Depends on what you call basics. Are we talking about the basic manufacturing techniques? Composition? Encoding? Reading methodology? Fault tolerance? Information density? Bit rates? Wavelengths? Layering techniques?
But you’re right, It may be a good analogy. Digital media storage costs have followed a pretty consistent arc which has gradually enabled new applications while gradually making others irrelevant. Blockbuster was replaced by Netflix. But there was no revolution, just gradual change. Robotics is the same.
No revolution but gradual change? What did the original first couple of posts talk about?
They talked about decades, changes over a ten year period.
Are you attempting to imply that it's more like fifty years?
Got news for you, EVERY YEAR IS A DECADE when it comes to high tech, so that "evolution" and "gradual change" you talked about WAS in fact, over a period of about ten years, and the original author of the thread is talking about a ten year period...IN WHICH...there will be gradual BUT REVOLUTIONARY...change.
It will be gradual, as in "over about a ten year period", but it will be "revolutionary" as in "much more drastic than anything before it". And by "anything before it", its safe to say "several orders of magnitude".
---And my tiny little contribution to all of it is:
It appears that the titans of politics and economics are under the impression that the current deregulated darwinian anarcho-capitalist system we have in place today won't be a factor in causing enormous economic shocks to the system.
---There is a reason why farmers were required to put MUFFLERS on the exhaust of their agricultural equipment.
It wasn't because of noise or pollution. It was because all engines are prone to emitting either a bit of flame or sparks every so often. And those mufflers are often referred to as
"spark arrestors".
We are running a major industrial economy with the headers uncorked, straight pipes, in a field of dry grass which is getting drier all the time.
I don't know how old most of you are, but sometimes I get the impression I am talking to kids, or people who have the perspective of a kid, because from where I sit, a decade is the twinkling of an eye.
Of course, even if you're an adult but you've devoted your whole life to thinking strictly in terms of next quarter performance and next quarter profits, that might ultimately force your perspective a lot and distort it such that a decade seems like forever to you, so maybe most of you ARE NOT KIDS, but instead something just as myopic.