GySgt said:
I'm saying, that these people are raised within a civilization to hate infidels and raising one's fist to hurt or kill is seen as favorable to their God. Whether they do it or not, they are the recruiting pool for the extremists and choosing not to deal with them and help them out of their oppression will only give the extemists camp an unimpeded strength.
You seem to be arguing for things that we agree upon. We both agree that there's a serious and pervasive problem. While I certainly appreciate your posts, They do come across as if you think we disagree about points that we hold in common.
A single, possible point of difference would be that I think that the probability of any given person deciding to carry-out violent actions is more variable than you have portrayed it in your recent comments. Perhaps this due to a relatively hurried composition on your part, perhaps it's due to the inherent inexactness of language, perhaps I've just misread what you're saying. But it seems as if you're trying to make the case that the US's actions re the invasion and occupation of Iraq have had little or no impact re the likelihood of Muslim, Arab individuals in the MENA region decisions to engage in, support or merely look the other way from terrorist activities.
Am I close here?
We agree that that there are cultural elements that influence perceptions of the world that are found in the MENA region that are decidedly 'problematic.' Elements that lend themselves to allowing non-state sanctioned violence as a means of negotiating resolutions to conflicts. Just issues w/ how they see the world.
However, I don't think that these are the only factors that come into play when someone makes a decision to engage in or ignore terrorism related activities. Nor do I think that these elements of culture that proscribe and prescribe ways of perceiving and interpreting the world are such powerful factors that an individual cannot but help to engage in or ignore terrorism related activities despite other factors.
I think that environmental factors come into play in a significant way when many individuals make decisions. I think that an individual's perception of his world can have a major role in the likelihood him choosing particular actions. I suspect that you do too.
It seems that you give it a shorter shrift when it comes to someone's choice to engage in terrorism. You see, I think that certain conditions can promote the likelihood of an individual deciding to perform violent acts, and that certain conditions inhibit the likelihood of an individual making such decisions.
Many lower level Islamist/extremist volunteers are not trained or skilled fighters. They come from a wide range of countries, though mostly from the Maghreb, usually with little or no training. The majority of them have only a limited history of affiliation with any organized Islamist or extremist group if they have any history of such at all.
GySgt said:
Theory? It is fact. No one can predict when.
If it were a fact it would be demonstrable. As it is, at best, it's a theory. However since it has no testable, falsifiable elements, it more like pontification really.
GySgt said:
How much do you know about the social issues in Iran?
Not as much as some, but more than most Americans. I've done a bit of research from the the
Sazeman-e Mojahedin-e Khalq-e Iran and
the Iranian Revolution and the some of the history angle.
GySgt said:
There's a greater likelihood that Iraq's free elections will inspire the people of Iran. About 70% of Iran's population is younger than 30, and disenchanted. Iraqi democracy may prove the downfall of Iran's mullahs, not the other way around.
Iranians already have a desire for democracy before we invaded Iraq. Interestingly enough, according to the
Arab Human Development Report from 2003.pdf (p19), the view that democracy is the best form of government and a dislike for autocracies are more widely held in ME countries than in the US/Can/Aus/NZ. So, it would seem that are already plenty inspired on this count.
If you like we can debate the "Democratic Domino Theory." I've already begun a thread on the very subject:
Democratic Domino Theory
GySgt said:
Like so many, you let the three day drive by (Gulf War) spoil you into the prospect of immediate victories. This war against terrorism will take time.
Hogwash. My objections have nothing to do w/ a lack of patience. The invasion of Iraq was a bad idea before it was begun.
GySgt said:
Do your own damn homework and studying.
Ain't you touchy. Just a simple request for a citation for an assertion made in a debate. It's an accepted practice. There's no need to take it personally or be "insulted" by it. Not that I can stop you from finding offense in it if you so choose, but all the same ...
GySgt said:
There are books, professional articles and papers, and studies to learn from. Military analysts and social reformacist for the Middle East have been saying these things for two decades and I have been studying it for one, because since Somalia, I chose to learn of my enemy and why they do the things that Americans do not.
Thank you for being so kind as to supply some interesting links.
None of these seem to be advocating a mismanaged invasion and occupation of Iraq as a solution to anything though.