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CNBC Poll: Trump Approval Up To 48% in Swing States, Race Tightening

ReubenSherr

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Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval rises in 2020 swing states

"Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.”

“At the same time, 48% of voters in the states said they approve of the job Trump is doing, while 52% disapprove. Two weeks ago, 46% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump is doing, versus 54% who disapproved.”

“Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
"
 
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trixare4kids

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Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval rises in 2020 swing states

"Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.”

“At the same time, 48% of voters in the states said they approve of the job Trump is doing, while 52% disapprove. Two weeks ago, 46% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump is doing, versus 54% who disapproved.”

“Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
"

And let's not forget the silent Trump supporters who will not respond honestly to these polls and will, IMO, probably be the deciding factor in November.
 

Puigb

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And let's not forget the silent Trump supporters who will not respond honestly to these polls and will, IMO, probably be the deciding factor in November.

I'm going to laugh when this myth is completely blown up.

Also, OP is inaccurate. Biden is actually doing slightly better in this poll in several of the "swing states" compared to two weeks, in fact it was only two where Trump improved.
 

ReubenSherr

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Also, OP is inaccurate. Biden is actually doing slightly better than this poll in several of the "swing states", in fact it was only two where Trump improved.

???

The OP clearly cites the CNBC poll. Only.
 
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ReubenSherr

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And let's not forget the silent Trump supporters who will not respond honestly to these polls and will, IMO, probably be the deciding factor in November.

And all the Trump supporters who don't return 50-page polls to bureaucratic liberal pollsters...
 

trixare4kids

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I'm going to laugh when this myth is completely blown up.

Also, OP is inaccurate. Biden is actually doing slightly better in this poll in several of the "swing states" compared to two weeks, in fact it was only two where Trump improved.

You've a right to your opinion. The silent majority did elect Trump in 2016. Editorial: Rural America and a Silent Majority Powered Trump to a Win

As far as the swing states go... they ebb and flow...
What's clear to me is the gap between Biden and Trump has narrowed.
 

Puigb

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???

The OP clearly cites the CNBC poll. Only.

Trump only slightly improved in two states, per this one poll, which also has Biden up 8 points nationally.
 

ReubenSherr

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Trump only slightly improved in two states, per this one poll, which also has Biden up 8 points nationally.

I can only vouch for this poll.

CNN also has the race tightening in the swing states.
 

Drawdown

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Rioting in Wisconsin has the potential to swing the state back to Trump.
 

Puigb

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You've a right to your opinion. The silent majority did elect Trump in 2016. Editorial: Rural America and a Silent Majority Powered Trump to a Win

This is funny, especially when you consider that Trump received roughly standard Republican support, in line with what previous GOP candidates received in the past. There was no "silent majority", Trump couldn't even muster 1 million more votes than George Bush received in 2004. Truth is, it was Clinton's own lack of support among her own base that let Trump narrowly win the whitehouse, which is why you had Trump "thanking" black voters for staying home in 2016.

Oh, and where was this so called "silent majority" in 2018, when Trump BEGGED them to vote for House Republicans? Well, they came out in record numbers for house Republicans...and still got crushed.




As far as the swing states go... they ebb and flow...
What's clear to me is the gap between Biden and Trump has narrowed.

Biden is polling at 50% or near 50% in basically all of them, with far less undecideds than four years ago.

Make of that what you will.
 

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I can only vouch for this poll.

CNN also has the race tightening in the swing states.

The one poll you cited only has Trump slightly improving in two states.
 

Linc

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Rioting in Wisconsin has the potential to swing the state back to Trump.

Since you mention the rioting, do you think it was instigated by the far-right?
 

EMNofSeattle

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Trump only slightly improved in two states, per this one poll, which also has Biden up 8 points nationally.

49 to 46 is three and not eight.

Must be the IngSoc math you’re using
 

Linc

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The one poll you cited only has Trump slightly improving in two states.

I’m noticing the Trafalgar Group poll today showing Trump +1 in WI. They hit 47 of 50 states on election eve 2016, missing only on NH, NV, and WI —> a flip of 10 EVs — so they got it perfect. Robert Cahaly 2020;

While being up in these six swing tickets is good, DEMs are so stupid for taking the week off. They’re giving away several points by doing so.
 

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I'm going to laugh when this myth is completely blown up.

Will you be be silent when it isn't?
Also, OP is inaccurate. Biden is actually doing slightly better in this poll in several of the "swing states" compared to two weeks, in fact it was only two where Trump improved.

biden polls 8-26-20.jpg
 

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Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval rises in 2020 swing states

"Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.”

