- Apr 28, 2015
- Reaction score
- Third Coast
- Political Leaning
A top Democratic data and analytics firm told "Axios on HBO" it's highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won — potentially in a landslide — on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.
Why this matters: Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.
Source: Exclusive: Dem group warns of apparent Trump Election Day landslideImagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted.
While the article headline doesn't provide the clarity I would have preferred, I hope my excerpts provide a more accurate portrayal of the article's premise.
Interestingly, for several weeks now I've been touting the possibility presented in the the body of the article - that being Trump is likely to have a lead, perhaps substantial, on election night - but only to lose it in the up coming days or weeks as the mail-in ballots get tabulated.
In the above case, I believe Trump will prevail upon the GOP governors to end the counting & declare him the winner. I believe the GOP, en masse, will then rise to Trump's clarion call. Expect massive disinformation, legal eagles inundating the courts seeking emergency injunctions, and all sorts of attempts to physically secure or take possession of the ballots & tabulation centers.
We have recent precedence for this, as Floridians well know. This, in abbreviated fashion, occurred when DeSantis had a small lead on election night, forcing a machine recount, where his very slim lead vacillated as the counting went on and the mail-in Miami ballots continued to be tallied. The controlling GOP sprang into action taking judicial & administrative action, ending the count with (supposed) bags of Miami ballots still left on the floor.
Let's not forget Florida is a GOP controlled state, as are quite a few of the all-important battle-ground states.
We may be in for quite a night. With an even more intense period, after.