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Democrat Convention Causes Bounce in the Polls!

Oborosen said:
If a bias was enough to dismiss them. Then we'd be dismissing nearly everyone out there. Polling sources, media outlets, journalist.

Is it evident that they would lie, or does their polling data match up with what their material shows?
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Rasmussen has been known as an outlier for a long time. Especially for polls done further out in the election cycle. The latest numbers from them are consistent with this past pattern.
 
Luther said:
Especially the ones that have Trump ahead right?(wink)
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ALL of the polls seem to be showing movement to Trump.

Assuming consistent methodologies to be employed by each poll, movement is what might indicate something.
 
code1211 said:
Before the Democrat-Socialist "Convention", the President was at a 48% approval.

After two days of the venomous, negative, hate driven, lie fest, featuring the leading personalities of the Democrat-Socialist Party, the President is up to 51% approval.

If this continues, the only people who are going to vote for Biden will be the hopelessly brain dead and the media's propaganda elites.

In a Venn Diagram revealing commonalities, there is probably a large overlap between the hopelessly brain dead and the media's propaganda elites. ;)

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports(R)
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Two days of GOP convention programming seems to be just what the doctor ordered.

Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Wednesday, August 26, 2020

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll sponsored by Liberty Nation for Wednesday shows that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove.
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code1211 said:
I always ask the lying posturing fools who parrot the lie that the president has lied so many times to post the lies from the previous day.

They always fail to do so.

When asked to so the same thing, you run away like cockroaches scurrying to hide under a refrigerator when the kitchen light is turned on to get a beer.

Not surprising in any way.
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:lamo
 
Cardinal said:
Nate Silver needs to explain in no uncertain terms wtf is going on with Rasmussen. The way they keep increasing their outlier results reminds me of the carrier from Casino. The carrier starts out delivering giant bags of cash to the mob chiefs, and by the end of the movie so much money has been skimmed that he hands over a single wad of cash with a sheepdog expression.

Point is, it's hard to read their results as anything other than the expressed purpose of keeping RCP's and 538's Trump approval average as high as possible.

Without Rasmussen, his approval average over the last three days is 40.3. With Rasmussen it goes up to 41.8.
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I don't generally trust polls after 2016, but Rasmussen isn't really a poll. It's a propaganda appendage of the GOP.
 
Lucky 1 said:
It'll probably age about is well as Biden's bounce in the polls.......poorly.
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I never heard of any other candidate for POTUS actually getting a negative bounce during & after their convention.

Biden was -180 to win before he picked Harris & -160 to win right before the convention & now he is -120.
By next week the race should be even money. This is amazing even the worst candidate I ever witnessed McCain
got a bounce from his 2008 convention.
 
haymarket said:
Rasmussen has been known as an outlier for a long time. Especially for polls done further out in the election cycle. The latest numbers from them are consistent with this past pattern.
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Consistency doesn't show any falsification, does it?
 
code1211 said:
What is the point that you seem to be hiding with your post?
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Actually, it's more like you're too blind to see it because of your partisan


I would be Happy to spell it out for ya

These were your words remember?
Before the Democrat-Socialist "Convention"
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Others criticize it for redistributing income to “people who have never paid a dime in their lives” but nevertheless “get a check from the government” (Sandmeyer 2013).
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Both the EITC and the CTC were initially proposed, supported, and expanded by Republican policymakers with broad bipartisan support.
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The Earned Income Tax Credit and the Child Tax Credit: History, Purpose, Goals, and Effectiveness | Economic Policy Institute
 
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haymarket said:
This site is not called POMPOUS POLITICAL PONTIFICATIONS for a good reason. Debate involves being able to support your claim with evidence.
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I posted the final poll numbers published by RDP from the major polling agencies.

That you either cannot or will not read them is on you.
 
OlNate said:
Meh...says you. Sadly all you have are the default fallback positions of Trump's true believers, and I'm just not one of them, so it all sounds a bit limp and soggy. America's descent into fascism is about as clear as it gets, and only those too embroiled in Trump's narrative fail to see it, which, if you consult the history books, is pretty much par for the course.

Anyway, it appears you have entered into the typical Trumpist insult stage of the conversation, so I'm out...I've spent my infraction points for this month, so I gotta play it safe for the next bit... ;) :lol: Besides, despite being an ornery Trumpist, I like you Code. Let's not say things we can't take back. :thumbs:
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Do you even know what Fascism is?
 
code1211 said:
I posted the final poll numbers published by RDP from the major polling agencies.

