Climate Science and the Replication Crisis

[Jack Hays]

There is a replication crisis building in science. Although written about occasionally, it has been largely out of sight in the MSM. That may be about to change.

Opinion / reproducibility / Science
Climate science might become the most important casualty of the replication crisis

The replication crisis in science has just begun. It will be big. By Larry Kummer. From the Fabius Maximus website.

Summary: After a decade of slow growth beneath public view, the replication crisis in science begins breaking into public view. First psychology and biomedical studies, now spreading to many other fields — overturning what we were told is settled science, the foundations of our personal behavior and public policy. Here is an introduction to the conflict (there is pushback), with the usual links to detailed information at the end, and some tentative conclusions about effects on public’s trust of science. It’s early days yet, with the real action yet to begin.
“Men only care for science so far as they get a living by it, and that they worship even error when it affords them a subsistence.”
— Goethe, from Conversations of Goethe with Eckermann and Soret.

 

[Jack Hays]

“Think psychology’s replication crisis is bad? Welcome to the one in medicine,” says Dan Engber in Slate.

 

[Steve Case]

For climate science the replication is the empirical record,
and so far replication isn't panning out. The quote above
says that error will worshiped when it affords subsistence,
and so it is.

 

[longview]

For climate science the replication is the empirical record,
and so far replication isn't panning out. The quote above
says that error will worshiped when it affords subsistence,
and so it is.

To have replication, you would first need an experiment to replicate, I an not sure they have gotten that far yet!

 

[Threegoofs]

Well, it looks like all the calculations and temperature measurements are seemingly behind in the biological and environmental observations of plummeting ice coverage in the Arctic and Greenland, massive disruption in ocean marine life, and profound impacts on ecosystems worldwide.

So it might be that the problem of AGW is much, much worse than the studies show.

Thanks for pointing that out, Jack.