ is doing better is because the bars were shut down and we started wearing masks. We shut down tubing, theatres and gyms as well. I don't think anybody who wasn't scared before is scared now. I think the media just makes those who were scared more scared.

 

[Mongidig]

Things are continuing to trend in the right direction!

 

[Casper]

You're going to get it sooner or later it's just a matter of when. In the meantime why shut down all human interaction?

OR, you can wait until you get vaccinated...…………….

 

[Mongidig]

Who else is feeling optimistic?

Only a few sparsely populated states are on the rise. Most are holding steady or declining. Look at that heat map. Not so bad.

Coronavirus in the U.S.: Latest Map and Case Count - The New York Times

Look at all the states in the green now. It's spreading less and less.

Rt: Effective Reproduction Number

CDC Chief Says COVID Deaths Will Fall Next Week

 

[noonereal]

I don't think the pandemic is close to over either but I do think we are gonna get the numbers significantly down in the next couple months.

How?

We are not following medical guidlines.

 

[Mongidig]

How?

We are not following medical guidlines.

Mitigation is happening in more places. More people are wearing masks. Look at the links I posted above. The transmission rate is falling in many states especially the the states that were hit the worst recently. We don't have millions of protesters in the streets like we did before.

 

[noonereal]

Mitigation is happening in more places. More people are wearing masks. Look at the links I posted above. The transmission rate is falling in many states especially the the states that were hit the worst recently. We don't have millions of protesters in the streets like we did before.

i hope you are correct, i just don't see it

people are doing less and less... by a lot, around here to mitigate

testing is saving NY now... the contact tracing

 

[Jonsa]

Mitigation is happening in more places. More people are wearing masks. Look at the links I posted above. The transmission rate is falling in many states especially the the states that were hit the worst recently. We don't have millions of protesters in the streets like we did before.

The school openings, and seasonal retreat inside will tell the tale. There's lots more to come I think.

 

[Mongidig]

The school openings, and seasonal retreat inside will tell the tale. There's lots more to come I think.

It's not over! I do think we are going to see a downtrend in numbers. If this happens we can be in a position to be ahead of the virus instead after it. I think we will have better and faster testing so fewer time in between for people to infect others. I think it will be possible to more effectively contact trace once the numbers are better controlled. Hopefully more families and friends wear masks this time when in close proximity indoors during the winter. People in southern and western hotspots will start heading outdoors more when the weather cools.

I think we will see some ups and downs but not a big new wave. I've been of the belief that flu season won't be nearly as bad this year because of current mitigations.

I'm more concerned with out of control college students than K-12 kids. Hopefully it's just a slight bump at the beginning of the year.

 

[Mongidig]

i hope you are correct, i just don't see it

people are doing less and less... by a lot, around here to mitigate

testing is saving NY now... the contact tracing

I'm in AZ and our numbers are way down since our current mitigations. We aren't locked down by any means. We blew it with the opening but I think we've done well to right the ship. Other states can follow a similar model. Basically just shut down the big gathering bars and clubs.