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Does this make a difference in our trade with Cananda?

No, but instead of getting US dollars they should get US products.
We simply don't have the market for it we are just over 30 M.
 
No matter how you cut it Canada is the number one country for US exports. We buy more stuff from the US than any other country does......odd way of treating your best customer? The end result will be us finding other markets to buy from and sell to.......which is a good thing but does the US really want to lose our business? Trump and Trumpers will say yes witholut thinking but corporate America has a different perspective. They like selling to us, we are right next door and shipping is cheap.
 
But Trump took care of all that stuff when he trashed NAFTA and dictated the terms of the USAMC agreement.
Are you saying Trump ****ed up?
Both agreements have been problematic. It's not like the 1993 NAFTA agreement was a fair/good one which was replaced with a worse USMCA. And it's not like Trump is responsible for the 1993 negotiation of the Clinton administration or represented the only country involved with USMCA negotiations.

Trump, in both terms (and even years before), has been focused on fair trade and the imbalances the U.S. has allowed itself to get into throughout history. He was able to get a few changes to NAFTA in his first term (like auto parts, an increase to duty free thresholds, and an important sunset clause) via USMCA - but this term, his "trade imbalance" motivation has moved to a much higher priority. I'm very much looking forward to the April 2nd culmination of the report which will then be the basis for a significant number of fair and reciprocal trade negotiations and changes.

Other countries can whine, complain, and choose to negotiate or retaliate - but the U.S. will be correcting some of these imbalances, one way or another. Trump will leave this term with the U.S. having far more fair and reciprocal trade than he entered this term with.
 
The way to do that is to open up trade talks and if that fails move to tarriffs. Starting a trade war to bring people to the table who would be there anyway is nuts. So says the business community, most economists and for sure Wall Street. If he drives the U.S to the brink of recession Trumpers will be singing a different tune. The only good thing is the start of negotiations with other nations to form trade alliances that exclude the US. The US has shown herself to be untrustworthy.
 
The way to do that is to open up trade talks and if that fails move to tarriffs.
That's not what Canada does, though.

 
Trump will leave this term with the USA isolated and excluded. With no allies.
This post is quite the spin-doctor. Is the tariffs on Canadian about the balance of trade then? Or is it about fentanyl and immigrants? Or is it about getting rid of the artificial line on the map?
Is there a tariff on Canadian wheat today? Lots of the wheat that's baked into bread and turned into pasta in America comes from Canada. How about car parts, is there a tariff on car parts this morning? How much?
Your idiot Dear Leader is wrecking America with his thrashing around. He's like that kid in the aisle of the grocery store, writhing on the floor and howling.
 
Yes we import total goods from Canada than they do from us, but If you look at it differently, by total population then they actually import from us, 7 times more per person than we import from them.
Also the US is selling a whole lot more services to Canada, Mexico, Brazil, the EU etc. than they sell to the US.
 
Also the US is selling a whole lot more services to Canada, Mexico, Brazil, the EU etc. than they sell to the US.
And when Trump was cooking the books to come up with a trade imbalance he took the value of those services out of the 'goods and services' side of the equation.
 
Those supporting Trump with his tariff "strategy" haven't a clue what is currently tariffed and what is not. Nor do they understand certain tariffs, like dairy, only kick in once thresholds have been exceeded which hasn't happened yet. They only know what Trump and Fox tell them and they are very good at regurgitating the lies.
 
And Trump signed off on it, bragged about dictating the terms of the USAMC agreement.
It's impossible to believe that people can be this stupid. "Canada has been robbing the USA!"
Is it robbery if you sign the paper letting them have it?
This is how those MAGAs think it should work...
American Bridge- "Hello, Stelco? We'd like to order 40 tons of 1/2" mild steel plate."
Stelco- "Sorry, we can't sell you more steel until some Canadian company buys $25M worth of something from an American company to keep the balance even."
 
If he drives the U.S to the brink of recession Trumpers will be singing a different tune.

No they won't. They don't know any other tune.

Trump could draft people to invade Canada during a new Great Depression and he wouldn't lose any support from his cult.

At least among those still alive.
 
Ok, but the USMCA was the one he heralded as being a great agreement, and now he's complaining about the very terms he agreed to and is blaming other countries as being the problem.

Except the "trade imbalance" was an issue in the USMCA negotiations as well. The disconnect I see is how he claimed it was a great deal for everyone, and now he says it sucks.

Um, Trump is the one tanking the market and whinging about things being unfair.
 
The best example of how clueless those supporting this nonsense are is by the repeated citation of the tariffs on dairy. It's hard to know how to respond when even the basic facts get so mangled and become ridiculous points parroted.
 
The best example of how clueless those supporting this nonsense are is by the repeated citation of the tariffs on dairy. It's hard to know how to respond when even the basic facts get so mangled and become ridiculous points parroted.
"And today, we’re finally ending the NAFTA nightmare and signing into law the brand-new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. (Applause.) Very special. Very, very special."

"The USMCA is the largest, fairest, most balanced, and modern trade agreement ever achieved. There’s never been anything like it."

