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GOP delegates count: what does "1237 required" slogan mean ??

AndrewJakis

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Is it a threshold that when reached gives a candidate 100% nomination guarantee regardles the proceedings on the July convention ??
 

Paleocon

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Is it a threshold that when reached gives a candidate 100% nomination guarantee regardles the proceedings on the July convention ??

1237 delegates must vote for a candidate to win. If a candidate gets 1237 delegates bound to him, then he's guaranteed to win (barring any rule changes).
 

Carjosse

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To my knowledge it is 50%+1 of the delegates so it is the number required to win the nomination.
 

ttwtt78640

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Is it a threshold that when reached gives a candidate 100% nomination guarantee regardles the proceedings on the July convention ??

1237 is 50% plus one of the total republicant delegates, in other words, once a candidate gets a majority of the delegates before or during the convention then they are the repubilcant's official nominee for the POTUS general election.
 

AndrewJakis

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If. e.g. Trump won 1237 delegates before convention day then isn't each of these 1237 delegates obligated by law to vote for him during 1st vote on the convention ??
 

Beaudreaux

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If. e.g. Trump won 1237 delegates before convention day then isn't each of these 1237 delegates obligated by law to vote for him during 1st vote on the convention ??

Depends on the state and the state law since federal law doesn't apply, but for the most part, yes.
 

Redress

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If. e.g. Trump won 1237 delegates before convention day then isn't each of these 1237 delegates obligated by law to vote for him during 1st vote on the convention ??

It gets a little complicated, but basically that is close enough to true. If Trump gets to 1237 before the convention(and he is the only candidate who can reach that threshold), he will almost certainly win the nomination on the first ballot(note: you are not the nominee until the convention votes for you). Now, there are still possible ways he could lose, most notably if the rules committee decides on a rule change to free some delegates, and the majority of delegates vote to accept that rule, but the odds are pretty small for something like that.

Also note that if Trump does not get to 1237 pledge delegates by the convention, his chances of being the nominee drop dramatically, though it is still possible.
 

vesper

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State rules are different. It has been that way from the beginning. If anyone is interested in the history of such things, I recommend reading about the primary of 1800.
To hear Trump tell it is an unfair system only when he loses. But actually anyone who believes in states rights respects whatever rules have been put into place for each state and work with them.

If no candidate reaches the 1237, which is the majority by 1, and appears to be where we are headed, there are a couple hundred unbound delegates that can vote for whomever they want on the first vote. The candidate who has spent much time getting their slate of delegates voted in all the states will have the advantage. Cruz seems to have the advantage at this point because of his ground game. Cruz has also been successful with aligning delegates who are committed by their states to vote one way and on a second ballot are committed to voting for Cruz.

When states hold their conventions and vote in their delegates, people for Cruz make sure they attend. They are committed. Many are grassroots activists who attend so they can vote for delegates on Cruz's slate and so far have been very successful.

Yesterday Trump won his home state of NY. So did Cruz and so did Kasich. But delegates especially unbound? Trump and especially Kasich are big losers to date.
 
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