Biden Leads Over Trump in Five Battleground States as Much as 12 Points: Poll

[Rogue Valley]

Biden Leads Over Trump in Five Battleground States as Much as 12 Points: Poll

Trump and Democrat nominee Joe Biden.

8/22/20
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden currently leads President Donald Trump across five key battleground states, with his largest lead being as much as 12 points, according to a new poll. The poll, which was conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, found Biden leading Trump in Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. According to the poll, Biden's largest lead comes in Michigan, as 50 percent of respondents said they'd vote for the former vice president on the November 3 election, while 38 percent sided with Trump. Biden also holds a 10-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin (49 to 39 percent); a nine-point lead in Arizona (47 to 38 percent); an eight-point lead in Florida (49 to 41 percent); and a seven-point lead in Pennsylvania (48 to 41 percent). In comparison, Trump holds the advantage in North Carolina, as 46 percent said they would vote for him, while 44 percent chose Biden. The poll also found a Biden receiving his approval ratings across each state in his decision to choose California Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate. In Arizona, 48 percent said they approve compared to 28 percent that said they disapprove.

In addition to Biden holding a lead over Trump in the five key battleground states, several recently conducted national polls show the former vice president ahead in the race. A separate poll conducted by The Economist/YouGov found Biden leading by 10 points, as 50 percent said they would vote for him if the election were held today, compared to 40 percent that chose Trump. This week, there was a noticeable decrease in the proportion of likely Trump voters who say they feel “very enthusiastic” about voting for Trump, with the proportion falling from 63% last week to 56% this week. For the second week in a row, a greater proportion of likely Biden voters say they will vote for the Democratic candidate primarily because they support him (53%) rather than because they oppose Trump (47%). The President’s approval rating remained at net -5%, which is the same as last week. Our poll finds that only 28% think Donald Trump is the most likely of the two candidates to see an end to the coronavirus pandemic. On the other hand, a plurality (43%) think Joe Biden is the most likely candidate to see an end to the pandemic.

Trump may see a modest bump in his numbers next week due to the Republican Convention. Democrats will have an army of fact-checkers vetting every statement made by Trump & Co.

Democrats and Independents cannot get complacent. 72 days remain until Election Day on November 3rd.

In addition, Trump Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has inflicted significant damage to the USPS infrastructure with the intention of causing a massive backlog of mail-in votes.

Related: Latest USA Voting Intention (August 20)

 

[Chomsky]

Biden Leads Over Trump in Five Battleground States as Much as 12 Points: Poll

Trump and Democrat nominee Joe Biden.



Trump may see a modest bump in his numbers next week due to the Republican Convention. Democrats will have an army of fact-checkers vetting every statement made by Trump & Co.

Democrats and Independents cannot get complacent. 72 days remain until Election Day on November 3rd.

In addition, Trump Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has inflicted significant damage to the USPS infrastructure with the intention of causing a massive backlog of mail-in votes.

Related: Latest USA Voting Intention (August 20)

I'm not familiar with the polling org, but I do like that the poll consisted of 'likely' voters. Polls using 'likely voters', over 'registered voters' or 'Americans', tend to be more accurate.

 

[ReubenSherr]

CNN has them nearly tied in many battleground states.

Interesting choice of poll lol.

 

[Threegoofs]

CNN has them nearly tied in many battleground states.

Interesting choice of poll lol.

Tell us more about how having a job approval favorability in the negative double digits is a strong thing, Mr. ‘political scientist’.

LOL

 

[ReubenSherr]

Tell us more about how having a job approval favorability in the negative double digits is a strong thing, Mr. ‘political scientist’.

LOL

Responded on other thread already.

Comparing approval with disapproval isn’t that relevant in terms of Trump’s chances of winning the election. Disapproval reflects the political views of many liberals who will not vote Republican under any circumstance.

What is relevant is that Trump’s straight approval numbers have risen between 1.5 points per RCP and nearly 2 points per 538 during the general time period of the DNC. Not the RNC, the DNC.

 

[Puigb]

Responded on other thread already.

Comparing approval with disapproval isn’t that relevant in terms of Trump’s chances of winning the election. Disapproval reflects the political views of many liberals who will not vote Republican under any circumstance.

What is relevant is that Trump’s straight approval numbers have risen between 1.5 points per RCP and nearly 2 points per 538 during the general time period of the DNC. Not the RNC, the DNC.

Who cares? He's still down in every single poll, with a right or left leaning bias.

Your boy only wins if Democrats don't turn out for Biden. That's all there is to it.

 

[ReubenSherr]

Who cares? He's still down in every single poll, with a right or left leaning bias.

Your boy only wins if Democrats don't turn out for Biden. That's all there is to it.

Did you follow the 2016 Presidential election lol?

Please tell me you’re not buying Hillary’s pathetic excuse that millions of people wanted to vote for her but simply were too lazy.

CNN has Trump within the MOE in many swing states BTW

 

[jakiejakester]

CNN has them nearly tied in many battleground states.

Interesting choice of poll lol.

Show us, please....

 

[Puigb]

Did you follow the 2016 Presidential election lol?

Please tell me you’re not buying Hillary’s pathetic excuse that millions of people wanted to vote for her but simply were too lazy.

CNN has Trump within the MOE in many swing states BTW

Oh, so now you Trust CNN now? LOL.

