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Georgia CD-6 Special Election

NIMBY said:
Jungle primaries are meant to hold down Democrats in the South.

Ossoff hasn't spent all that money and still has the same ground game ready to start back up tomorrow.

All the GOP has is dark money citizens divided smears, including at each other in the primary that Ossoff will use.

Ossoff starts with what is currently 71,576 votes while Handel has 25,727 .
Click to expand...

8 million dollars is a lot of money.
 
NIMBY said:
Jungle primaries are meant to hold down Democrats in the South.

Ossoff hasn't spent all that money and still has the same ground game ready to start back up tomorrow.

All the GOP has is dark money citizens divided smears, including at each other in the primary that Ossoff will use.

Ossoff starts with what is currently 71,576 votes while Handel has 25,727 .
Click to expand...
And Trump can be counted on to piss off a lot more people between now and June. If you ask me, things will not be improving for the GOP between now and then.
 
Jon Ossoff will be in a runoff on June 20 against Republican Karen Handel.
 
azgreg said:
Jon Ossoff will be in a runoff on June 20 against Republican Karen Handel.
Click to expand...

Looks like the Alabama republicans will have an especially DIVISIVE jungle party primary to replace the senate seat of sessions on 8/15, party primary runoff on 9/26 if necessary for either party; one-time General on 12/12/17. DEMs must compete before they win .
 
DarkWizard12 said:
8 million dollars is a lot of money.
Click to expand...

The GOP just dropped $3.5 M in dirty laundry on Ossoff. Handel isn't sure she wants to be seen with trump at this weekend's NRA convention in Atlanta .
 
calamity said:
And Trump can be counted on to piss off a lot more people between now and June. If you ask me, things will not be improving for the GOP between now and then.
Click to expand...

DEMs must continue to compete before they win. South Carolina--5 (Mulvaney) has its special jungle PARTY primary 5/2/17, with runoffs in either or both parties 5/16 and the one-time General on 6/20 .
 
NIMBY said:
The GOP just dropped $3.5 M in dirty laundry on Ossoff. Handel isn't sure she wants to be seen with trump at this weekend's NRA convention in Atlanta .
Click to expand...

Well, that's distinctly less than 8 million, but maybe it will pay off.
 
DarkWizard12 said:
Well, that's distinctly less than 8 million, but maybe it will pay off.
Click to expand...

That $3.5M doesn't include the millions of dark money dropped on Ossoff before the first election .
 
With the GOP field not splintered over multiple candidates, I do not see how the democrat can win this if he couldn't break 50 with no real competition from the left in Round 1.
 
backpacker said:
With the GOP field not splintered over multiple candidates, I do not see how the democrat can win this if he couldn't break 50 with no real competition from the left in Round 1.
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17 candidates, 11 GOP, got 51.9% in round 1; Ossoff got 48.1% by himself; so Ossoff lost by 3.8% to 17 other candidates.

Price won by 23.4%, so DEMs gained by 19.6% on the field. DEMs have to compete and gain in solid red CDs before they can win.

The DEM in 2016 spent FEC dsb $ 0, while Price spent over $ 2.3 M in a 'safe' CD. trump won GA-6 by 1.49%. Ballotpedia: Lean R; Cook and Sabato: toss-up; R and G: pure toss-up .
 
SC-5 has round one of its special on 5/2. Mulvaney won by 21.48% last year and trump won by 18.48% so it is rated safe R by the four ratings I see with Cook giving it a R + 9 rating. DEMs lost this blue dog CD in the GOP REDMAP 2010.

GOPs have a 5-way race to a majority or there will be a 5/16 runoff with the usual assortment similar to their top 4 in the GA-6 race. DEMs have a 3-way race and what looks to be a good candidate. White = 66.7, Black = 28.6 ;
 
calamity said:
Amazing for a liberal in that district. Definitely the Trump effect in action.
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With 85% of precincts reporting, DEM Archie Parnell has 72% of the DEM party primary vote and will not have a runoff in 2 weeks for Mulvaney's SC-5.

Meanwhile, GOPs have Norman with 32% and Pope with 31% going to the runoff, as if GOPs didn't have enough headaches in 'safe red' CDs.

Mulvaney took this CD from a blue-dog in the 2010 wave, and borders the Charlotte area. Another pita that GOPs will have to throw millions of dark dirty laundry at .
 
Oklahoma HD-28 went 73-23 for trump. Last night, it went 50-48 for the GOP in a special election, a 48 point swing but not quite enough yet.

Montana-at large house seat is in 15 days .
 
NIMBY said:
Oklahoma HD-28 went 73-23 for trump. Last night, it went 50-48 for the GOP in a special election, a 48 point swing but not quite enough yet.

Montana-at large house seat is in 15 days .
Click to expand...

The sane Republicans are probably taking notice. Clinging to victory in a "safe" red district in OK is a huge warning sign.
 
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