Okay, we have two problems with your bet:
1)This ex-FBI lawyer's guilty plea didn't arise out of the Durham investigation, which is pretty specifically the language in the initial bet. The revelation, which is not new, came out in the December 2019 release of the IG report. From your post:
"So you KNOW no indictments will come out of the Durham investigation? Are you confident enough in that position to make a friendly wager?"
2)I canceled the bet because you refused to put a time stamp on it so we had a clear idea of a winner and a loser:
Me: "Alright, so the expectation is that indictments will come out of the Durham investigation. Do we have an expected date for the announcement of this report? It’s December 5, right?"
You: "I have no idea when Durham will issue his report. You are the one the has a mole in his investigation not me."
Me: "An expected date is important so that I don’t declare victory prematurely and so that, conversely, we don’t forget about the bet altogether because we both end up in our 90’s. Specificity is important. Also note my edit, which is that indictments will come
directly out of the Durham investigation. Again, specificity is important so that the winner and the loser aren’t ambiguous."
You: "no crawfishing. The bet you made and the bet I agreed to was any indictment made by the Durham investigation. You aren’t a welsher are you? Don’t be a typical Liberal."
Me: "Okay, then we’ll set the deadline at tomorrow at 8am. If no indictments result from the Durham investigation then I win." The point of me saying this was to illustrate that such a close deadline was as equally ridiculous as to your deadline that was completely open-ended.
You: "There you go again trying to crawfish . The bet you agreed to has no artificial time limits. We will have to wait for indictments or a report saying no indictments. There is a criminal investigation going on now I suspect there will be indictments also. Face it you are screwed. But hey don’t worry you are the one that said you KNOW no indictments will come out of the Durham investigation. "
Me: "I don’t want to die of old age before collecting on my bet. Let’s call it before the end of January. If you don’t accept then we’ll cancel the bet. Keeping it open ended is your way of maintaining artificial hope that the investigation will confirm your conspiracy theories. Accept a date for closure or there’s no bet." Now keep in mind that even though I stated "January," I'm really still keeping negotiations open. The important point I'm stating here is that there must be some kind of specific and mutually agreed upon closure to the bet.
You: "STOP trying to crawfish. I don’t expect Durham to make a report till next summer sometime. But there may be indictments before that. I have hear rumors about grand juries but we shall have to wait and see. You need to be a little patient. I doubt Barr would have started the Durham investigation unless he was pretty sure of criminal activity. The fact that AG Barr disagrees with the IG seems to point to Barr thinks someone broke the law. Don’t be a CRAWFISH."
Me: "TILL NEXT SUMMER??!! Forget it, you’re not taking this seriously."
So to wrap up, I canceled the bet because your time frame was ridiculous, and this guilty plea arose out of the IG report and not the Durham investigation. You fail on both levels.