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As Massachusetts governor’s race comes into focus, it’s Maura Healey’s moment, new Suffolk/Globe poll finds

Tender Branson

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By Matt Stout Globe Staff
Updated April 30, 2022, 3:08 p.m.

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As economic anxiety grows among Massachusetts voters, Attorney General Maura Healey would lead by a 2-to-1 margin over either potential Republican nominee for governor in a November matchup, a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll found, her advantages fueled by appeal among independent voters, the state’s most crucial bloc.

The survey revealed residents are largely optimistic about their future and the direction of Massachusetts, albeit less so than a year ago. As COVID-19 worries fade, voters say they want the next governor to focus on the economy, inflation, and housing.

Importantly, a solid majority of voters are more interested in the state’s chief executive keeping Massachusetts on track than pushing sweeping changes.

They’re also still largely fond of Governor Charlie Baker, the Republican who said he is not seeking a third term and, by one measure, is again the country’s most popular governor. According to the Suffolk/Globe poll, Baker running as an independent would lead a hypothetical — and very unlikely — three-way race for governor that includes Healey by 9 points.

In the absence of Baker on the ballot, however, it’s Healey, with a well-known résumé built over two terms as the state’s top law enforcement official, who voters appear to favor.

In general election matchups against former state lawmaker Geoff Diehl or businessman Chris Doughty, the Republican Party’s two major candidates, Healey holds commanding leads: 54 to 27 percent against Diehl and 55 to 25 percent against Doughty.

State Senator Sonia Chang-Díaz, a progressive Jamaica Plain Democrat also running for her party’s nomination, would also enjoy heady advantages against either Republican; she would top Diehl, 45 to 29 percent, and Doughty, 43 to 27 percent.



Incredible how Healey beats the Rs by 2:1 margins, but would lose to Charlie Baker by 9.

Baker is not running for a 3rd term though, neither as a R nor as an Independent.

About 75% of voters approve of his job as governor.
 
If Republican governor Charlie Baker continues to insist he's not running for a 3rd term, this will be an easy D pickup.

Just like Maryland.

I don't know when the filing deadline for the General Election is for Independents in MA, but Baker probably has a few months left to be persuaded.
 
Ohio also has very interesting Governor primaries on both sides on Tuesday:

# the Republican incumbent, Mike DeWine, is running for re-election, but faces a strong primary challenge because he was critical of Trump before and did his own centrist thing. The good thing for DeWine is that there are 2 main candidates opposing him. If only one opponent ran, he'd be in trouble, but now he's getting a majority on Tuesday with between 50 and 60%.

# on the D side, two former mayors are running with John Cranley, the former Cincinnati mayor - and Nan Whaley, former Dayton mayor.

Mike DeWine has a lot of support among Independents, so he should easily win re-election in November.
 
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