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Gallup’s astonishing numbers and the Lake Superior congressional districts

zimmer

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Late yesterday, Gallup came out with new numbers on the generic ballot question—which party’s candidates would you vote for in the election for House of Representatives? Among registered voters Gallup shows Republicans ahead by 46%-42%, about as good a score as Republicans have ever had (and about as bad a score as Democrats have ever had) since Gallup started asking the question in 1942.

However, Gallup also shows the results for two different turnout models. Under its “high turnout model” Republicans lead 53%-40%. Under its “low turnout model” Republicans lead 56%-38%.


Read more at the Washington Examiner: Gallup

Interesting. Usually you would see narrowing in the dying weeks.

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cpwill

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i find it interesting that that horribly slanted Rasmussen Reports is the one polling the closest race right now; everyone else seems to be giving a greater advantage to Republicans.
 

zimmer

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i find it interesting that that horribly slanted Rasmussen Reports is the one polling the closest race right now; everyone else seems to be giving a greater advantage to Republicans.

LOL... good one CP.

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The left say Angle has no chance but Reid is losing ground

Fox News Polls: GOP Poised to Gain or Hold Senate Seats in Key States - FoxNews.com

Republican Sharron Angle seems to be solidifying her support in her bid to unseat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada.

In the latest Fox News battleground state poll of likely voters, Angle drew 49 percent to Reid’s 46 percent. As voters make up their mind with four weeks to go until Election Day, Angle seems to have the edge.

In the first Fox battleground poll in the Silver State four weeks ago, 10 percent of respondents were either unsure, in favor of a minor party candidate or, as state law allows in Nevada, planning to vote for "none of these candidates."

In this week's poll, those three categories add up to 5 percent. Over the same period, Angle’s overall vote percentage went from 45 percent to 49 percent.

Democratic strategists hope to prevent an Angle win by driving up her unfavorable ratings and pushing voters to choose a minor party candidate or “none of these.” Angle was viewed unfavorable by 53 percent in the survey. But Reid was viewed unfavorably by 55 percent.

Angle's supporters are growing more certain of their support, too. Two weeks ago, 10 percent of Angle supporters said they could still change their minds. That number has dropped to 4 percent.
 
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