That's a LW myth; Trump doesn't "control" anything - he offers a platform and people accept or reject it.
Straight-up, I've seen few instances of a party leader keeping his party inline as strongly as Trump.
Remember, we're talking about the party politicos here. If you were referring strictly to the rank & file voters, I'd agree. But the situation with the Republican party politicos is far different. Trump rules with an iron fist.
DiSantis IS a possibility.
Yes, DeSantis is a 'possibility'. If Trump runs - which I believe he will - I still think the odds are less likely DeSantis will challenge him, than that he will. But, there is that possibility.
However in general & national terms, I do believe DeSantis is the more viable candidate to attain the Presidency. Trump is damaged goods, in that a large chunk of the electorate absolutely despises the guy. That's how he lost '16, and indeed I believe he helped sink the GOP Georgia Senate run-off.
I certainly will not count Trump out; that might be a fool's errand, as we've seen before. But, I do believe DeSantis is a better national candidate. However, the problem with a DeSantis nomination will be in motivating the Trump base to turn-out. Even with a Trump endorsement, I think the GOP would lose a sliver of the Trump base, which is a sliver they cannot afford to lose.
Why do I say this last? Because as we see with vaccines, with some issues even Trump cannot simply 'flip-a switch' and flip his base. When he promoted vaccinating, his base rebelled. If Trump doesn't run, he will lose some that would otherwise vote, and the GOP cannot afford to lose any votes. Remember, Trump managed to motivate some that did not normally vote due to apathy or disgust. They came-out for Trump himself, not for the GOP. Keeping that sliver of the Trump base motivated, without Trump running, I believe will be a difficult task - even with a Trump endorsement. In fact, I see this as somewhat analogous to the HRC loss, in that she couldn't hold-on to the Obama voters. Obama drew some voters that ordinarily would not vote, but who had gotten swept-up in his charisma and the historical nature of the candidacy. And, a sliver of those voters did not come-out for HRC.
You'd have to read the book; I did a poor job of explaining Hansen's point
I beat you to it! Already scouting reviews. Thanks for the reference.
And I think you're projecting greed and glory seeking on Trump
Ah . . . to be honest, I've always seen him as a grifter and a con, using other's money, constantly in & out of bankruptcy. His Presidency hasn't changed that opinion.
Thanks, and thanks for the thoughtful, rational reply - it's refreshing to exchange thoughts with someone in a courteous and respectful exchange.
Likewise! I woke up to over a dozen DP 'quote replies', from overnight; I wouldn't be responding to yours, if I didn't believe your response displayed the very qualities you enumerated above. Thanks for the compliment!
PS: I think I'm gonna read Hansen's book again to see how he did in retrospect.
My 'books to read' queue is huge! Measured in years! But if I get enthused, we may be a book club of two! However after remembering the huge depth of material left by P.J. O'Rourke, and being reminded of his journey from radical liberal to irreverent iconoclast conservative, I'm tempted to read a book of his essays where I've been told he touches on that journey.
I'm deeply saddened that Charles Krauthammer never got the chance to do his book chronically his journey from Liberalism to Conservatism, as it apparently was one of his upcoming tasks before his untimely death. He's one of my favorite pundits, and I'm sure I would have found it a fascinating read.