If Senate Elections Were Today-Results (1 Viewer)

[Alex]

I did some research into the poll numbers (Rasmussen) for every Senate election (2006). If the elections were held today and they followed the current polls, these would be the results. ("Elected may also mean "Reelected).

Alabama: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Alaska: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Arizona: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Arkansas: no election-2 Democrat safe (2 Ds)
California: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Colorado: no election-1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat safe (1 D, 1 R)
Connecticut: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Delaware: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Florida: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Georgia: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Hawaii: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Idaho: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Illinois: no election-2 Democrat safe (2 Ds)
Indiana: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Republican elected (1 R, 1 D)
Iowa: no election-1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat safe (1 D, 1 R)
Kansas: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Kentucky: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Louisiana: no election-1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat safe (1 D, 1 R)
Maine: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Maryland: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Massachusetts: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Michigan: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Minnesota: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Mississippi: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Missouri: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Montana: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Nebraska: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Nevada: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Republican elected (1 R, 1 D)
New Hampshire: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
New Jersey: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
New Mexico: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
New York: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
North Carolina: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
North Dakota: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Ohio: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Oklahoma: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
Oregon: no election-1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat safe (1 D, 1 R)
Pennsylvania: 1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat elected (1 R, 1 D)
Rhode Island: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
South Carolina: no election-2 Republican safe (2 Rs)
South Dakota: no election-1 Republican safe, 1 Democrat safe (1 D, 1 R)
Tennessee: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Texas: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Utah: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Vermont: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Virginia: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)
Washington: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
West Virginia: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Wisconsin: 1 Democrat safe, 1 Democrat elected (2 Ds)
Wyoming: 1 Republican safe, 1 Republican elected (2 Rs)

Result: 50 Republicans and 50 Democrats.

Remember that the Vice President would be the deciding vote on any ties.

Of course, this is still early, a lot can change. I thought it would be interesting to see the current outlook.

Note: Because it is still early, some states had significant numbers of people who were uncommitted. For example: New Jersey has 1 Democrat safe and 1 Democrat elected with 43%, but 20.0% of people polled were undecided. 19 states had undecided percentages in the double digets.