-Donald Trump, 29 Jan., 2020.
 
USMCA was very largely based on NAFTA, with just a few improvements. Yes, Trump signed it and yes he boasted about that as a success. That was all many years ago. It was signed seven years ago and obviously drafted before that.

This term, Trump has an all new focus and motivation about trade deals with all our trading partners. You can repeat that Trump signed it and boasted about it over and over (and you can continually call it a disconnect) - but that's old news and it's obvious it's not going to last much longer. Trump is clearly disturbed about the trade imbalance with Canada, and one way or another, that situation will now change. I hope we'll get the details from the April 2nd report, showing what specific areas/products are most troubling to Trump's team - and hear the response/rebuttal from Canada.

Doug Ford was on with John Roberts today and I think these negotiations are going to be among the most challenging of any with our various trading partners. Ford seems to have his heels firmly planted regarding his province. I think Trump is clearly stating that the imbalance is unacceptable to him. Ford was definitely whining with the "he started it", "we didn't want any of this" stuff.

As far as the market, I'll opine on that in several more months, especially after a potential big bill is hopefully passed through Congress. It's my opinion that the tax and business environment I expect Trump will take us to - will be nothing short of great for a prosperous U.S. But we'll have to wait a minute or two to find out how Trump's goals and plans worked or didn't.
 
USMCA was very largely based on NAFTA, with just a few improvements. Yes, Trump signed it and yes he boasted about that as a success. That was all many years ago. It was signed seven years ago and obviously drafted before that.
Ok, but the terms are the terms, which are the same ones he's complaining about now.

What has changed to cause that disturbance? So if we take the one tariff he seemed upset by, the one on dairy, he failed to properly represent it and communicated it to the public as if it was an active tariff applied to dairy exported to Canada, which it most certainly is not the case. It sounds like he doesn't have an idea and is just making overly generalized statements. If this were a thought out process, one would imagine the reasons would have been clearly laid out, and the countries in question given an opportunity to respond before imposing tariffs and costing the market a $4 trillion loss.

Before he's even identified the issues with the USMCA, he launches into a similar scenario with Europe. What Trump is doing successfully aside from crashing the market, is turning our partners against us, and I doubt you or others supportive of this nonsense will be reconciling any trade benefits with the massive market loss.

Well, when a person starts an attempt at negotiations with threats, things tend to go south which is why most people don't lead with that. Trump is one of these transactional idiots who thinks he can bend everyone to his will through sheer leverage, but the simple fact about trade is there is also a risk assessment by those who trade with the US, and if the message is the US has leadership that acts on whims of perceived slights and willing to tank global markets to get their way, then they might not be a reliable business partner. That Trump thinks about trade imbalances at almost a childlike level makes this even worse.

Do you even know what that is?
 
Do you consider yourself to be quite knowledgeable about the specifics of current trade scenario between the U.S. and Canada? If so, do you think that trade scenario is currently fair, balanced, and reciprocal? If no, are you curious as to what information this April 2nd report might provide?

While I don't know you beyond your comments on this forum, in many ways, your comments sometimes sound like you are against the best interests of our country and pro any country or person who is opposing Trump on any topic at all. I wonder if your anti-Trump feelings are so strong that you might not care if the U.S. is getting taken advantage of in trade or in any other way - in situations where addressing those imbalances happens to be a goal of Trump's. Quite often, I'm feeling like your comments read like hating Trump is completely coloring all your views and no matter what Trump likes or wants, you have some strong need to dislike and oppose whatever that is.
 
Ever the good foot soldier..
 
Metric Mouse:

We are mad because Americans attack us for having supply management programmes plus subsidies and then inpose tariffs upon us when the largest such programmes are at work in America. It's hypocritical and dishonest.

Be well and be safe.
Evilroddy.
 
If so, do you think that trade scenario is currently fair, balanced, and reciprocal?

If you mean the USMCA agreement before the Republicans' recent embarrassing trade war disaster, it was indeed fair, balanced, and reciprocal. The amount of money that went into Canada from their exports to the US was pretty much exactly equal to the value of the goods that the US received from Canada in exchange.

I suppose an argument could be made that Canada was getting the short end of the stick in terms of tariffs, since the US has been getting around $100-200 million in tariffs on softwood lumber each year, whereas Canada hasn't really generated any tariff revenue at all from the US since signing the USMCA. But they seemed pretty ok with it.
 
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Free Trade is based on goods and services . When you add in services and take out American produced oil the trade balance is by far in America's favour. We use billions in dollars annually in American consulting services. Trumpers aren't getting the full story not the truth.
 
Pt 1

Do you consider yourself to be quite knowledgeable about the specifics of current trade scenario between the U.S. and Canada?
Generally yes, because I followed the renegotiation of NAFTA closely.

