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Economists increasingly giddy at prospect of $3 trillion Biden infrastructure plan
S&P predicts Biden's infrastructure plan will create 2.3 million jobs by 2024.
www.axios.com
3/29/21
President Biden and Congressional Democrats look set to push forward a $3 trillion infrastructure bill. What we're hearing: "Stimulus helps build the bridge for the recovery to reach the other side, but an investment in infrastructure is the fuel to jump start the economic engine," Beth Ann Bovino, U.S. chief economist at S&P Global, says in an email. S&P predicts Biden's infrastructure plan will create 2.3 million jobs by 2024, inject $5.7 trillion into the economy — which would be 10 times what was lost during the recession — and raise per-capita income by $2,400. Economists at Goldman Sachs again revised up their outlook for growth this year in a Sunday note to clients, predicting real consumption will grow by 9.5% in Q1 and 12.5% in Q2, citing retailer reopenings, the reversal of winter storm effects and a decline in new COVID-19 infections. Further, they note that OpenTable restaurant reservations are nearing 70% of normal nationwide and are back above their pre-crisis level in Texas. They also anticipate the pace of fiscal support to U.S. consumers will accelerate by $1 trillion on an annualized basis (or 5% of GDP) for March and the second quarter, relative to the previous six months. "We have to have a big public works program," Lawrence Baxter, director of the Global Financial Markets Center at Duke, tells Axios. Baxter compares Biden's proposed new programs to New Deal initiatives like the Blue Ridge Parkway that were created to battle unemployment following the Great Depression. "They’re not daring to call it that because that would be a lightning rod," he adds.
Most economists agree; the government should continue injecting money into the US economy to stimulate consumer buying, employment, and economic growth.