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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Common Sense 1

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A snapshot of the day!

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance.

Our resist friend's won't be happy!


We know you don't like Rasmussen Reports no need to post silly response about that issue. eace
 

Rasmussen
 
Rasmussenlamo), is the only poll to give Trump inflated numbers. And why? Because they only poll those likely to vote for him! It's about as representative as polling those attending a Trump rally.
 
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When tracking President Trump’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results for Trump’s presidency can be seen in the graphics below.

The president earned a monthly job approval of 48% in July, down one point from 49% in June. In January of this year, Trump’s monthly job approval had fallen to 44%, its lowest level in a year. But it jumped five points to 49% in February following his well-received State of the Union speech, recapturing the high ground he held for most of 2018.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports(R)
 
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Rasmussen should just put his approval at ninety seven percent. If you're going to make up numbers, go big. It isn't like his supporters will question it, and no one else takes Rasmussen seriously anyway.
 
With the economy and jobs numbers we have now any other president would be polling in the 60's and wouldn't be in very much danger in the upcoming elections.
 

What Rasmussen does this far out is poll likely voters whereas all other polls do not. Rasmussen does have a slight Republican lean, but nothing to get up in arms about. There's three category of election or approval polling, all adults, registered voters and likely voters. The polls on Trump's approval which are all adults shows an average of 41% approval. We know the historical average is that 45% of them don't vote.

The second category is registered voters, Registered voters give Trump an average of 43%. There are six polls done within the last week that polled just registered voters. Going by historical averages around 35% of these while registered to vote, won't vote.

The last category is likely voters, an average of 20% of these type don't vote. Rasmussen so far is the only polling firm polling likely voters in Trump's approval numbers. That will change when we get closer to the election. More polling firms will move away from all adults to registered voters and then to likely voters. But not this far out.

So how does the nation as a whole feel about Trump, 43% approve, 53% disapproves. But 45% of the nation as a whole won't go to the polls to vote or to register their approval or disapproval come Nov 2020. This does however give you an accurate numbers of how every American feels about Trump.

Rasmussen however let's us know approximately how just those who will go vote feels. Not the nation as a whole, but those who will actually go to the polls. The difference is important when doing election forecasts. You see the difference or disconnect in the hypothetical head to head match ups between Trump and the democratic contenders for the nomination. They're very close, Trump leading some, other usually Biden and Sanders leading Trump. But they're all very close.

Bottom line, by an average of 10 points all Americans dislike Trump more than they like him. But when it comes to those who vote, it is fairly even among those who like and dislike Trump.
 
Rasmussen should just put his approval at ninety seven percent. If you're going to make up numbers, go big. It isn't like his supporters will question it, and no one else takes Rasmussen seriously anyway.

Perhaps they should. Rasmussen does lean toward the Republicans or Trump by 1.5 points. This out of 711 analyzed polls. The big difference is Rasmussen at this very early date is polling likely voters whereas most other polls poll all adults. An historical average of all adults, 45% don't go vote. whereas an average of only 20% of likely voters will stay home. See my post number 14 for more details.

All adults do give you an accurate picture of where every American nationwide views Trump. Likely voter give you a fairly accurate picture of those who will go vote, where Trump stands among them. That is two different things depending on what you're looking for. How the nation feels about Trump or how those who will most likely go to the polls and vote feels about Trump. In 2016 Rasmussen final poll had Hillary winning the popular vote by 2 points in a four way race 45-43. She won it 48-46, by two points. Johnson and Stein received less votes than Rasmussen predicted. But close enough in the final analysis of a 2 point final popular vote win for Hillary.
 
The bigger joke than all the times our right wing friends celebrate Rasmussen polls...is the fact that they’re celebrating 49% approval!

YAY TEAM! LESS THAN HALF OF THE POPULATION APPROVES! BEST PRESIDENT EVER!

What a joke
 

A piece of history for this biased poll
Rasmussen was fired for bad surveys. His polls were biased toward Republican candidates in two consecutive cycles, outrageously so in 2012.

He refused to interview voters with a cell phone, even though mounting research confirms they tilt toward Democratic leaning groups.

He weighted his samples to a fantasy electorate where there are millions more white, Republican voters
 



*yawn*
 
It's hard to be part of the resist today! Trump cruising to reelection.
I understand!

Rasmussen non-sense aside, you don't understand. Your thread makes it all the more important to get out and register voters, volunteer for candidates that oppose the GOP march to Oligarchy AND most importantly do EVERYTHING possible to make sure Don Vito tRump is NOT reelected. Thanks for keeping us on our toes.
 

LOL! You might want to rethink that one.

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
 
Polls really are not a good indicator for a trump election. He needs the electoral votes from the midwest. The ag states are the only polls that matter.

That and just how much influence will Russia have this time, can they fix another election???
 
Rasmusen!?!?!!?

nuff said.
 
New response every time someone posts a Rasmussen poll:

 
Rasmussen

Even Rasmussen can't pick up the silent Trump support:
According to betonline.ag Trump is flying high

U.S. Politics
Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential Election

2001 Donald Trump -110
2004 Joe Biden +700
2006 Elizabeth Warren +800
2003 Kamala Harris +1000
2002 Bernie Sanders +1200
2068 Andrew Yang +2000
 
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