If so, do you think that trade scenario is currently fair, balanced, and reciprocal? If no, are you curious as to what information this April 2nd report might provide?
The interesting thing about these terms is they assume these terms in the most basic way, because trade imbalance isn't really something we can think of in that binary way, since the nations in trade agreements often have a lot of variables which require them to protect their own industries while opening them up to competitors. The problem with Trump's framing is it sounds like he either doesn't know what he's talking about, or he's lying; this is the Trump conundrum of him being either an idiot or a liar. The best example of this is his reference to the tariff on dairy, where he cites this large percentage on dairy and fails to mention this only comes into effect after a certain quota, and the US has not come even close to reaching that quota.

Why the dairy tariff is interesting is because it gives us an insight into how absurdly simplistic he views this. Thus far his calculus has been to tank the US stock market in exchange for some tariffs that while not perfect, haven't been an issue of trade between the US and Canada. He can complain about the tariff on dairy, but it actually isn't being placed on our dairy products. So the question for you is a $4 trillion reduction in the markets worth it. As for what gets revealed on April 2nd, sure, I'm curious. Do I think it will show the US was robbed by its closest trading partners? Nope, and the revelation will be a double edged sword since the rip off will be due to the agreement Trump himself cited as a great achievement.

Well, the obvious problem with your framing is you assume Trump's vision of what's "best for the country" is an accurate portrayal. If you read my posts where I critique Trump's policies, I outline why I do so it just so happens that I think his overall views are bad and his is a bad faith actor. I base my opinion on what I've seen from him as a business person, and as a politician. I have a hard time taking someone seriously when their view is the current world order is one where other countries are taking advantage of the US, when post WW2 the US has grown massively in military and economic strength while also leading the charge in rebuilding a post war world order that has benefited this country above all others.

The demise of the USSR (which the US made possible) also led to its growth as the dominant power and economy on the face of the earth. So when I hear someone like Trump whinging about the US being in the state he claims it's in, I can't help but think he is not a knowledgable person. That's not to say there aren't issues, but certainly not in the way he describes them. It betrays either a complete ignorance of the world order the US has built and has dominated, or is one where he thinks the US power should come with no responsibility at all; I'm leaning toward the latter and do not think that's a good idea at all.
 
Pt 2

Quite often, I'm feeling like your comments read like hating Trump is completely coloring all your views and no matter what Trump likes or wants, you have some strong need to dislike and oppose whatever that is.
That would be incorrect. When he first ran I agree (and still agree) with the idea of the US being less of an interventionist country, I agreed with and complimented him on Operation Warp Speed, and I also thought his signing of the First Step Act was positive as well. The problem is he's an endless well of bad ideas more than he is good ones. The difference between me and die hard Trump supporters is they trust what his vision is on faith, and seem to demand very little details on what he plans to do.

Trump did not campaign on his current trade policy actions, because I doubt many would have be as supportive if they clearly understood his intentions were to tank the market in order to get trade concessions he hasn't even clearly and correctly identified. The example of the dairy tariff I mentioned is a perfect example, and the fact you think all will be revealed on April 2nd makes my point. We have had almost one month of market reduction without even being told why, and that's unacceptable to me. That is the chasm between us.
 
Trade balances/imbalances need to be assessed in some manner besides - that's what's been in place for a long time, right or wrong. I think it's very useful that an appropriate smart, educated, and talented team is finally doing just that and is tasked with preparing a detailed report.
The best example of this is his reference to the tariff on dairy, where he cites this large percentage on dairy and fails to mention this only comes into effect after a certain quota, and the US has not come even close to reaching that quota.
I expect things like this will be made clear in the report. And if the quota is so high it's meaningless, I wonder why have it at all? Maybe that is something that should be recognized and addressed.
Thus far his calculus has been to tank the US stock market in exchange for some tariffs that while not perfect, haven't been an issue of trade between the US and Canada.
I'd strongly argue Trump wasn't elected to sit back and coast. And Trump did talk about tariffs on a quite regular basis. All polls indicated people wanted change.

As far as the stock market, yours is a huge reaction for what is so far, a correction (which happen quite regularly).

Now I'd agree something like the border was something polls showed voters wanted fixed and no polls showed voters were clamoring for tariffs - but the border was fixed in 10 minutes because that was easy and never needed to happen. Now it just takes money (and lots of it) to fix all the ramifications of that totally unnecessary border disaster.

Trumps plans for tariffs and the economy will take more than 10 minutes. They are significant and wide ranging plans. Tariffs are only a small part. A competitive and friendly tax environment for private business is also well underway right now. But I'm not willing to make any assessments with the economy for at least a single year.
That is the chasm between us.
It's a chasm which makes conversation difficult. You clearly despise Trump and it seems that filters into you not wanting his plans to be successful for our country. I don't despise Trump and I think there is a fair to good chance he'll be an instrumental leader who will lead this country to big, productive, prosperous, fair, tough, and long overdue changes.
 
Maybe that should have been a first step! Clearly he had no idea what the situation actually was. One thing needs to be understood....fair trade does NOT mean it goes all one way. There will have to be give and take something Trump doesn't understand.
As far as the stock market, yours is a huge reaction for what is so far, a correction (which happen quite regularly).
Corrections happen due to legitimate market/business factors. This is not a correction it's an unforced error on Trump's part. American businesses are truly worried about the economic uncertainty.
 
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