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House Update: Democrats 17, Republicans 15

Subject: House Race Update: Democrats 17, Republicans 15

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/35pZbvq



Highlights:

  • More districts have been polled, but most districts have no polling
  • Iowa is the most complete state, with polls conducted in three of its four districts
  • The Florida Panhandle has started to come online, with three of four districts sampled
  • Don Bacon (R-KS) might be in trouble
  • I have started to add the unopposed districts in Texas
 
Subject: House Race Update: Democrats 17, Republicans 15

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/35pZbvq



Highlights:

  • More districts have been polled, but most districts have no polling
  • Iowa is the most complete state, with polls conducted in three of its four districts
  • The Florida Panhandle has started to come online, with three of four districts sampled
  • Don Bacon (R-KS) might be in trouble
  • I have started to add the unopposed districts in Texas
There is no Don Bacon in Kansas.
 
Yay, go Democrats.
 
I predict that, if we have a new Congress installed at noon, 3 JAN 2023, there will be a 59 gain in favor of the "R's". That will be 55 gain in the House and a 4 seat gain in the Senate for the Republicans. I give that a 47% chance of actually happening. That leaves a 53% chance of our government collapsing.
 
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