“At the same time, 48% of voters in the states said they approve of the job Trump is doing, while 52% disapprove. Two weeks ago, 46% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump is doing, versus 54% who disapproved.”

“Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
"
Its an amazing coincidence how the polling trends the same way every election cycle. Democrats start out with big leads in the polls and as the election gets closer the polls move toward favoring the republican. If did not know better i might suspect that its done intentionally.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

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49 to 46 is three and not eight.

Must be the IngSoc math you’re using

The 49-46 is only for the six battleground states listed there that Trump won in 2016. The 8% advantage was for there national poll.
 

RealityNow

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Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval rises in 2020 swing states

"Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.”

“At the same time, 48% of voters in the states said they approve of the job Trump is doing, while 52% disapprove. Two weeks ago, 46% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump is doing, versus 54% who disapproved.”

“Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
"

It's pathetic when it draws out and present more of those whom embrace ignorance and the fantasy of thinking some bigot will give the a remake of white nationalism... but... these types choose to identify themselves in these ways... and when they have to face the reality they are devoted to denying... there will be no sympathy for them, and when they whine and cry we've been hoodwinked and butt banged by Trump yet again.... the store shelves will be empty of KY because the initial make up of the cult bought it all.

I'm not amazed that so many these type of white people can be duped... Hell for 100's of years they were led to promote racism, let racist murderer's off the hook, and delude themselves that slave owners were upstanding citizens, and they had the audacity to go into Churches talking about Christ while deeply embedded in every element of racist devotion they could conjure to create. They spent another 100 yrs promoting and supporting segregation, and basking in the glory of using poor whites and minority tax money to build up well to do white communities, and poor whites were dumb enough to rage in the street fighting to maintain segregation.
Now... these types who fit into this group... are the same type who gathered and brought their kids to lynchings, and their offspring of today, try to justify cops shooting unarmed black people as if they are out on a hunting trip.

So... no one should be alarmed that these types come out of the woodwork to push their agenda in polls. Heck they've done everything else vile and boast with pride about it, so... is there anyone who is unaware enough to be surprised.

Can anyone explain why this guy did not get shot... (answer: white privilege not to instantly get shot dead and/or killed by other tactics no matter how vile and threatning their actions are)
WTH!!! Man charged at Cop after being tasered...Cop starts running - YouTube


#2



Yet black people get shot while sitting in the car with their wife and kids, get's compressed to death with a knee on his neck, and another go shot in the back... etc...

These same types of white people who poll for their support of white nationalism....
 
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ALiberalModerate

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And let's not forget the silent Trump supporters who will not respond honestly to these polls and will, IMO, probably be the deciding factor in November.

Isn't pathetic that your candidate is such an utterly despicable human being that you are counting on him having supporters that are too ashamed to admit they actually support him.
 

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Its an amazing coincidence how the polling trends the same way every election cycle. Democrats start out with big leads in the polls and as the election gets closer the polls move toward favoring the republican. If did not know better i might suspect that its done intentionally.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

I think we've had this discussion before, but there is basically no evidence for this.

Obama vs. McCain had Obama's best poll numbers at the end: RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Obama vs. Romney did show some tightening at the end, but Obama ended up winning by more than his polling margin was at nearly any point during the cycle: RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Trump v. Clinton had multiple dips and valleys rather than Democratic leads that faded at the end: RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

And these particular polls don't even really show any tightening. Biden's lead increased in four of those six states and in their national poll from the last iteration by Change Research two weeks ago.
 

ReubenSherr

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Isn't pathetic that your candidate is such an utterly despicable human being that you are counting on him having supporters that are too ashamed to admit they actually support him.

Lol you’re missing the entire point.

Trump voters don’t like nerdy, data-crazy liberal pollsters who want 30 minutes of their time to ask them 50 questions.
 

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Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval rises in 2020 swing states

"Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.”

“At the same time, 48% of voters in the states said they approve of the job Trump is doing, while 52% disapprove. Two weeks ago, 46% of respondents said they approved of the job Trump is doing, versus 54% who disapproved.”

“Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Michigan: Biden 50%, Trump 44%
North Carolina: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49%, Trump 46%
Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
"



So what you're saying is Joe Biden is ahead in all the battle ground states?


We knew that.
 

ALiberalModerate

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Lol you’re missing the entire point.

Trump voters don’t like nerdy, data-crazy liberal pollsters who want 30 minutes of their time to ask them 50 questions.

Those nerds are smart enough to account for that. I have hung up on plenty of pollsters because I didn't want to take the time to take the poll. It's not just Trump supporters that do that.
 
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