Day before the Election, Electoral-Vote.com predictions (1 Viewer)

[ALiberalModerate]

This is the latest polling on the Midterm Elections. Electoral-vote.com does not focus on the meaningless generic ballot type polls, but rather the actual race by race, district by district polls.

Anyway, so here is their prediction. I am not posting this to inspire a debate, but rather I think it will be interesting to see how close it is to the actual results tomorrow.

Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats, 49 Republicans, 1 race currently statistically tied.

Projected New House: 239 Democrats, 196 Republicans.

The predictions are based on the averages of the latest polls on each individual race.

Source: http://www.electoral-vote.com/

I think taking the House back is virtually in the bag for the Democrats. The question there really will be as to whether they end up picking up 20 new seats, or 40.

The senate is anyone's guess. Looks like it could go either way.

I think it is also worth pointing out that the Democrats are expected to take the majority of the Governor's Offices and the majority of the State Houses. Assuming that happens, and they take at least one house of congress, the Democrats will be the majority party once again.

 

[Andy]

We'll find out Wednesday morning.

 

[ALiberalModerate]

We'll find out Wednesday morning.

A couple of the senate races are probably going to be so close that it may be a week or more before we find out on the Senate.

 

[Andy]

The important chamber is the House though. The Senate is give or take, but if the Democrats don't take the House, it could spell the end of the Democratic party as a major political force (not that I'm worried about such a scenario).

 

[ALiberalModerate]

The important chamber is the House though. The Senate is give or take, but if the Democrats don't take the House, it could spell the end of the Democratic party as a major political force (not that I'm worried about such a scenario).

It would not be the end of the Dems as a major force. The Republicans have been the majority party only 12 of the last 60 years. The Dems have been losing for 12 years, the Republicans had been losing for over 40.

Just the same, when one looks at the race by race polls, I think the Democrats picking up the House is almost a given at this point.

 

[danarhea]

As is usual, the races are tightening up in the final days. I stick with my prediction of a 50-50 split in the Senate, keeping it Republican, that I made 2 weeks ago, and I think Democratic gains in the House will be more on the order of 20 seats, rather than 40. Still, the Democrats easily win the House, and this will result in major changes to the structure of the GOP. If a major defeat is what it takes to push the parasite Bushneviks out of the party, then I am all for it.

 

[FierceEnigma12z]

I really think the dems will take a lot of the seats in the house.But a lot of suprise polls have been taking with close or leading GOP candidates despite what the candidates themselves have said they are leading.But that's mostly senate races like in Tenn. a lot of that has been in the news lately and the Republican there is leading.as for house members, there's a lot of false campaign advertisements going around but then again, it's America.