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Kandahar said:Plug in any reasonable numbers you like, and I guarantee you that the total number of civilizations in the universe will be greater than one (or even more, if you instead figure the number of planets with ANY life).
The Drake Equation is useful only for supporting whichever case you have to people that don't understand it.
The creationist nuts use similar arguments against abiogenesis. Of course, most of tome think they're using it against evolution, but they're talking about abiogenisis.
Kandahar said:But seeing as how microorganisms live everywhere on earth, from inside the polar ice caps to inside volcanoes to inside thermal springs, I don't think we can yet conclusively rule out the possibility that we're alone even in our solar system. If nothing else, Mars and Titan are both "near misses" for the conditions necessary for life, which leads me to believe that it's not entirely uncommon for such worlds to exist.
Oh, I know that. Since it's almost certain that Europa has a global ocean of liquid water under all that ice, it's a really good bet that there's some kind of life there. But we haven't explored it yet, we've just looked at it. IMO Europa is the most interesting body in the Solar System, if you exclude Angelina Jolie.