And yes, Trump only won because Clinton couldn't turn out Obama era numbers among the Democratic base. This is a fact. Christ, you even have Trump thanking black people for not having voted in 2016 lol. Doesn't make them lazy, it means they didn't like Clinton.

 

[Finch]

A LOT of Independent voters went out on limb for Trump in 2016 because 1) nobody likes Hiliary Clinton 2) Trump is a populists, "new" shiny object in politics, 3) Hiliary Clinton (did I mention how much nobody liked her?)...Trump is not "new" shiny object anymore and has shown his true colors...Just not very good President....Trump is losing the blue wall states in Michigan, Wisc, and Penn...I don't see Dump gaining much ground there as he only won those states in 2016 by mere percentage points and since 2016 each of one of those states have been trending back to blue especially with the 2018 midterms....Florida and Arizona will tighten to 50/50 by Nov. 3 but Biden wont need those states to win, just the blue wall states...To be honest, Trump will see a battle in Ohio as well, a state he dominated in 2016....

 

[tacomancer]

CNN has them nearly tied in many battleground states.

Interesting choice of poll lol.

ummm... no

Electoral College Interactive Maps: The Road to 270

 

[Threegoofs]

ummm... no

Electoral College Interactive Maps: The Road to 270

But Ruben is ‘in political science’!

He really knows his stuff.

 

[uptower]

No promises, but I like the way it shows the same kinds of open and close, but they never touch this time.

 

[George50]

CNN has them nearly tied in many battleground states.

Interesting choice of poll lol.

Which states?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

[ReubenSherr]

But Ruben is ‘in political science’!

He really knows his stuff.

Stop spreading hate.

And learn how to spell my name lol.

2020 election poll: CNN has Biden and Trump almost even in swing states - DraftKings Nation

 

[Integrityrespec]

Biden Leads Over Trump in Five Battleground States as Much as 12 Points: Poll

Trump and Democrat nominee Joe Biden.



Trump may see a modest bump in his numbers next week due to the Republican Convention. Democrats will have an army of fact-checkers vetting every statement made by Trump & Co.

Democrats and Independents cannot get complacent. 72 days remain until Election Day on November 3rd.

In addition, Trump Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has inflicted significant damage to the USPS infrastructure with the intention of causing a massive backlog of mail-in votes.

Related: Latest USA Voting Intention (August 20)

The only way Biden wins is if they refuse to have a one on one, face to face, live debate with a live audience and have to take questions and give rebuttals from the opponent. Democrats have no idea how many Trump voters will come out but will never admit it because of the sh** they have to endure from media adn the left. The left is not about diversity or freedom of opinion or speech.

 

[Carolina]

Stop spreading hate.

And learn how to spell my name lol.

Which States and Which Polls show them in a dead heat?

 

[ReubenSherr]

Which states?

@George and Carolina

2020 election poll: CNN has Biden and Trump almost even in swing states - DraftKings Nation

"The survey also includes an oversample of voters from 15 “battleground” states as determined by SSRS, which are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. In those states, Biden leads just 49%-48%."

 

[ReubenSherr]

ummm... no

Electoral College Interactive Maps: The Road to 270

???

I said "nearly tied", not tied.

Biden still has a slight lead in all these states, this graphic has nothing to do with my post lol.

 

[Puigb]

@George and Carolina

2020 election poll: CNN has Biden and Trump almost even in swing states - DraftKings Nation

"The survey also includes an oversample of voters from 15 “battleground” states as determined by SSRS, which are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. In those states, Biden leads just 49%-48%."

So, you trust CNN now? I thought you people, the mythical "silent majority", were not answering polls, or lying to them?

 

[ReubenSherr]

So, you trust CNN now? I thought you people, the mythical "silent majority", were not answering polls, or lying to them?

Not answering or responding, yes.

Lying to pollsters, I doubt it.

Polls are still significant, though. They just have to be taken with a grain of salt, when Trump voters are involved.

 

[Puigb]

Not answering or responding, yes.

Lying to pollsters, I doubt it.

Polls are still significant, though. They just have to be taken with a grain of salt, when Trump voters are involved.

Trump voters are Republican voters.

I remember back in 2012 when you people,e kept arguing Romney would win because the polls were "skewed"...and yet it was Obama who was underestimated in polling, more than Trump in 2016 actually.

 

[ReubenSherr]

Trump voters are Republican voters.

I remember back in 2012 when you people,e kept arguing Romney would win because the polls were "skewed"...and yet it was Obama who was underestimated in polling, more than Trump in 2016 actually.

Romney has nothing to do with the Trump populist phenomenon.

Trump voters tend to despite bureaucrats, and nerdy liberal data-crazed pollsters who ask them to return 50-question surveys.

 

[Puigb]

Romney has nothing to do with the Trump populist phenomenon.

Trump voters tend to despite bureaucrats, and nerdy liberal data-crazed pollsters who ask them to return 50-question surveys.

Trump voters are Romney voters, McCain voters, and Bush voters.

Same group of people, same political party.

 

[ReubenSherr]

Trump voters are Romney voters, McCain voters, and Bush voters.

???

Are you going off on random tangents to try to bury this link?

2020 election poll: CNN has Biden and Trump almost even in swing states - DraftKings Nation

"The survey also includes an oversample of voters from 15 “battleground” states as determined by SSRS, which are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. In those states, Biden leads just 49%-48%."