That you either cannot or will not read them is on you.
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And what exactly do you think they prove? One must examine the poll numbers from a variety of polling companies over the campaign to see if they were accurate at the time they were taken and compare them to other polling companies taken at the same time. Only then can your claim be examined to see if there is any credibility to your claim.

Quote Originally Posted by code1211 View Post
A couple weeks back, the Pollsters had Biden up by 14 points.

As i recall, there were similar spreads talked up by the pollsters in regard to the lead held by Hillary.

If you check the numbers in the RCP table WHICH I PROVIDED, you see that the various polls got much closer the day before the election and that Rasmussen was just about right on the nut.

If you need additional evidence, watch the polling results this year. It will continue to tighten until the President wins with a Reagan Scale landslide.
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joko104 said:
What is blowing up on the Democrats is having a candidate in hiding, that refuses to EVER do ANY press conferences and can't talk for 3 minutes without a teleprompter without gaffes, exposing his lifelong racism, and unable to remember what he was trying to say before the end of the sentence over and over.

"Never mind who our candidate is, just vote against Trump" and "settle for Biden" may not work as well as the Democratic Party hopes.

If Biden does not get a measurable bump up in polling after 4 days of pre-recorded political ads they falsely called "a convention" - it will be a first in political history for a political convention. The party holding the convention usually gets a 2 to 4 point bump up in polling.

I do not expect Biden to ever agree to a live debate with Trump. He will only to do it remotely - so out of camera view political consultants can instantly punch in the file for his pre-written responses he can read off a teleprompter.
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Biden and Harris have been doing events almost constantly since the convention. Of course you would not know that because Hannity won't tell you. As Trump keeps stepping on his own feet, it's best for Biden to just let him destroy himself.

I would stop worrying about Biden as he can take care of himself.
 
haymarket said:
And what exactly do you think they prove? One must examine the poll numbers from a variety of polling companies over the campaign to see if they were accurate at the time they were taken and compare them to other polling companies taken at the same time. Only then can your claim be examined to see if there is any credibility to your claim.
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It's up to you to accept it or reject.

I don't really care if you do or you don't.

It happened with Hillary and it's happening again with the same timing as the polls move in the same direction.

I think it's amusing. You seem to be missing the joke. It's okay.
 
The AntiDonald said:
Biden and Harris have been doing events almost constantly since the convention. Of course you would not know that because Hannity won't tell you. As Trump keeps stepping on his own feet, it's best for Biden to just let him destroy himself.

I would stop worrying about Biden as he can take care of himself.
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The guy is a human dynamo!
 
Moderate Right said:
A few days ago I was watching NBC news and they had great reviews about the Democratic convention and a couple of anecdotal side stories from individuals about how bad Trump was. I'm looking forward to their coverage of the Republican convention where they will have great reviews of it and a couple of anecdotal side stories from individuals about how bad Biden is. But, we both know that that ain't a happenin. They will criticize whatever they can and somehow those anecdotal stories from individuals about how bad Biden is won't make it to the airwaves.
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The only thing NBC has time for in the Republican convention is fact checking. So Far, the majority of it has been gas lighting and pure lies. Not to mention the hundreds of Hatch Act violations. I know M. Meadows says that no one outside the beltway cares about the Hatch Act, however it's still a law, and it's being broken with abandon.
 
The AntiDonald said:
The only thing NBC has time for in the Republican convention is fact checking. So Far, the majority of it has been gas lighting and pure lies. Not to mention the hundreds of Hatch Act violations. I know M. Meadows says that no one outside the beltway cares about the Hatch Act, however it's still a law, and it's being broken with abandon.
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LOL. I've been thinking this same thing over the last several days. All I see is fact check this, fact check that from the RNC. I don't remember seeing the MSM doing any fact checking of the DNC.
 
Moderate Right said:
LOL. I've been thinking this same thing over the last several days. All I see is fact check this, fact check that from the RNC. I don't remember seeing the MSM doing any fact checking of the DNC.
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Your soooooo close to figuring it out.

So close!
 
code1211 said:
It's up to you to accept it or reject.

I don't really care if you do or you don't.

It happened with Hillary and it's happening again with the same timing as the polls move in the same direction.

I think it's amusing. You seem to be missing the joke. It's okay.
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Just how do you know exactly that a presidential poll ten weeks out from the election day is accurate or not?
 
Threegoofs said:
Your soooooo close to figuring it out.

So close!
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I figured it out a long time ago. The leftist media do anything to further their leftist agenda. They will fact check the other side over every little detail and fact check their side as little as possible.
 
Moderate Right said:
I figured it out a long time ago. The leftist media do anything to further their leftist agenda. They will fact check the other side over every little detail and fact check their side as little as possible.
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Aaaaand you lost it.

Maybe next time
 
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