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Not really. That fallacy starts from the premise that two events occurred in sequential order, and (erroneously) assumes a casual relationship. Speculation about the sequential order itself is therefore not post hoc ergo propter hoc, although it may be otherwise problematic (or it may be sound).
I would consider someone having stopped without getting caught or otherwise rendered unable to be indicative of contrition.
I would tend to agree, unless someone can provide a supposition which has more merit.
Having said that, what makes this guy special that he draws so much wrath? Throughout the US and Canada priests continue to hide behind their collars amid an absolute carnage of ruin. If there is to be justice in this life [God will, I am sure have something for them], then some of these preacher dirt bags need to do some serious time.