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Could Trump contest even a landslide? That depends on his fellow Republicans.
What used to be an abstract parlor game is now a possibility.
10/23/20
Could President Trump defy even a landslide against him? This is, increasingly, a serious question, as the polls have widened in favor of Democratic nominee Joe Biden and the president refuses to commit to accepting that result if he loses. The answer, if it comes to that, will depend on the response of Trump’s fellow Republicans. It’s one thing if the numbers on election night, or in the days afterward, show Biden winning handily and Senate Republicans make clear they acknowledge that reality. Then there will be no suspense over the Jan. 6 joint session of Congress that will serve as official confirmation of the result. But if Senate Republicans hesitate, waiting to see how things play out, then the responsibility will shift to Republicans in battleground states, where Trump could encourage GOP-controlled state legislatures to overturn their voters’ judgment. Here, the impact of partisan gerrymandering, and the legacy of Trump’s impeachment, both come into play. The notion of a state’s elected politicians acting to subvert the will of their own citizens should be unthinkable. But that’s, in effect, what gerrymandering is. Elections are supposed to be held for the benefit of voters so that the public obtains the officeholders it wants. Gerrymandering is premised on the contrary approach: letting incumbent politicians manipulate the electoral system to defy the popular will for partisan advantage.
The bigger challenge is whether the politicians who currently hold the reins of power truly want the outcome of the presidential election to turn on the preferences of the voters. That’s where impeachment comes in. The House’s impeachment of Trump, and the Senate’s near-party-line vote to acquit him, impose a particular responsibility on Republicans, both in state government and the Senate. Although it may seem like ancient history, the impeachment was about the election. Democrats consequently argued for conviction because, they said, he was too dangerous to be allowed to remain in office. Senate Republicans were correct to resist that move. Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) argued to “let the people decide” the president’s fate in November, and I supported that approach. It does not help democracy to deprive one party of its chosen candidate. The logical consequence of that acquittal is that Alexander and his party now shoulder a responsibility to ensure that their admonition is put into practice. Letting the voters decide now really means letting the voters decide. It means that if Trump tries to secure a second term despite a landslide against him, other elected Republicans must resist that move even if they have the raw power to help Trump’s effort. It would be the ultimate violation if GOP senators repudiated this most fundamental of national values solely for the sake of retaining power.
What used to be an abstract parlor game is now a possibility.