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GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show [W:78]

head of joaquin

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Shutting down the government may end up costing Republicans control of the House of Representatives.

A series of polls released Sunday show just how damaging the shutdown has been for the GOP. The liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling compiled two dozen surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, from House districts around the country, taken from Oct. 2 through Oct. 4. Sample sizes were between 600 and 700 voters in each district.

For Democrats to win a House majority, 17 seats would need to switch to their party's favor. Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07. In four districts, the incumbent Republican fell behind after respondents were told their representative supported the government shutdown: CA-10, NY-11, NY-23, VA-02. Three districts saw GOP incumbents maintain their hold over their Democratic challengers, even after hearing their elected officials' views on the shutdown, including CA-21, NV-03 and OH-06.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/10/06/gop-house-2014-polls_n_4050686.html?ref=topbar

Perfect
 

iacardsfan

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re-election rate is over 90% historically for the house of reps. Most people would have to vote for a party that they do not actually support if that were to happen.
 

Carjosse

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Districts are too gerrymandered for that to happen.
 

sbrettt

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I think it's a little early to start paying attention the polls. A lot could happen before the elections start.
 

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House polls are the most unreliable, and we're still 13 months out, and most importantly they are testing them against generic Democrat opponents. Generics almost always do better than actual candidates. The GOP is NOT in grave danger of losing the House.

Why'd they test Scott Riggell in VA-02 anyway? I thought he supported a clean spending bill and was adamantly against default. A couple of the others too, although I'm most sure about Riggell.
 

Thrilla

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I think it's a little early to start paying attention the polls. A lot could happen before the elections start.

the campaigns haven't even started yet....

well, that's not quite true, this poll is part of the campaigning...early poisoning of the well.
 

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the campaigns haven't even started yet....

well, that's not quite true, this poll is part of the campaigning...early poisoning of the well.

No, it's just useless generic polling. Not everything has a sinister conspiracy behind it.
 

Bronson

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This thread is worse than The Sequester Jester

Stinks of Prog/Obot desperation
 

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Although this is way too far out for polling and predictions to mean much if anything. Charlie Cook has 9 Democratic seats in his toss up column vs. only 1 Republican seat. Larry Sabato has 4 Democratic seats in his toss up column vs. 2 for the Republicans. I could really get into this and give the lean democratic and lean republicans seats, but they only reinforce the above.

One thing you must remember when it comes to the house, most people love their own congressman, but they hate the other 434 members. This is why retirements of a congressman is so important, incumbents rarely lose unless there is a sea change election much like 1994, 2006 and 2010. I do not see that happening next year.
 

Thrilla

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No, it's just useless generic polling. Not everything has a sinister conspiracy behind it.

I didn't say it was a sinister conspiracy.... but we agree it's useless.

HOJ won't agree though....good luck convincing him.
 

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If the Republicans won't stand immovably opposed to Obamacare and other hare-brained collectivist power grab schemes, then it matters not a wit if they lose the House, or just crawl away and die.
 
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Carjosse

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Are American electoral districts not named?
 

Kobie

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Way too early to make any kind of predictions; however, if I were the GOP I would certainly not assume that control of the House will be maintained. But yes, a lot can and will happen between now and Nov. 2014.
 

Paschendale

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If the Democrats win both houses, they should just do all of those terrifying socialist reforms that the right is so afraid of. Universal healthcare, protection for unions, seriously increase the funding for public schools, and seriously decrease the funding for military spending. I mean, they're convinced that Democrats are doing these things anyway, and that they're "ramming this stuff down the people's throats", so I guess losing an election would just confuse them.
 

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If the Republicans won't stand immovably opposed to Obamacare and other hare-brained collectivist power grab schemes, then it matters not a wit if the lose the House, or just crawl away and die.

oh that's brilliant.... leave the entire federal government to single party rule:doh

are you kidding me dude?... it's a progressive wet dream to get conservatives completely out of power... they want you and your ilk gone for good.
there's a ton of us who don't like the notion of single party rule... but we can't do **** about it if you guys shoot yourself in the foot and the idiot progressives seize power.

you and you're conservative ilk better wise the **** up.
 

Thrilla

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If the Democrats win both houses, they should just do all of those terrifying socialist reforms that the right is so afraid of. Universal healthcare, protection for unions, seriously increase the funding for public schools, and seriously decrease the funding for military spending. I mean, they're convinced that Democrats are doing these things anyway, and that they're "ramming this stuff down the people's throats", so I guess losing an election would just confuse them.

ya see Oftencold.... this is the kind of stuff we'd have to deal with if you conservatives don't wise the **** up....
 

Deuce

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LOL a poll done by "move on dot kill capitalism and anything conservative" and this matters why? This belongs in the conspiracy theory thread.

Polls were done by PPP. Conservative groups commission polls from them too.
 

Paschendale

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ya see Oftencold.... this is the kind of stuff we'd have to deal with if you conservatives don't wise the **** up....

If they wised up, they'd be clamoring for these kinds of changes.
 

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oh that's brilliant.... leave the entire federal government to single party rule:doh

are you kidding me dude?... it's a progressive wet dream to get conservatives completely out of power... they want you and your ilk gone for good.
there's a ton of us who don't like the notion of single party rule... but we can't do **** about it if you guys shoot yourself in the foot and the idiot progressives seize power.

you and you're conservative ilk better wise the **** up.

Let me simplify for you.

If the Republicans won't oppose despotic, collectivist schemes by the Democrats, and do so with immense vigor, then we already have one party rule. And the divisions between "Republican" and "Democrat," are just tricks for the rubes. And if this is so, participating in that false "two party" system is destructive.

The Progressives may be philosophical idiots, but by banking on the idiocy of the electorate -- where the blame for this mess lies, they show themselves to be politically brilliant.



Do you understand now?
 

Carjosse

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congressional districts are numbered

Well that's boring and it also confusing as what district represents what. Here we just name them after their geographic region like Toronto-Danforth, Edmonton South, Mount Royal, etc.. Why is that so hard in the U.S.?
 

Thrilla

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Let me simplify for you.

If the Republicans won't oppose despotic, collectivist schemes by the Democrats, and do so with immense vigor, then we already have one party rule. And the divisions between "Republican" and "Democrat," are just tricks for the rubes. And if this is so, participating in that false "two party" system is destructive.

The Progressives may be philosophical idiots, but by banking on the idiocy of the electorate -- where the blame for this mess lies, they show themselves to be politically brilliant.



Do you understand now?

our system is about mitigation really... a lil give and take... it can't be a "my way or the highway" system.
you ARE getting a despotic collectivist healthcare system..
if it wasn't Democrats bringing it to you, it would be Republicans.... no doubt about it.

I agree that we already have a one party system of sorts... but i'm completely uncomfortable about having one in earnest...
I need you conservatives to mitigate the stupidity of progressives.. and i need progressives to mitigate the stupidity of conservatives.

for Christs sake, we all know you aren't going to allow anyone else in the big plantation house, ya might as well let us field hands think you guys are doing something for us once in a while... just keep a check on each other and we'll keep pretending y'all actually give a **** about the rest of us.
 
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