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After Doug Jones, which incumbent is most likely to lose?

Patriotic Voter

Patriotic Voter

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Everyone knows a Doug Jones victory would be Earth-shattering because the state's voters only care about the letter R next to a candidate's name. They don't care about the fact this is Tommy Tuberville's first run for a public office and did nothing except coach football teams before throwing his name in the Republican race. With that said, who would you rank at #2 for most vulnerable Senator seeking re-election? Do you agree with the CNN rankings?
www.cnn.com

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, one week from Election Day

The Senate majority is firmly within Democrats' reach with just a week to go until Election Day.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
 
Blue Donkey said:
Everyone knows a Doug Jones victory would be Earth-shattering because the state's voters only care about the letter R next to a candidate's name. They don't care about the fact this is Tommy Tuberville's first run for a public office and did nothing except coach football teams before throwing his name in the Republican race. With that said, who would you rank at #2 for most vulnerable Senator seeking re-election? Do you agree with the CNN rankings?
www.cnn.com

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, one week from Election Day

The Senate majority is firmly within Democrats' reach with just a week to go until Election Day.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
Click to expand...
I think the idea ten seats flip is crazy town.

the easiest example is Corey Gardner. I think every other R will hold. I’m 50-50 on Collins. Gardner is certainly going, Collins more likely then not but I won’t call either way. Every other R is a hold. I think every dem other Jones will hold but I think John James can win Michigan if MI repeats 2016 and votes Trump
 
IMO, McSally, Ernst and Collins will be defeated.


I was happy to Lindsey Graham in the top 10.
 
Blue Donkey said:
Everyone knows a Doug Jones victory would be Earth-shattering because the state's voters only care about the letter R next to a candidate's name. They don't care about the fact this is Tommy Tuberville's first run for a public office and did nothing except coach football teams before throwing his name in the Republican race. With that said, who would you rank at #2 for most vulnerable Senator seeking re-election? Do you agree with the CNN rankings?
www.cnn.com

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, one week from Election Day

The Senate majority is firmly within Democrats' reach with just a week to go until Election Day.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
Click to expand...
McSally is #2 for me.
 
If the election were today I would pick Jones, Gardner, McSally, Collins, Tillis, and Ernst to lose in roughly that order, although the last two are close to pure tossups in my mind. It would not shock me to see Bullock or Harrison win, but I think each has less than 50% odds. Cornyn, Peters, Marshall, Daines, and Sullivan are all within the realm of possibility to lose, but unlikely.

I expect Warnock to finish first in the Georgia special and Ossoff has about 50/50 odds of finishing ahead of Perdue. But I think Republicans hold both in runoffs.
 
Gardner, collins, ernst, mcsally, tillis and hopefully graham and mcconnell.
 
It's sad to see Jones go. I wouldn't feel so bad as an Alabamian if he was losing to someone with some measure of competence, but Tuberville is going to be the most clueless person in the US Senate.
 
Airyaman said:
It's sad to see Jones go. I wouldn't feel so bad as an Alabamian if he was losing to someone with some measure of competence, but Tuberville is going to be the most clueless person in the US Senate.
Click to expand...
Remember Maizy Hirono is in the senate.
 
Airyaman said:
Yeah, Tuberville is worse.
Click to expand...
I don’t see how that’s even possible.

Hirono went and accused Amy Coney Barrett of sexual assault out of nowhere during the confirmation hearings.

besides this really doesn’t matter, all a senator really needs to do is vote how the party tells them
 
EMNofSeattle said:
I don’t see how that’s even possible.

Hirono went and accused Amy Coney Barrett of sexual assault out of nowhere during the confirmation hearings.

besides this really doesn’t matter, all a senator really needs to do is vote how the party tells them
Click to expand...
You should have run, you meet all of the qualifications.
 
Blue Donkey said:
Everyone knows a Doug Jones victory would be Earth-shattering because the state's voters only care about the letter R next to a candidate's name. They don't care about the fact this is Tommy Tuberville's first run for a public office and did nothing except coach football teams before throwing his name in the Republican race. With that said, who would you rank at #2 for most vulnerable Senator seeking re-election? Do you agree with the CNN rankings?
www.cnn.com

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, one week from Election Day

The Senate majority is firmly within Democrats' reach with just a week to go until Election Day.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
Click to expand...
Oh, that would be such a bonus if both trump and Graham lost their seats!
 
2nd most vulnerable: Cory Gardner

Prepare for the Senate to flip.

BloodyGIF.gif
 
I'd say, Jones, McSally, Collins, and Gardner, for sure. Likely, Tillis. Maybe Ernst. From there, it is stretches. Apparently that is in line with CNN.
 
Blue Donkey said:
Everyone knows a Doug Jones victory would be Earth-shattering because the state's voters only care about the letter R next to a candidate's name. They don't care about the fact this is Tommy Tuberville's first run for a public office and did nothing except coach football teams before throwing his name in the Republican race. With that said, who would you rank at #2 for most vulnerable Senator seeking re-election? Do you agree with the CNN rankings?
www.cnn.com

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip, one week from Election Day

The Senate majority is firmly within Democrats' reach with just a week to go until Election Day.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
Click to expand...
McSally
 
NWRatCon said:
I'd say, Jones, McSally, Collins, and Gardner, for sure. Likely, Tillis. Maybe Ernst. From there, it is stretches. Apparently that is in line with CNN.
Click to expand...
Gardner is further behind than Collins, but either way works. Those two are toast.

Tillis lives in a voter suppression state. And Ernst has a fighters chance to win straight up. The guy in KS is in trouble too, but I’m not holding my breath. I probably feel much the same about Montana.

The Georgia races are interesting as well. Perdue is in trouble. And the Special election is almost certain to head into a run-off.
 
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