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IBD/TIPP: Most Of Biden's National Lead Margin Comes From Blue States; Biden May Win Popular Vote by 6-7 and Still Lose Electoral College

ReubenSherr

ReubenSherr

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This article raises the question, "How widely could Biden win the national popular vote, and still lose the Electoral College?"

According to IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking, Biden is up 6 nationally in a four way race. And up 7 nationally in a two way race.

However, according to TIPP President Raghavan Mayur, "Most of Biden's Advantage Comes From The Blue States." Which means that Trump could still win the Electoral College.

www.investors.com

Trump Vs Biden Poll: Joe Biden Lead Grows, But Here's The Surprise In IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll

The latest Trump vs. Biden poll shows a wider national lead for Joe Biden, but the race appears tight in swing states in the IBD/TIPP presidential poll.
www.investors.com www.investors.com

"Most of Biden's advantage comes from the blue states, and it is clouding the hard battle the candidates are fighting in the battleground states," TIPP President Raghavan Mayur said.

The IBD/TIPP presidential poll suggests that Biden is outperforming Clinton's 2016 results in both red and blue states. However, swing states, those six states decided by less than 2 points in 2016, look highly competitive."

As of this morning, this is how the swing states look:
Florida Biden +1.2
Pennsylvania Biden +3.6
Wisconsin Biden +6.4 (Clinton showed +6.5 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
North Carolina Biden +0.6
Michigan Biden +6.5 (Clinton showed +3.4 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
Ohio TIE
Minnesota Biden +4.7
Iowa Biden +1.0
Arizona TIE
Nevada Biden +4.0
Texas Trump +2.3
Georgia Biden +0.4
 
Despite the rich and powerful of the world doing everything they can to take over the USA and the world, Trump would still win IF there was a legitimate election happening. But there is no real election this year and may never been again in the USA.
 
Trump has never in four years had the support of the American public. Didn't get a plurality of the vote, never achieved majority approval, and no hope of getting the plurality vote this time. His disastrous presidency is a stain on the institutions that allowed this corrupt, unpopular, incompetent man the opportunity to do the damage he has.
 
Trump is going to lose so bad Trump supporters will feel actual physical pain on election day:



early_voters.jpg

From

Robert Griffin @rp_griffin Research Director for Democracy Fund

For years idiot propagandists like Hannity and Tucker have convinced Trump supporters their opponent was the "evil socialist liberal."

What they failed tell you is that moderates, centrists, and independents are also your opponents, and they are sick of Trump's crap.

Trump is a loser who is going to lose and he is going to lose very bigly.
 
Don't hold your breath waiting. Massive turnout says otherwise.
 
ReubenSherr said:
This article raises the question, "How widely could Biden win the national popular vote, and still lose the Electoral College?"

According to IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking, Biden is up 6 nationally in a four way race. And up 7 nationally in a two way race.

However, according to TIPP President Raghavan Mayur, "Most of Biden's Advantage Comes From The Blue States." Which means that Trump could still win the Electoral College.

www.investors.com

Trump Vs Biden Poll: Joe Biden Lead Grows, But Here's The Surprise In IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll

The latest Trump vs. Biden poll shows a wider national lead for Joe Biden, but the race appears tight in swing states in the IBD/TIPP presidential poll.
www.investors.com www.investors.com

"Most of Biden's advantage comes from the blue states, and it is clouding the hard battle the candidates are fighting in the battleground states," TIPP President Raghavan Mayur said.

The IBD/TIPP presidential poll suggests that Biden is outperforming Clinton's 2016 results in both red and blue states. However, swing states, those six states decided by less than 2 points in 2016, look highly competitive."

As of this morning, this is how the swing states look:
Florida Biden +1.2
Pennsylvania Biden +3.6
Wisconsin Biden +6.4 (Clinton showed +6.5 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
North Carolina Biden +0.6
Michigan Biden +6.5 (Clinton showed +3.4 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
Ohio TIE
Minnesota Biden +4.7
Iowa Biden +1.0
Arizona TIE
Nevada Biden +4.0
Texas Trump +2.3
Georgia Biden +0.4
Click to expand...

