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Here's one theory, based on relevant experience. Beginning Twitter thread here:
Ukrainian mud is no joke. Early Russian planning for a lightning war was likely pushed to the left to take place prior to Thaw.
We'll see how it plays out now that they are in a longer stretch. It's probably also true that, perfectly serviceable hard packed dirt roads break down into fields of mud when a few miles worth of heavy tracked vehicles ride over them.
Hitler also had to learn the hard way about the mud in Eastern Europe, and how it can be pain if you try to move a large convoy of heavy vehicles through it.Ukrainian mud is no joke. Early Russian planning for a lightning war was likely pushed to the left to take place prior to Thaw.
We'll see how it plays out now that they are in a longer stretch. It's probably also true that, perfectly serviceable hard packed dirt roads break down into fields of mud when a few miles worth of heavy tracked vehicles ride over them.
So, if this is mainly a "mud" problem, why aren't the other Russian columns stalled too? There is something weird going on with this one column.
There are reports that 9 Russian tanks and 4 APCs were destroyed in a "friendly fire" incident. I wonder if it was this column and if they are having discipline issues.So, if this is mainly a "mud" problem, why aren't the other Russian columns stalled too? There is something weird going on with this one column.
So, if this is mainly a "mud" problem, why aren't the other Russian columns stalled too? There is something weird going on with this one column.
@Rogue Valley may know better, but, my understanding is that Ukrainian terrain coming out of Crimea is drier/harder packed, and mud is a more severe issue to the north, where Russian advance has been much slower.So, if this is mainly a "mud" problem, why aren't the other Russian columns stalled too? There is something weird going on with this one column.
@Rogue Valley may know better, but, my understanding is that Ukrainian terrain coming out of Crimea is drier/harder packed, and mud is a more severe issue to the north, where Russian advance has been much slower.
Add to that the natural wear and tear of an armored column 40 miles long....![]()
I'm guessing that melting snow contributes to mud?Southern Ukraine receives less snow than its other regions. It rarely snows in Crimea (maybe once in a decade).