Biden is actually ahead by four points in Arizona too. In fact, the only swing state (and its amazing that this is actually a swing state this year-I think it goes to Biden) where the jackass leads is Texas. So I ask you : would you rather be in Biden's position right now or that of the jackass? It may provide some comfort to the conservatives here, those who would leap off a cliff if the jackass brayed and told them to do so, that in 2016 the state polls were off (the national polls were pretty much accurate), but this is not 2016-and Biden is further ahead than Clinton was at this time. Clinton's lead evaporated in the final days; Biden's lead has been the most stable in the history of polling for a presidential election, and that bodes well for him.
He will win the election with well over 300 electoral votes and the democrats are also likely to win the senate. That is what happens when your party is led by a selfish jackass who, according to Dr Fauci, is "only concerned with getting re-elected".
So, conservatives here-time to deal with the reality of losing control of government and gaining control of Covid 19.
 
Ethel2 said:
Biden is actually ahead by four points in Arizona too. In fact, the only swing state (and its amazing that this is actually a swing state this year-I think it goes to Biden) where the jackass leads is Texas. So I ask you : would you rather be in Biden's position right now or that of the jackass? It may provide some comfort to the conservatives here, those who would leap off a cliff if the jackass brayed and told them to do so, that in 2016 the state polls were off (the national polls were pretty much accurate), but this is not 2016-and Biden is further ahead than Clinton was at this time. Clinton's lead evaporated in the final days; Biden's lead has been the most stable in the history of polling for a presidential election, and that bodes well for him.
He will win the election with well over 300 electoral votes and the democrats are also likely to win the senate. That is what happens when your party is led by a selfish jackass who, according to Dr Fauci, is "only concerned with getting re-elected".
So, conservatives here-time to deal with the reality of losing control of government and gaining control of Covid 19.
Click to expand...
Arizona is a dead tie. I just checked.
 
ReubenSherr said:
Have you seen the stats that more Republicans have voted early in Miami Dade County than Democrats?
Click to expand...

Roughly 34% of the population isn't Republican or Democrat:

www.pewresearch.org

What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion

What does the 2020 electorate look like politically, demographically and religiously as the race enters its final days?
www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org

and and 60% of non-partisan/independents are voting for Biden, not Trump:

stats.png

Trump is toast.
 
ReubenSherr said:
Have you seen the stats that more Republicans have voted early in Miami Dade County than Democrats?
Click to expand...

More, specific to Florida:

Biden holds double digit leads among Black voters (84 percent to 14), white voters with college degrees (58 percent to 40), women (57 percent to 41), and independents (55 percent to 41) while also holding a 53 to 46 percent lead with seniors, seeing an increase with the last two groups over September’s poll.

www.nbcmiami.com

Biden Takes Slight Lead in Florida Over Trump in Final NBC News/Marist Poll

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden holds a slight lead over President Donald Trump in the all important swing state of Florida, according to the final NBC News/Marist poll before next Tuesday’s Election Day. Biden holds a 51 to 47 percent lead in the Sunshine State, which is within the...
www.nbcmiami.com www.nbcmiami.com

As I said...

Trump is toast.
 
Seems there were a lot of swing states in the list of states Biden currently leads in. And he only needs to carry a few to add to the solid blue states that put him over 270. So yea he could win the popular vote by that much and still lose the EC. And a winged monkey could fly out of my butt. But neither are extremely unlikely.
 
Buckeyes85 said:
Seems there were a lot of swing states in the list of states Biden currently leads in. And he only needs to carry a few to add to the solid blue states that put him over 270. So yea he could win the popular vote by that much and still lose the EC. And a winged monkey could fly out of my butt. But neither are extremely unlikely.
Click to expand...

The jackass has about a one in six to one in ten chance of winning according to five thirty eight. It could still happen....very unlikely though. If the jackass does win we are screwed and so are the hundreds of thousands more Americans who will lose their lives because the jackass only cares about himself.
 
ReubenSherr said:
Have you seen the stats that more Republicans have voted early in Miami Dade County than Democrats?
Click to expand...
Which assumes that all of those Republicans voted for Trump rather than Biden. Switch voters (those voting for the candidate opposite their declared Party) can be seen in this election. And Republican switch voters outnumber Democrat switch voters in many states by twice as much, according to polls.
 
How can anyone support the jackass when he leans on his idiot son who had this to say:

"

WASHINGTON — Donald Trump Jr. falsely claimed Thursday that Covid-19 deaths have dwindled to "almost nothing," despite there being around 1,000 reported in the United States the same day.

In an interview on Fox News' “The Ingraham Angle," the president's son said that medical experts who have been talking about a surge in cases are "truly morons."

Who is the real moron here?
 
Last edited:
ReubenSherr said:
Arizona is a dead tie. I just checked.
Click to expand...
Biden doesn't need Florida or Arizona or any other swing state. If he wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its over. Trumps margin of victory in all 3 states was 1 percent or less, with 3.5 to 7 percent going to 3rd party candidates, that will not happen this year I bet.
 
roguenuke said:
Which assumes that all of those Republicans voted for Trump rather than Biden. Switch voters (those voting for the candidate opposite their declared Party) can be seen in this election. And Republican switch voters outnumber Democrat switch voters in many states by twice as much, according to polls.
Click to expand...
My parents are switch voters....voted Trump in 2016....Biden this time around.
 
From over here it looks like your election is an election about the validity of polls...Democrats believe them , Republicans not so much. In the UK the last 3 major polls have been wrong.
 
joko104 said:
Despite the rich and powerful of the world doing everything they can to take over the USA and the world, Trump would still win IF there was a legitimate election happening. But there is no real election this year and may never been again in the USA.
Click to expand...
Still trying to figure out why you think Trump, the 2nd generation millionaire, and man who bragged about buying out the Clintons when he was a Democrat, isn't one of the "rich and powerful"...
 
Big Eye said:
From over here it looks like your election is an election about the validity of polls...Democrats believe them , Republicans not so much. In the UK the last 3 major polls have been wrong.
Click to expand...
Right, regardless of who wins this, that comment is spot on.
 
Big Eye said:
From over here it looks like your election is an election about the validity of polls...Democrats believe them , Republicans not so much. In the UK the last 3 major polls have been wrong.
Click to expand...

How do you define “wrong”?
For me as long as they are within the margin of error they are right-even if the guy leading loses.
 
ReubenSherr said:
This article raises the question, "How widely could Biden win the national popular vote, and still lose the Electoral College?"

According to IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking, Biden is up 6 nationally in a four way race. And up 7 nationally in a two way race.

However, according to TIPP President Raghavan Mayur, "Most of Biden's Advantage Comes From The Blue States." Which means that Trump could still win the Electoral College.

www.investors.com

Trump Vs Biden Poll: Joe Biden Lead Grows, But Here's The Surprise In IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll

The latest Trump vs. Biden poll shows a wider national lead for Joe Biden, but the race appears tight in swing states in the IBD/TIPP presidential poll.
www.investors.com www.investors.com

"Most of Biden's advantage comes from the blue states, and it is clouding the hard battle the candidates are fighting in the battleground states," TIPP President Raghavan Mayur said.

The IBD/TIPP presidential poll suggests that Biden is outperforming Clinton's 2016 results in both red and blue states. However, swing states, those six states decided by less than 2 points in 2016, look highly competitive."

As of this morning, this is how the swing states look:
Florida Biden +1.2
Pennsylvania Biden +3.6
Wisconsin Biden +6.4 (Clinton showed +6.5 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
North Carolina Biden +0.6
Michigan Biden +6.5 (Clinton showed +3.4 on Election Day 2016, Trump carried the state)
Ohio TIE
Minnesota Biden +4.7
Iowa Biden +1.0
Arizona TIE
Nevada Biden +4.0
Texas Trump +2.3
Georgia Biden +0.4
Click to expand...
I like that NY and CA house a lot of the looney Left... but I do wish they’d stay there and enjoy their shithole Utopia... and not leave when it sucks do to idiot management by Leftists... and then go screw up other states with their idiocy.
 
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